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Smaller countries like Singapore can seize new opportunities in space: Teo Chee Hean

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Easier access to space for smaller nations like Singapore
Space tech and access to space getting cheaper with advancements in processes
By Lester Wong, The Straits Times, 7 Feb 2020

There is more space today for smaller countries like Singapore to seize new opportunities among the stars, said Senior Minister Teo Chee Hean yesterday.

This is because space technology and access to space are getting cheaper and easier with advancements in computing and manufacturing processes, paving the way for smaller countries to get into a US$415 billion (S$575 billion) sector.

"Space capabilities are now indispensable to our lives, and present new solutions to global challenges. For example, we now depend on advanced imagery and measurements from space to help us understand the effects of climate change," said Mr Teo, speaking at the 12th Global Space and Technology Convention.

"In the face of these transformations in the space economy... we will need to forge new norms, new capabilities and new partnerships."

More than 700 people are attending the two-day conference at the Grand Hyatt Singapore.



The Republic is taking steps to be part of the international conversation on norms to govern responsible conduct in space, and will be participating in the United Nations Committee on the Peaceful Uses of Outer Space this year as a new member, said Mr Teo.

He also announced that Enterprise Singapore and local company Singapore Space and Technology Limited (SSTL) are setting up an accelerator programme to boost the growing number of space start-ups in the Asia-Pacific region.

This includes access to market and capital, and support from international experts, said Mr Teo, who is also Coordinating Minister for National Security.

SSTL also inked a contract with Cap Vista, the strategic investment arm of the Defence Science and Technology Agency (DSTA), to launch another programme that focuses on developing regional space start-ups.

Called Project Cyclotron, the programme will take in 10 firms which will receive guidance from a committee comprising potential investors.

The annual space convention went ahead as planned in the wake of news that three travellers who attended an event at the Grand Hyatt Singapore last month were infected with the coronavirus after returning home from Singapore.

Singapore's Ministry of Health said the meeting was attended by 109 participants from the same company, including 94 overseas participants who have all left Singapore.

The Grand Hyatt Singapore said on Wednesday that it has been disinfecting public areas, restaurants, meeting spaces and rooms to ensure the health and safety of its guests and employees.
















SPF200: Celebrating 200 years of the Singapore police

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New exhibition chronicles its evolution from 12-man team to 15,000-strong modern force
By Cara Wong, The Straits Times, 7 Feb 2020

The first police force in Singapore was started 200 years ago with an unofficial team of just 12 men.

Untrained men joined the force as a last resort when they could not find other jobs, and did miscellaneous work such as capturing tigers, fighting fires and numbering streets.

Officers even had to pay for their own uniforms, forking out more than half a month's salary for them.

Such details about the early police force are chronicled in the SPF200 Exhibition - Frontier Town to Safest City, which was launched yesterday by Minister for Home Affairs and Law K. Shanmugam.

The exhibition at the National Museum of Singapore is part of a series of activities to commemorate the police's bicentennial.

It tracks the evolution of the police force in Singapore over two centuries - starting with the ill-equipped 12-men team assembled by Singapore's first Resident and Commandant William Farquhar, to the current 15,000-strong Singapore Police Force (SPF).

The early days were tough, said Mr Shanmugam, noting that the police force faced an uphill battle.

New migrants were vulnerable to vices such as gambling, opium and prostitution, and secret societies were a menace to public order.

"They often put their lives on the line, these police officers, to keep law and order," he added.

But the police's capabilities grew, starting with the establishment of patrol sector boundaries, and then the formation of specialised units like the Marine Police - the predecessor of the Police Coast Guard - and a detective branch.

As Singapore evolved, the police continued to change, expanding operations and coming up with more specialist units like the Special Operations Command, then known as the Riot Squad, which was prompted by the Maria Hertogh riots in 1950.

The police also actively engaged the community through a Volunteer Special Constabulary unit set up in 1946, and a Citizens on Patrol initiative to engage volunteers to look out for and deter crimes.

In more recent years, the police has also set up the Emergency Response Teams and an Anti-Scam Centre to combat the rising threat of armed attacks and scams, said Mr Shanmugam.

"The exhibition pays tribute to police officers, past and present, for their sacrifices. The journey is an inspiring one, it holds many lessons both for SPF and for Singapore as a whole," he added.

Artefacts such as old police uniforms, photographs and firearms detail the changes in the police force.

In 1959, for example, the police established a Phantom Squad of plain-clothes policeman who went undercover as secret society members. To identify themselves as policemen to one another, they each wore coloured cloth armbands, which are now on display at the exhibition.



Visitors can also relive some of the crimes that have gripped Singapore in modern times, including the 2006 murder of nightclub owner Lim Hock Soon by "One-Eyed Dragon" gangster Tan Chor Jin.

A replica of the murder scene at Mr Lim's house has been set up at the exhibition, for the public to test their investigative skills through an interactive game.

Retired police officers will conduct free tours of the exhibition daily at 10.15am and 1.15pm for walk-in visitors.

The exhibition will run till May 17.










Singapore policemen share stories of secret societies, hell riders and cold-blooded murders
As the police celebrate their 200th anniversary with an exhibition at the National Museum of Singapore, The Straits Times' Zaihan Mohamed Yusof and Cara Wong speak to past and present police officers who are a part of the police force's transformation.


 




Most memorable case was audacious killing by One-Eyed Dragon
By Cara Wong, The Straits Times, 7 Feb 2020

It was a daring, cold-blooded, execution-style murder rarely seen in Singapore.

Nightclub owner Lim Hock Soon was shot in his home on Feb 15, 2006, in front of his family.

When Superintendent (Supt) Abdul Halim Osman's team of officers from the Criminal Investigation Division arrived at the scene, the body was on the floor with five bullet holes.

The scene at the apartment was chaotic, with Mr Lim's wife, daughter and maid in distress.

"We had to control the situation and manage the witnesses. It was important that we got as much information as possible from them," said Supt Abdul Halim, 55, who was investigation officer of the case then. He is now with the Tanglin Police Division.

It was also imperative that they managed the scene properly as the consequences were severe, he added.

A murder charge carries the death penalty.

"We had to be 100 per cent sure that we didn't make any mistakes," he said.

The police spent the next two to three days processing the scene, collecting evidence and speaking to the witnesses.

They found out the killer's nickname was Tony Kia and with that lead, they managed to establish the man's real name as Tan Chor Jin, 39, who was a member of the Ang Soon Tong gang. He was dubbed the "One-Eyed Dragon" because of his one blind eye.

But Tan had fled to Malaysia and the police relied on their counterparts there to nab him 10 days after the murder, said Supt Abdul Halim.

Tan was sent back to Singapore and tried. He was found guilty and hanged in 2009.

Despite having handled several other murder cases, Supt Abdul Halim considers the One-eyed Dragon case memorable for the sheer audacity of a killer who had shot a man in front of witnesses.

"I don't think we can find cases like this in Singapore. It was a very aggressive act, so we had to get him."










He joined the police after being robbed at knifepoint
By Zaihan Mohamed Yusof, The Straits Times, 7 Feb 2020

When Mr Chan Soo Wah was a Secondary Four student, gangsters robbed him of his watch at knife-point. That encounter sealed his decision to join the Singapore Police Force.

Mr Chan, who joined in 1965 and retired in 1999 with the rank of Deputy Superintendent of Police, was not looking for revenge. He was fascinated by the police officer who had handled his case.

"I was impressed with him. This investigator was thorough in his work," said Mr Chan, now 74.

Starting his career as a constable dressed in khaki shorts, he worked his way up the ranks, graduating from the police academy as an inspector and later moving to the Criminal Investigation Department's secret society branch.

Singapore's tough laws, namely the Criminal Law (Temporary Provisions) Act - known to some in Hokkien as "go chap go" (55, for Section 55 of the Act) - kept secret societies in check in the mid-1970s.

Mr Chan said Section 55 gave the police powers to detain a secret society member without trial. "That's how we broke the backbone of the secret society menace."

A decade earlier in the 1960s, tensions arose due to student protests, the communist threat and the post Konfrontasi era.

The police received frequent calls whenever the public spotted suspicious items. Mr Chan remembers one of these calls in 1969 vividly.

He was responding to a call in the evening about an abandoned shoebox left in front of a British company in Bukit Timah.

The young and tired probationary Inspector Chan had assumed it was just another bomb hoax and was about to kick the shoebox.

But an older Volunteer Special Constabulary officer, who was first at the scene, stopped him from doing so.

Luckily, Mr Chan listened to him because the bomb disposal unit later confirmed the box was rigged with explosives.

"I'm here today because I survived. He saved me."





Ex-traffic cop recalls high-speed chases to nab hell riders on Lim Chu Kang '40 tiang' stretch
By Zaihan Mohamed Yusof, The Straits Times, 7 Feb 2020

The retired police officer's face lit up when he spoke about police motorcycles and hell riders of the 1970s and 1980s.

Senior Station Inspector 2 Nasir Said, 65, a former Traffic Police officer and trainer, recalled high-speed chases and waiting in cemeteries to ambush hell riders who raced their motorbikes along Lim Chu Kang's famed "40 tiang" stretch. Tiang in Malay means lamp-posts.

The long hours of waiting meant that officers like him often became targets for blood-sucking insects, said Mr Nasir, who joined the Singapore Police Force in 1972.

But his 32-year career, which was followed by another 13 years of re-employment, nearly ended prematurely.

He contemplated leaving the force after the death of a squad mate in 1983 during a night escort mission.

"I was very shocked," said Mr Nasir, who is one of the guides for the SPF200 exhibition at the National Museum Singapore.

"He was close to me... we were brought up together. He was the one who had encouraged me to join the mobile squad."

Mr Nasir had been leading the escort of a small RSAF aircraft when his colleague at the rear of the convoy hit a divider and crashed into one of the airplane's wings.

The officer, who was from the same village in Jalan Kubis (now Ubi) as Mr Nasir, died of a broken rib puncturing his heart before he arrived at the hospital. But Mr Nasir did not know then as there was no physical bleeding.

After being told of his friend's death at the hospital, he became distraught and was unable to convey news of the accident to the man's family.

Mr Nasir's senior officers understood his predicament and allowed him to take a break during that difficult time.

Till this day, he is grateful and said he cannot forget the support from his family members and supervisors.










At 98, he is Singapore's oldest surviving retired cop
By Cara Wong, The Straits Times, 10 Jan 2020

When Mr Yusof Mohammad became a police officer in the 1940s, he did, in fact, wear shorts as that was the official uniform.

The 98-year-old is Singapore's oldest surviving retired police officer, and is living proof of the old saying "when police wore shorts" - a popular adage to reflect on how times have changed.

He decided to join the force after witnessing the carnage and chaos of World War II while working as a hospital porter.

"It was very scary because many people were sent to the hospital during the war. Some lost their hands and legs. So when we carried them, we really pitied them... I decided to join the police after that," he said, adding that he wanted to keep the country safe.



Mr Yusof spoke to the media earlier this week, in an interview organised by the police to mark the Singapore Police Force's 200th anniversary.

The celebration starts with a run that kicks off today.

Police officers will collectively run 200km in 24 hours, passing by 30 significant sites, including past and present police establishments such as the first police station, which was located near the site of today's Asian Civilisations Museum.

Some of the sites, including the Old Police Academy in Upper Thomson, are familiar to Mr Yusof, who served in the force from 1946 to 1968.

As a patrol officer posted to the Queenstown Police Station, he would keep watch over the area by cycling or walking for eight hours a day, to maintain the peace.

"I felt proud when I was wearing the uniform," he said in Malay.

Mr Yusof still keeps his police insignia bearing the letters "SSP", which stands for Straits Settlements Police, the name of the police force then.

He said policing in Singapore was tougher in the past, with more disorder in the streets.

For example, when the Maria Hertogh riots broke out in 1950, many people were "angry with the police" and would assault them, he recounted.

"Sometimes, they would throw bottles, and it would hit the heads of our officers," said Mr Yusof, who was on standby with fellow officers during the riots.

"My friend even got shot in his leg," he added.

The riots broke out on Dec 11, 1950, after a court ordered that Maria Hertogh, who had been raised by Muslims during World War II, should be returned to her Catholic biological parents. She was aged 13 then.

Mr Yusof's life was not any easier when he was posted to the Marine Police later in his career.

He encountered many pirates at sea. "When we saw them, we would have to fire our pistols in the air to warn them off," he said.

He retired from the force at the age of 48 but continued in the same line of work, taking on the job of a security officer at a mall. He has since retired for good.

The father of seven believes that police officers today are better at reaching out to and engaging residents.

While times have changed and Singapore today is in much better shape, Mr Yusof believes the core mission of the police remains the same: to protect lives.

He said that officers now have better weapons and uniforms.

"But our responsibility as police officers is always the same," he added.
















Ministry of Home Affairs investigating Singapore religious teacher for xenophobic, racist posts about the coronavirus

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Home Affairs and Law Minister K. Shanmugam slams Abdul Halim bin Abdul Karim comments on Chinese over coronavirus outbreak as xenophobic
By Rei Kurohi, The Straits Times, 8 Feb 2020

The Ministry of Home Affairs (MHA) is investigating online posts by a Singapore religious teacher about the coronavirus which originated in the Chinese city of Wuhan.

The teacher, Mr Abdul Halim bin Abdul Karim, said in a public Facebook post on Jan 29 that the coronavirus was retribution by Allah against the Chinese for their oppressive treatment of Muslim Uighurs in China's Xinjiang province.

Following news reports that the virus could potentially be transmitted through faeces, he also wrote in a separate private post that Chinese people do not wash properly after defaecating and are not as hygienic as Muslims.

In a Facebook post yesterday, Home Affairs and Law Minister K. Shanmugam described Mr Abdul Halim's comments as xenophobic and "thoroughly racist".



Such remarks are "quite unacceptable from anyone, let alone someone who is supposed to be a religious teacher", Mr Shanmugam said.

Society has to take a clear stand against such comments, he added.

Said the minister: "Abdul Halim's comments against Chinese in general (including Singaporean Chinese) are simply unacceptable - and these can't be left alone."

He cited two pastors who were taken to task in recent years for comments which he said were less offensive in comparison.

"I have asked MHA to look into what Abdul Halim has said," Mr Shanmugam added.



Mr Abdul Halim has since apologised on Facebook for his private post, which he said was never intended to be made public. It was not aimed at any race, and nothing in it was intended to be racist, he said yesterday. He added that there was "no malicious intent" and his post had been misunderstood.

"It is about hygiene and health, the importance of which cuts across all race and ethnicities. As a matter of fact, cleaning only with toilet paper after doing their business is not just the practice of non-Muslims of Chinese descent; other non-Muslims of other races do that too," he said.

The Islamic Religious Council of Singapore (MUIS) said it is aware of the public post, which "expresses views that do not represent the Muslim community".

It is also investigating the matter.

"Islam does not allow its followers to hurt the feelings of others in the name of the religion," said a MUIS spokesman, noting that the coronavirus does not distinguish between nationality, race or religion. "We would like to urge all parties to express views with consideration, and show care to those affected."

Other religious teachers have also spoken out against racism and xenophobia in the midst of the evolving coronavirus situation. One teacher, Mr Mohamad Ghouse Khan Surattee, said the outbreak is an opportunity to display unity and help one another overcome the crisis.

"Now is not the time to blame anyone, or to look at it as a punishment or retribution to a specific nation or race," he said in a Facebook post on Thursday.



Mr Mohd Murat Md Aris, a member of the Asatizah (religious teacher) Recognition Board, said religious leaders and teachers "must counter the irresponsible practice of using the spread of the novel coronavirus in many parts of the world to spread divisive and xenophobic views".

"Such views are utterly wrong and do not represent the views of the majority of asatizah and religious leaders in Singapore," he added.

"We do not tolerate such views and advise the community to exercise sound judgment and caution when making or sharing such comments, especially on social media."

Said Mr Shanmugam in his post: "Racism exists in all communities in Singapore - but thankfully, I believe, it is exhibited by a minority in each community."




 










 










 





 






Remarks which hurt religious or racial feelings uncalled for even if done privately, says Minister-in-charge of Muslim Affairs Masagos Zulkifli
By Dominic Low, The Sunday Times, 9 Feb 2020

Making remarks which hurt the religious or racial feelings of any community is uncalled for even if done privately, Minister-in-charge of Muslim Affairs Masagos Zulkifli said yesterday.

Referring to recent online posts by religious teacher Abdul Halim Abdul Karim, Mr Masagos told The Sunday Times the Government is serious in dealing with hate speech.

Mr Abdul Halim wrote in a Facebook post on Jan 29 that the coronavirus was retribution by Allah against the Chinese for their oppressive treatment of Muslim Uighurs in China's Xinjiang province. He said in a separate post that Chinese people are not as hygienic as Muslims.


The religious teacher has apologised on Facebook for his remarks, which he said were never intended to be made public, even as the Ministry of Home Affairs and the Islamic Religious Council of Singapore (Muis) are investigating the matter.

Mr Masagos was speaking to The Sunday Times after delivering the opening speech at the inaugural M3 Forum held at the Suntec Singapore Convention and Exhibition Centre.

The forum was organised by self-help group Mendaki, Muis and the People's Association Malay Activity Executive Committees Council to discuss ways to improve on services to the Malay/Muslim community.

Mr Masagos, who is also Minister for the Environment and Water Resources, told The Sunday Times that enhanced measures have been taken by the National Environment Agency since the outbreak alert status was raised to orange.

"Ultimately, maintaining cleanliness and hygiene is everyone's responsibility," Mr Masagos said. "We should not just be maintaining good hygiene standards in a crisis."

At a separate event at the National Library yesterday, Education Minister Ong Ye Kung said that while enhanced measures at schools may affect learning, online resources and smaller classes might be used to make up for any shortfall.

Last Friday, the Ministry of Education announced measures such as suspending inter-school activities and external activities until the end of the March school holidays.










Singapore to work closely with China to battle novel coronavirus threat: Deputy Prime Minister Heng Swee Keat

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Singapore sending coronavirus test kits, screening machines to China
Channel NewsAsia, 7 Feb 2020

Singapore will continue to work closely with China and the international community to fight the novel coronavirus, Deputy Prime Minister Heng Swee Keat said on Friday (Feb 7).

“This includes preventing its further spread and developing better medical testing,” Mr Heng wrote in a Facebook post, following a phone call with China’s Vice-Premier Han Zheng.

“In times like this, with the longstanding special relationship between Singapore and China, it is also important for us to work together.”

One of the examples he cited is the work Singapore researchers have done to develop novel coronavirus testing kits for use in laboratories.

“We can contribute to China’s containment efforts by providing test kits to conduct 10,000 tests at the first instance, together with three polymerase chain reaction (PCR) machines,” he said.

“We will be providing 10,000 tests in the next couple of weeks.”



He added that Singapore’s scientific experts are also “exchanging views with their counterparts in China”.

In addition to this, the Government will also be contributing S$1 million in seed funding to the Singapore Red Cross, which launched a public appeal to raise funds for humanitarian assistance to affected communities in China.

Mr Heng also conveyed his condolences and sympathies to the families and communities affected by the virus in China in his post.

“Infectious diseases are transboundary in nature,” Mr Heng said. “Countries can only overcome this challenge by stepping up measures within each country, and by collaborating with one another.”



Singapore has reported 30 cases of the novel coronavirus, which has affected more than 30,000 people and killed more than 600 in China. Outside mainland China, Hong Kong and the Philippines have recorded one death each.

The first local transmission cluster was also confirmed earlier this week. Authorities said there is no evidence of community transmission in Singapore so far.

Last week, it was announced that all new visitors with recent travel history to mainland China will not be allowed to enter or transit in Singapore. Those with Chinese passports, excluding Singapore permanent residents and long-term pass holders, will also not be allowed to enter Singapore.

“Singapore will continue to do our part – enhancing our safeguards as the situation evolves, and working with China and the international community to combat this outbreak," Mr Heng wrote.

“I am confident we can overcome this challenge together.”



































Chinese aerobatics team here for Singapore Airshow took extra precautions, passed all health checks: Defence Minister Ng Eng Hen
By Lim Min Zhang, The Straits Times, 8 Feb 2020

The Chinese air force's aerobatics team took extra precautions, met Singapore's criteria for health, and passed all checks before they arrived here for the upcoming airshow, said Defence Minister Ng Eng Hen yesterday.

That both the Chinese and United States air forces are here for the biennial event, running from next Tuesday until Feb 16, testifies to Singapore's ties with the two countries, he added. "It's really a vote of confidence. It's also a measure of how strong our relationship is," Dr Ng told reporters at the Changi Air Base (East) after meeting Chinese and American air force servicemen.



On Wednesday, Singapore Airshow organiser Experia Events said the People's Liberation Army's (PLA) Ba Yi aerobatics team will be taking part for the first time as one of five flying display performances.

The Government announced on Jan 31 that all new visitors who had been in mainland China in the past 14 days were barred from entry or transit in Singapore, starting from last Saturday. The move was part of Singapore's efforts to contain the coronavirus, which originated in the central Chinese city of Wuhan.

Asked about public concern over the exception made for the Chinese team, Dr Ng said: "I think it's natural to be concerned, and they are just as concerned as us because we have cases here, and just like other pandemics, whether it's Sars or H1N1, once it goes into the community, you can get it from anywhere.

"But we have been very careful and the PLA was particularly careful that they observed all requirements needed to be healthy, and they underwent stringent tests."



He said he was grateful to US Defence Secretary Mark Esper for accepting his invitation for the US forces to perform at the airshow.

The aerospace and defence exhibition will be held at the Changi Exhibition Centre.

The invitation to the Chinese was sent to vice-chairman of the Central Military Commission Xu Qiliang and Defence Minister Wei Fenghe when Dr Ng visited China in October last year.

This is the 30th year of diplomatic ties between Singapore and China.



Yesterday, Dr Ng was accompanied by the Chief of Defence Force, Lieutenant-General Melvyn Ong, and the Chief of Air Force, Major-General Kelvin Khong, as he was given a tour of Ba Yi's J-10 fighter jets, and the US' F-22 Raptor and F-35B Joint Strike Fighter.

In a Facebook post yesterday, Dr Ng said he told the pilots to remain strong and stay focused. "Our relationships with our close friends will withstand tough times and grow even stronger."



















 











Second plane leaves for Wuhan with aid, will return with Singaporeans
By Timothy Goh, The Sunday Times, 9 Feb 2020

A second plane from Singapore to Wuhan took off from Changi Airport yesterday afternoon, carrying with it supplies for the coronavirus-stricken city, and it will be returning with Singaporeans stranded there.

Foreign Minister Vivian Balakrishnan and the Chinese Ambassador to Singapore, Mr Hong Xiaoyong, met at the airport where the minister handed over diagnostic test kits and medical supplies to the envoy.



Dr Balakrishnan, in a Facebook post later, noted that Scoot flight TR5120 would be "extra special" for the Singaporeans who have been stuck in Wuhan since it was put on lockdown on Jan 23.

"(The flight) is extra special because today marks 'Chap Goh Mei', a day for family reunion in Chinese tradition. This flight will bring our Singaporeans and their family members back home from Wuhan," he posted. The returning Singaporeans are expected to arrive this morning. The Ministry of Foreign Affairs said that appropriate quarantine arrangements have been made for all of them.



One likely evacuee is Mrs H, 30, whom The Straits Times previously spoke to after she was separated from her Singaporean husband who returned home on a specially arranged flight on Jan 30. She said she could not join him at the time as Chinese nationals were not allowed to leave Wuhan, the epicentre of the coronavirus outbreak.

Mrs H and her infant son, who is only a few months old, have been staying with her parents since.

She told The Sunday Times she and the other stranded Singaporean residents in Wuhan have been waiting anxiously for the second flight to take them home.

She added that as of 2pm yesterday, none of them had received official confirmation that they would be able to return home or get a pass to go to the airport. "We are still waiting anxiously," she said.

In the meantime, she has been caring for her young son and passing the time surfing the Web or watching TV. She has been on video call with her husband every day.















Life and Death in a Wuhan Coronavirus ICU

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A Chinese doctor who warned about the outbreak before it was officially recognised died of the virus yesterday, triggering a wave of public mourning and praise for medical staff. In an interview with Caixin Global, Dr Peng Zhiyong describes what doctors and nurses are facing at Ground Zero in Wuhan.
The Straits Times, 8 Feb 2020

WUHAN • In the coronavirus epidemic, doctors on the front lines take on the greatest risk and best understand the situation. Dr Peng Zhiyong, director of acute medicine at the Wuhan University South Central Hospital, is one of these doctors.

In an interview on Tuesday with Caixin, Dr Peng described his experience in first encountering the disease early last month and quickly grasping its virulent potential and the need for stringent quarantine measures.

As the contagion spread and flooded the intensive care unit (ICU), he observed that three weeks seemed to determine the difference between life and death.

Patients with stronger immune systems would start to recover in a couple of weeks but, in the second week, some cases would take a turn for the worse.

In the third week, keeping some of these patients alive might require extraordinary intervention. For this group, the death rate seems to be 4 per cent to 5 per cent, Dr Peng said.

After a 12-hour day shift, Dr Peng spends his evenings researching the disease and has summarised his observations in a thesis.

The doctors and nurses at his hospital are overwhelmed with patients. Once they don protective hazmat suits, they go without food, drink and bathroom breaks for their entire shift.

This is because there aren't enough suits for a mid-shift change, he said.

Over the past month, Dr Peng has been brought to tears many times when forced to turn away patients for lack of staffing and beds.

He said what really got to him was the death of an acutely ill pregnant woman when treatment stopped for lack of money - the day before the Chinese government decided to pick up the cost of all coronavirus treatments.

This is the interview with Dr Peng:

SCREENING CRITERIA TOO TOUGH IN THE BEGINNING

Caixin: When did you encounter your first novel coronavirus patient?

A Jan 6, 2020. There was a patient from Huanggang who had been refused by multiple hospitals. He was sent to the South Central Hospital emergency room where I attended the consultation.

At the time, the patient's illness was already severe, and he had difficulty breathing. I knew then that he had contracted this disease.

We debated at length whether to accept the patient. If we didn't, he had nowhere to go; if we did, there was a high likelihood the disease would infect others and we would have to do a very stringent quarantine. We decided to take the patient in the end.

I called the hospital director and told him the story, including the fact that we had to clear the hospital room of other patients and to remodel it after severe acute respiratory syndrome (Sars) standards by setting up a contamination area, buffer area, cleaning area, and separate the living areas of the hospital staff from the patients'.

On Jan 6, with the patient in the emergency room, we did quarantine remodelling in the emergency room and did major renovations to the ICU.

South Central Hospital's ICU has 66 beds. We kept a space dedicated to coronavirus patients. I knew the infectiousness of the disease. There were bound to be more people coming in, so we set aside 16 beds.

We did quarantine renovations on the infectious diseases area because respiratory illnesses are transmitted through the air, so even air inside the rooms has to be quarantined so that it cannot escape. At the time, some said that the ICU had a limited number of beds and that 16 was excessive. I said it wasn't excessive at all.





Caixin: You predicted back in January that there would be person-to-person transmission and even took quarantine measures. Did you report the situation to those higher up?

A This disease really did spread very fast. By Jan 10, the 16 beds in our ICU were full. We saw how dire the situation was and told the hospital's leadership that they had to report even higher. Our head felt it was urgent too and reported this to the Wuhan city health committee.

On Jan 12, the department sent a team of three specialists to South Central to investigate. The specialists said that the clinical symptoms resembled Sars, but they were still talking about diagnosis criteria, that kind of stuff.

We replied that those standards were too stringent. Very few people would get diagnosed based on those criteria. The head of our hospital told them this multiple times during this period. I know other hospitals were doing the same.

Before this, the specialists already went to Jinyintan Hospital to investigate and made a set of diagnosis criteria. You had to have had exposure to the South China Seafood Market, you needed to have had a fever, and test positive for the virus. You had to meet all three criteria in order to be diagnosed. The third one was especially stringent. In reality, very few people were able to be tested for the virus.

On Jan 18, the high-level specialists from the National Health Commission came to Wuhan, to South Central Hospital to inspect it. I told them again that the criteria were too high. This way, it would be easy to miss infections. I told them this was infectious; if you make the criteria too high and let patients go, you're putting society in danger.

After the second national team of specialists came, the criteria were changed. The number of diagnosed patients rose quickly.





Caixin: What made you believe that the new coronavirus could be transmitted between people?

A Based on my clinical experience and knowledge, I believed that the disease would be an acutely infectious one and that we had to do high-level protection. The virus isn't going to change based on man's will. I felt we needed to respect it and act according to science.

Under my instruction, South Central Hospital's ICU took strict quarantine measures and, as a result, our department had only two infections. It pains us to see the coronavirus develop to such a desperate state. But the priority now is to treat people; do everything we can to save people.





THREE WEEKS THAT DETERMINE LIFE AND DEATH

Caixin: Based on your clinical experience, what's the disease progression of the new coronavirus?

A Lately, I've been spending the daytime seeing patients in the ICU, then doing some research in the evenings. I just wrote a thesis. I drew on data from 138 cases that South Central Hospital had from Jan 7 to Jan 28 and attempted to summarise some patterns of the novel coronavirus.

A lot of viruses will die off on their own after a certain amount of time. We call these self-limited diseases.

I've observed that the breakout period of the novel coronavirus tends to be three weeks - from the onset of symptoms to developing difficulties breathing. Basically, going from mild to severe symptoms takes about a week.

There are all sorts of mild symptoms: feebleness, shortness of breath, some people have fevers, some don't. Based on studies of our 138 cases, the most common symptoms in the first stage are fever (98.6 per cent of cases), feebleness (69.6 per cent), cough (59.4 per cent), muscle pain (34.8 per cent), difficulty breathing (31.2 per cent), while less common symptoms include headaches, dizziness, stomach pain, diarrhoea, nausea and vomiting.

But some patients who enter the second week will suddenly get worse. At this stage, people should go to the hospital.

Elderly people with underlying conditions may develop complications; some may need machine-assisted respiration. When the body's other organs start to fail, that's when it becomes severe, while those with strong immune systems see their symptoms decrease in severity at this stage and gradually recover. So the second week is what determines whether the illness becomes critical.

The third week determines whether critical illness leads to death. Some in critical condition who receive treatment can raise their level of lymphocytes, a type of white blood cells, and see an improvement in their immune systems, and have been brought back, so to speak.

But those whose lymphocyte numbers continue to decline, those whose immune systems are destroyed in the end, experience multiple organ failure and die.

For most, the illness is over in two weeks, whereas for those for whom the illness becomes severe, if they can survive three weeks, they're good. Those who can't will die in three weeks.





Caixin: Could you give more details on the clinical research? What percentage of cases would develop from mild to severe conditions? What percentage of serious cases would develop into life-threatening cases? What is the mortality rate?

A Based on my clinical observations, this disease is highly contagious, but the mortality rate is low. Those that progressed to the life-threatening stage were often elderly, with chronic diseases.

As of Jan 28, of 138 cases, 36 were in the ICU, 28 recovered, five died - that is to say, the mortality rate of patients with severe conditions was 3.6 per cent.

On Feb 3, another patient died, bringing the mortality rate to 4.3 per cent. Those hospitalised tend to have severe or life-threatening conditions. Patients with slight symptoms are placed in quarantine at home.

We have not gathered data on the percentage of cases that progress from slight symptoms to serious symptoms. If a patient goes from serious condition to life-threatening condition, the patient will be sent to the ICU.

Among 138 patients, 36 were transferred to the ICU, representing 26 per cent of all patients.

The percentage of deaths among life-threatening cases is about 15 per cent. The mean period to go from slight condition to life-threatening condition is about 10 days. Twenty-eight patients recovered and were discharged. Right now, the recovery rate is 20.3 per cent, while other patients remain hospitalised.

It is notable that 12 cases were linked to South China Seafood Market; 57 were infected while being hospitalised, including 17 patients already hospitalised in other departments; and 40 were medical staff, among the 138 cases (as of Jan 28). That demonstrates that a hospital is a high-risk zone and appropriate protection must be taken.





HOW THE VIRUS ATTACKS

Caixin: What is the greatest risk a patient in serious condition faces?

A The biggest assault the virus launches is on a patient's immune system. It causes a fall in the count of lymphocytes, damage to the lungs and shortness of breath. Many patients in serious condition died of choking. Others died of the failure of multiple organs following complications resulting from the collapse of the immune system.


Caixin: A 39-year-old patient in Hong Kong suffered cardiac arrest and died quickly. A few patients did not have severe symptoms in the early stages but died suddenly. Some experts argue that the virus triggers a cytokine storm, which ravages the stronger immune system of young adults. Eventually, excessive inflammation results in a higher mortality rate. Have you seen such a phenomenon in the coronavirus outbreak?

A Based on my observations, a third of patients exhibited inflammation in their whole body. It was not necessarily limited to young adults.

The mechanism of a cytokine storm is about whole-body inflammation, which leads to a failure of multiple organs and quickly evolves into the terminal stage. In some fast-progressing cases, it took two to three days to progress from whole-body inflammation to the life-threatening stage.





Caixin: How do you treat serious and life-threatening cases?

A For serious and life-threatening cases, our main approach is to provide oxygen, high-volume oxygen. At first, non-invasive machine-pumped oxygen is given, followed by intubated oxygen if conditions worsen.

For life-threatening cases, we use Ecmo (extracorporeal membrane oxygenation, or pumping the patient's blood through an artificial lung machine). In four cases, we applied Ecmo to rescue patients from the verge of death.

Currently, there are no special drugs for the coronavirus. The primary purpose of the ICU is to help patients sustain the functions of their bodies. Different patients have different symptoms. In the case of shortness of breath, we provide oxygen; in the case of kidney failure, we give dialysis; in the case of coma, we deploy Ecmo.

We provide support wherever a patient needs it to sustain his life. Once the count of lymphocytes goes up and the immune system improves, the virus will be cleared.

However, if the count of lymphocytes continues to fall, it is dangerous because the virus continues to replicate. Once a patient's immune system is demolished, it is hard to save a patient.





Caixin: There is news of some drugs that work. People are hopeful about the effect of the US-made remdesivir, which cured the first case in the United States. What do you think of these drugs?

A There are no 2019 novel coronavirus-targeted drugs so far. Some patients may recover after taking some drugs, along with supportive treatment. But such individual cases do not indicate the universal effect of the drugs.

The effect is also related to how serious each case is and their individual health conditions. People want a cure urgently, and that is understandable. But we need to be cautious.


Caixin: Do you have any advice for coronavirus-infected patients?

A The most effective approach to the virus epidemic is to control the source of the virus, stem the spread of the virus and prevent human-to-human transmission. My advice for a patient is to go to a special ward for infectious diseases, early detection, early diagnosis, early quarantine and early treatment.

Once it has developed into a severe case, hospitalisation is a must. It is better to contain the disease at an early stage. Once it reaches the life-threatening stage, it is way more difficult to treat and requires more medical resources. With regard to life-threatening cases, try to save them with ICU measures to reduce the mortality rate.





Caixin: How many patients with life-threatening conditions have you treated? How many have recovered?

A As of Feb 4, six patients in the ICU of South Central Hospital have died. Eighty per cent of them have been improving, a quarter are approaching their discharge and the remainder are still recovering in segregated wards.

The patient who impressed me most came from Huanggang. He was the first to be saved with the assistance of Ecmo. He had contact with the South China Seafood Market and was in a very serious condition. He was transferred to the ICU and we saved him with Ecmo. He was discharged on Jan 28.





LIFE ON THE FRONT LINES

Caixin: What's your workload and the pace of your days like?

A The ICU is overloaded. There are three patient wards with 66 beds in South Central Hospital, housing 150 patients. Since Jan 7 when we received the first patient, no one has taken any leave. We took turns to work in the ICU. Even pregnant medical staff did not take leave. After the epidemic got worse, none of the medical staff went home. We rest in a hotel near the hospital or in the hospital.

In the segregated ward, we wear level-3 protective gear. One shift is 12 hours for a doctor and eight hours for a nurse. As there is a shortage of protective gear, there is only one set for each medical staff member a day. We refrain from eating or drinking during our shift because the gear is no longer protective once we go to the washroom.

The gear is thick, airtight and tough on our body. It felt uncomfortable at the beginning, but we are used to it now.





Caixin: Did you experience a very dangerous moment? For example, in the case of intubation, what do you do to prevent yourself from being infected?

A It is a new coronavirus. We are not sure of its nature and its path of spread. It is not true if we say we are not afraid. Medical staff members do fear to some extent. But patients need us. When a patient is out of breath and non-invasive oxygen provision fails, we must apply intubation.

The procedure is dangerous as the patient may vomit or spit. Medical staff are likely to be exposed to the danger of infection. We strictly require doctors and nurses to apply the highest-level protection. The biggest problem we face now is the shortage of protective gear. The protective stock for ICU staff is running low, although the hospital prioritises the supply to us.





SAD STORY OF PREGNANT PATIENT

Caixin: Is there anything that moved you in particular? Did you cry?

A I often cried because so many patients could not be admitted to the hospital. They wailed in front of the hospital. Some patients even knelt down to beg me to accept them, but there was nothing I could do as all the beds were occupied.

I shed tears while I turned them down. I have run out of tears now. I have no other thoughts but to try my best to save more lives.

The most regretful thing to me was a pregnant woman from Huanggang. She was in a very serious condition. Nearly 200,000 yuan (S$39,800) was spent after more than a week in the ICU. She was from the countryside, and the money for her hospitalisation had been borrowed from relatives and friends. Her condition was improving after the use of Ecmo, and she was likely to survive. But her husband decided to give up. He cried as he made his decision.

I wept too because I felt there was hope for her to be saved. The woman died after we gave up. And exactly the next day, the government announced a new policy that offers free treatment for all coronavirus-infected patients. I feel so sorry for that pregnant woman.

The deputy director of our department told me one thing, and he cried too. Wuhan Seventh hospital is in a partnership with our hospital, South Central Hospital. The deputy director went there to help in their ICU. He found that two-thirds of the medical staff in the ICU were already infected.

Doctors there were running "naked" as they knew they were set to be infected, given the shortage of protective gear. They still worked there nonetheless. That was why ICU medical staff were almost all sickened. It is too tough for our doctors and nurses.

Translated by Sun Huixia and Dave Yin. This story was originally published by Caixin Global.









DORSCON Orange: Singapore raises coronavirus outbreak alert on 7 February 2020; Singaporeans clear supermarket shelves in panic buying of essentials

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MOH steps up coronavirus response to code orange after 3 new cases with no known source
Under code orange, outbreak deemed to have moderate to high public health impact
By Chang Ai-Lien, Science and Health Editor and Salma Khalik, Senior Health Correspondent, The Straits Times, 8 Feb 2020

Singapore moved its disease outbreak response up one level to "orange" yesterday as the coronavirus spread further in the country, with three new cases announced of unknown origin, including a junior college teacher.

To date, four people here have been infected with the virus who have no known links to previous cases or any travel history to China.

Under the Disease Outbreak Response System Condition, "orange" means the outbreak is deemed to have moderate to high public health impact, though the situation is still under control. It is one step below "red", which signifies an out-of-control pandemic.

The emphasis will now be on "aggressively trying to stop or limit further spread", according to the Ministry of Health's (MOH) pandemic readiness and preparedness plan.

"We have been preparing for this scenario, and we are ready to manage the situation," said Health Minister Gan Kim Yong at a news conference yesterday.

"The key is quick detection and limiting further spread."



Globally, the situation has escalated, with nearly 32,000 people infected and more than 630 deaths. At least 320 patients are outside mainland China.

Singapore's heightened response comes as the ministry announced three new cases yesterday.

All are Singaporeans not linked to earlier clusters and who had not been to China recently.

They were discovered because hospitals here have been testing all pneumonia patients for the virus.

They are a 53-year-old man who was in Malaysia for three days last month; a 42-year-old woman who is a teacher at Victoria Junior College; and a 39-year-old woman who was in Malaysia from Jan 22 to Jan 29.

The total number of people infected here has grown to 33.



Two of the patients have been discharged, but two are now in critical condition and in the intensive care unit, said MOH.

With code orange, new precautionary measures to minimise the risk of further virus transmission to the community include schools cancelling inter-school events and external activities, companies implementing business continuity plans, limiting visits to pre-schools and eldercare services, and temperature screening in hospitals.



The Government has been ramping up its defences against the virus since last month, with many of the measures in "orange" already in place, and being stepped up now.

During yesterday's news conference, National Development Minister Lawrence Wong, co-chair of the multi-ministry task force tackling the outbreak, said the mortality rate in China is 2 per cent, but outside Hubei province, the mortality rate is 0.2 per cent.

Singapore has to be prepared for the situation to evolve in different ways. If it worsens, even more stringent measures may be adopted or, if the mortality rate remains low or falls further, a different approach could be taken, he said.

The coding system was set up after the 2003 severe acute respiratory syndrome (Sars) outbreak. Code orange was imposed during the H1N1 influenza outbreak in 2009.


After news of the raised outbreak response became public yesterday, politicians and supermarket chains asked shoppers to remain calm after items such as rice and noodles began flying off the shelves.

Some parents asked for school to be suspended, but Education Minister Ong Ye Kung said there was no need to do so. Given all the measures taken, schools may actually be one of the safest places for students, he noted in a Facebook post.



Said Mr Gan, who co-chairs the task force: "I understand Singaporeans are anxious, concerned, and there is much we don't yet know about the virus...

"Life cannot come to a standstill... We will do our best to contain the situation and keep Singaporeans safe."



Additional reporting by Timothy Goh and Rei Kurohi




 



































Move to orange alert reflects heightened virus risk: MOH
New measures taken in response; these could be reviewed or added to as situation evolves
By Salma Khalik, Senior Health Correspondent, The Straits Times, 8 Feb 2020

Singapore has stepped up its response to the coronavirus outbreak to code orange because of heightened risk, said the Ministry of Health (MOH).

This is because there are now four cases of infection with no known links to China or people already infected, which means the disease may be spreading in the community.

Under the Disease Outbreak Response System Condition (Dorscon), the orange alert means the outbreak is deemed to have moderate to high public health impact.

Health Minister Gan Kim Yong said yesterday: "As a response to local cases without any links to previous cases or travel history to China, we have stepped up our level."



With Singapore now in code orange, MOH said yesterday that it is introducing additional measures "to minimise the risk of further transmission of the virus in the community". The emphasis will now be on "aggressively trying to stop or limit further spread", according to MOH's pandemic readiness and preparedness plan.

Mr Gan noted that "many of the measures in 'orange' are already in place".

The different colours in the response levels therefore form a continum, rather than discrete levels, with measures that could be stepped up - or reviewed - in response to how the virus outbreak plays out in the weeks ahead.

For now, the new measures to be implemented are:

• Event organisers are advised to cancel or defer non-essential large-scale events. Those who choose to continue should take additional precautions.

• Carry out temperature checks.

• Look out for respiratory symptoms such as cough or runny nose, and deny entry to people who are sick.

• Ask participants to declare travel history to China.

• Ensure the venue is well ventilated with enough facilities for hand washing.

• Increase frequency of cleaning of commonly used areas.

• Maintain a registration list of participants if possible.

• People who are on leave of absence should not attend such events.

• Employers are urged to require staff to conduct regular temperature-taking, at least twice a day. Anyone with a fever should see a doctor immediately. If their temperature is above 38 deg C, they should not be at work. Staff should also be checked for cough or runny nose.

• Companies should step up their business continuity plans, which may include asking employees to telecommute or segregating them into teams.

• MOH will implement temperature screening and closer controls of entry points into hospitals. Patients with pneumonia will be separated from other patients to reduce risk of transmission.

• Schools will immediately stop all inter-school and external activities till the end of the March school holidays. This includes the National School Games, learning journeys and camps. Primary school teachers will take pupils to toilets to wash their hands before recess and snack breaks. Secondary school students will be reminded to do so.

• Pre-schools and eldercare facilities will limit the number of visitors to their premises.

These reflect measures Singapore had implemented during the Sars outbreak. It is only the second time Singapore has activated code orange. The first was for the swine flu (H1N1) outbreak in 2009.



MOH said that all its measures will be effective only if people play their part. Mr Gan added: "We are closely monitoring the situation and will further ramp up measures if necessary."

But it will all depend on how the situation evolves. Mr Gan said: "If we are able to contain the cases, determine the sources of the cases, and those we could not determine have recovered and (are) discharged, we will consider stepping back to 'yellow'."




























 












With code orange, avoid shaking hands, but no need for those who are well to wear mask: Ministry of Health (MOH)
By Timothy Goh, The Straits Times, 8 Feb 2020

Avoid shaking hands during this period and adopt alternative greetings instead, the Ministry of Health (MOH) said yesterday following a rise in the Republic's response level to the coronavirus outbreak to code orange.

The Disease Outbreak Response System Condition level was raised following the confirmation of four cases here with no recent travel history to China or links to previous cases, indicating that the disease is severe and spreads easily, but is being contained.

Despite this, however, the health authorities say there is still no need for those who are well to wear a mask.



The director of medical services at MOH, Associate Professor Kenneth Mak, said this is because the main mode by which the virus is transmitted is through droplets.

Therefore, touching contaminated surfaces, and then touching your nose, mouth and eyes, could put you at risk of getting infected.

"This form of transmission is best combated by regular hand washing, and with those who are ill wearing a mask to protect others, seeing a doctor as early as possible, and avoiding going into crowded places.

"But for the general public, wearing a mask is not needed," said Prof Mak.

MOH has said that even if there is community transmission, the most effective method to prevent the spread of the virus is to practise good personal hygiene. This involves regular hand washing with soap and water, and using hand sanitisers when they are unavailable.

The ministry emphasised that people should not touch their faces unnecessarily, especially if their hands are not clean.

Those who are unwell should stay at home. If they must go out, they should wear a mask and avoid coming into close and sustained proximity with others.



Workers who come cross customers who are unwell should immediately advise customers to leave and see a doctor, said the Health Ministry.

Minister for Health Gan Kim Yong, who co-chairs the multi-ministry task force that is tackling the spread of the virus here, said: "I understand that Singaporeans are anxious and concerned, and there is much we do not know about the virus... Life cannot come to a standstill, but we should take all the necessary precautions and carry on."
















No need to suspend school, says Education Minister Ong Ye Kung, after some parents express concern about children’s safety
Minister allays parents' concerns, says schools may actually be one of the safest places for kids
By Timothy Goh and Jolene Ang, The Straits Times, 8 Feb 2020

There is no need to suspend school, Education Minister Ong Ye Kung said last night, after some parents expressed concern about their children's safety as Singapore raised its response to the coronavirus outbreak to code orange.

In fact, with enhanced measures being implemented, schools may actually be one of the safest places for the children.

"Some parents have suggested suspending school. But this is a drastic move that will disrupt life for many families, and it is also not realistic to expect older children to stay home the whole time school is closed," Mr Ong said in a Facebook post last night.



Systemwide, the Ministry of Education (MOE) has implemented enhanced measures including suspending inter-school activities and external activities until the end of the March school holidays.

"This is to reduce the mixing of students across schools and exposure to large crowds at public places," said Mr Ong.

"We have also put in place a stringent hygiene regime, ensuring students and staff practise good personal hygiene, and also social hygiene protocols such as wiping down surfaces after use," he added.

Mr Ong said: "Should there be wide community spread - which we hope will not happen - and given all the measures we have taken, schools may actually be one of the safest places for our students."

"We are calling on our 33,000 educators to make that happen," he added. "We will continue to monitor the situation and do the necessary steps to keep our people safe."



MOE announced the enhanced measures yesterday, the same day the Health Ministry raised its Disease Outbreak Response System Condition to code orange.

MOE will first enhance its social distancing measures across all its schools, director of schools Liew Wei Li said at a news conference yesterday afternoon.

This means that all external and inter-school activities will be suspended until the end of the March school holidays on March 22.

Hygiene protocols will also be stepped up. In primary schools, teachers will take pupils to the toilet to wash their hands before recess and snack breaks. Secondary school students will be reminded to do the same.

As schools commemorate Total Defence Day next week, a new protocol will also be put in place: Getting students to clean their eating surfaces after their meals.



Earlier in the week, MOE had announced other measures to combat the virus, including suspending large group and communal activities such as assemblies and camps, and staggered recess times.

At Farrer Park Primary School yesterday morning, pupils learnt that masks should be worn only when they are unwell.

This is to prevent germs from being spread to others, they were taught in a character and citizenship education class, during a media visit.

The school's principal Cheong Hwee Khim, 53, said an annual Primary 5 outdoor adventure camp that was slated to begin on Monday was postponed following the announcement of the measures.

Ms Cheong, a teacher during the severe acute respiratory syndrome (Sars) outbreak in 2003, said a lesson drawn from then was the importance of being prepared. Her pupils are used to temperature-taking, with drills done twice a year.

The school now has four recess timings, up from two, she added. "We looked at our timetable to see how we could split the children into different groups. And at the same time, we don't want to disrupt teaching and learning in class."

Of the 622 pupils in the school, just one is on a 14-day leave of absence. This is implemented for those with recent travel history to China.

The teachers check in on him every day.

The school has about 65 teaching and support staff. None is on leave of absence.

Primary 5 pupil Joel Ng, 11, said: "If we all do our part, we can overcome this as a nation, like my teachers said we did for Sars."

Architect Wendy Koh, 39, whose daughter in Primary 4 is in Haig Girls' School, said she is wary of the coronavirus situation, but will let her daughter continue to go to school.

She said the school is doing a good job. For example, it had asked the children to eat in their classrooms during recess, and also advised against playing outside.

"The Government should look at boosting home-based learning options, such as a live stream of classes by teachers, in case the situation worsens," she said.










National School Games suspended until March 2020, other sports events also affected by virus
By Sazali Abdul Aziz, Correspondent, The Straits Times, 8 Feb 2020

A number of local sports events, including those at the school level and national sports leagues, have been either cancelled or postponed after Singapore upped its disease outbreak response to the coronavirus to code orange yesterday.

Others are stepping up measures to prevent the spread of the coronavirus, or choosing to proceed with caution.

The Ministry of Education (MOE) announced that all external school activities and inter-school activities, including the ongoing National School Games, will be suspended until the end of the March school holidays as part of precautionary measures against the virus outbreak.

"These additional measures are intended to help schools minimise exposure of students to the public and avoid mixing of students across schools," an MOE spokes-man said in a media statement.



Dr Dawn Lim, whose three children - Joel, 13, Joshua, 15, and Clare, 17 - are in the Anglo-Chinese School (Independent) tennis team, said it is the right move.

Joshua was scheduled to play in the B Division Boys team semi-finals on Wednesday.

"Obviously, the children will be disappointed because they have been looking forward to the competition and preparing for it," said Dr Lim, who runs a private practice.

"But everyone understands the unique situation, and that health and safety come first. This situation is not something we can control, and (the moves) are for the good of everyone."

In the light of the heightened level, the Singapore Sports Hub has cancelled the ongoing National Stadium Open House this weekend as well as its KpopX Fitness event, which was aiming to enter the Singapore Book of Records for the largest number of participants.

In a media statement, the Sports Hub said it would implement additional precautionary measures, such as requiring vendors and visitors to fill up a travel declaration form and increasing the cleaning frequency of common areas.

The Football Association of Singapore (FAS) will adopt a range of precautionary measures for upcoming games, which include those in the Asian Football Confederation (AFC) Cup tournament from Feb 12 to May 12. Teams from Vietnam, Laos, Myanmar, Indonesia and the Philippines are scheduled to play Singaporean sides Hougang United and Tampines Rovers here.

"We will require participants to register and provide travel declaration upon arrival at the event venue," said an FAS spokesman. Participants will be required to provide contact details for the purposes of contact tracing.

The FAS is also weighing postponing, suspending or cancelling games in the Singapore Premier League, which kicks off on Feb 29, and it said this would be decided after "a comprehensive assessment of the situation and in consultation with the relevant government authorities".

The Netball Super League, which starts today, will be played behind closed doors for now. The games will be streamed live via Netball Singapore's Facebook page.

But for the Singapore Slingers, who play Chinese Taipei side Fubon Braves in the Asean Basketball League at the Sports Hub on Sunday, the game will proceed as normal except for added temperature checks for spectators attending the event.
















Tweet on school closures circulating online a fake
CNA debunks fake tweet announcing school closure due to coronavirus outbreak
By Linette Lai, Political Correspondent, The Straits Times, 8 Feb 2020

Screenshots of a fake tweet suggesting that all schools, including polytechnics and universities, will be closed on Monday because of the coronavirus outbreak have been circulating on social media.

This is not true, the Government said on its Gov.sg website yesterday.

Broadcaster CNA added that the image appears to have been a doctored screengrab of a tweet it sent out yesterday afternoon.

One tell-tale sign that the image is fake is that it was watermarked with an outdated logo, CNA said.



Following the stepping up of the coronavirus outbreak alert level to code orange, the Education Ministry said yesterday that it will suspend all external school activities and inter-school activities until the end of the March school holidays.

These activities include the National School Games as well as learning journeys.

"These additional measures are intended to help schools minimise exposure of students to the public and avoid mixing of students across schools," MOE said in a statement.

Singapore had moved to code orange during the H1N1 influenza outbreak in 2009. The coding system was set up after the 2003 outbreak of Sars, or severe acute respiratory syndrome.

Under the Disease Outbreak Response System Condition (Dorscon), orange means the outbreak is deemed to have moderate to high public health impact.

It acknowledges there is local spread, with a possibility the disease may spread even more widely across the country. It also indicates that the disease is being contained.





Gas analysis conference at Grand Hyatt Singapore linked to infections
Event was hosted by company with offices in Europe, Asia
By Tan Tam Mei and Tiffany Fumiko Tay, The Straits Times, 8 Feb 2020

The business event at the Grand Hyatt Singapore that has been linked to at least five coronavirus cases in three countries was hosted by a global gas analysis company with offices in Europe and Asia.

The conference, held over three days from Jan 20, was organised by British company Servomex, Chinese evening daily Lianhe Wanbao reported.

Singapore's Ministry of Health had previously said that 109 company employees - 94 from overseas and 15 local staff - attended the conference.

A 27-year-old Singaporean man who was at the meeting is among those confirmed to have contracted the coronavirus, which originated from the central Chinese city of Wuhan. One foreign staff member at the meeting was from Wuhan.

The company did not reply to queries from The Straits Times.



Two South Koreans, aged 36 and 38, and a 41-year-old Malaysian, who were at the meeting also tested positive after returning home, sparking an investigation by the World Health Organisation.

Yesterday, a middle-aged British man who attended the meeting was also confirmed to have the virus. He is the first British national to contract the virus.

He was taken to St Thomas' Hospital in London and is currently being treated at a specialist infectious diseases unit.

A member of a lion dance troupe that had performed at the Servomex Sales Conference at the Grand Hyatt on Jan 20 said eight other troupe members performed onstage during the event.

The group learnt through news reports that it was the same business event where several attendees were later found to have contracted the coronavirus.

"We were a bit shocked. But the performance was only five to 10 minutes long and they left straight after," said the troupe member, who did not take part in the performance.

He added that his colleagues neither had direct contact with the conference members nor ate any food there. None of those in the lion dance troupe has shown any symptoms of the virus or been asked to take a leave of absence, he said, adding that members are taking precautions such as daily temperature monitoring.

Grand Hyatt Singapore's general manager Willi Martin said on Thursday that details about the three infections in the hotel were still sketchy.

"The Singapore Ministry of Health is still investigating the cases with the relevant authorities and has not advised details on how, where or when these individuals were infected with the virus," he said.

The hotel has since engaged a government-appointed external agency to conduct a thorough sanitisation of potentially impacted rooms, said Mr Martin.

Deep-cleaning measures have also been introduced in public areas, restaurants, meeting spaces, guestrooms and the hotel's spa and fitness centre.




















Politicians, supermarkets urge calm amid panic-buying of groceries
No risk of shortage of essential food, household items
Shoppers urged to be calm amid panic buying at supermarts as S'pore has sufficient stocks
By Audrey Tan, Science and Environment Correspondent, The Straits Times, 8 Feb 2020

Government leaders and supermarket chain representatives yesterday called on shoppers to remain calm, saying Singapore has sufficient stocks of essential supplies and food.

This was after items began flying off the shelves at some supermarkets here after Singapore announced earlier in the day that it would be raising its disease outbreak response to the coronavirus situation by a notch to "orange", just below the highest level of "red".

Minister for Trade and Industry Chan Chun Sing gave his assurance in a Facebook post that Singapore's supply lines for essential supplies such as rice and instant noodles are intact.

"There is no risk of us running a shortage of essential food or household items. We also have our national stockpile for essential items," said Mr Chan, adding that his ministry is in close contact with retailers here.



Other politicians who also encouraged the public not to hoard groceries included labour chief and Minister in the Prime Minister's Office Ng Chee Meng, and Workers' Party chief Pritam Singh.

Mr Singh shared a Facebook post by supermarket chain FairPrice's chief executive Seah Kian Peng telling people not to panic buy, and added: "There is no need to hoard items. We will all get through this together."



Under the Disease Outbreak Response System Condition (Dorscon), "orange" means the outbreak is deemed to have moderate to high public health impact.

The Government's announcement of moving its disease outbreak response up a level to "orange" came after three more Singaporeans, who did not have any links to previous cases or travel history to China, were confirmed to be infected with the coronavirus originating from China's Wuhan city.

Representatives from supermarkets also assured the public that Singapore has enough stocks of food and groceries, and urged shoppers to exercise restraint.

FairPrice's Mr Seah said there was a surge and some panic buying of food and groceries at its physical and online stores, resulting in some shelves being emptied.



He urged people to remain calm as stocks are being replenished.

Mr Seah said: "We have stocks and they are being replenished from our warehouse, but if everyone starts to buy a lot more than what they need, there will never be enough.

"I hope we all stay calm and not get into this mode of behaviour."

FairPrice has also stepped up the cleaning regime for all its stores, made available hand sanitisers for customers to use in-store, and put in place twice-daily temperature screening for all staff. Masks are distributed to staff for their use should they feel unwell.

A spokesman for Sheng Siong, another supermarket chain, also called on shoppers to avoid over-buying.

"Currently, we have sufficient inventory in Singapore for food supplies and toiletries to meet customers' usual daily needs," she said.

"Customers do not need to over-purchase on groceries and necessities. Our sources of supply are well diversified, and we will continue to work closely with our suppliers."

Meanwhile, a Singapore Food Agency (SFA) spokesman told The Straits Times that Singapore does not import livestock or raw meat from China.

But as there is no evidence that coronavirus infections are linked to food consumption, no restrictions have been imposed on food imports from China, she said.

Still, in the event of any food supply disruptions caused by the outbreak, Singapore's food supply is unlikely to be affected as Singapore imports its food from more than 170 countries.

While fresh food items such as vegetables, fruits and fish are imported from China, the country is not the Republic's only source, said the SFA spokesman. Singapore also imports from Malaysia, Indonesia, Vietnam, Thailand, the United States, Australia and South Africa.

"Diversification has always been one of our key strategies to ensure a secure supply of safe food," said the SFA spokesman. "Our importers are ready to tap other available sources should there be a disruption of food supply to minimise the overall impact on our food supply."















Supermarkets restock shelves after coronavirus concerns lead to queues; some say hoarding is 'ridiculous'
Heedless of crowds and bug, some rush to stock up on goods
By Michelle Ng, The Sunday Times, 9 Feb 2020

Toilet paper rolls, rice, instant noodles, cooking oil and other essentials are among the items flying off supermarket shelves amid concerns over the coronavirus, even as stores work steadily to restock products and reassure shoppers that there is no shortage.

A check of more than 10 supermarkets across Singapore yesterday morning saw larger than usual weekend crowds; the frenzy starting on Friday after the coronavirus outbreak alert was raised a notch from yellow to orange.

The Sunday Times visited FairPrice, Cold Storage, Sheng Siong, Isetan, Meidi-Ya and Prime supermarkets in areas like Canberra, Serangoon North, Hougang, Orchard, Holland Village, Clementi and Pasir Ris.

At the FairPrice outlet in Joo Koon, a customer had 16 bags of rice in his trolley.

Over at Pasir Ris West Plaza, domestic worker Miu Miu, 30, who queued for 45 minutes to buy the last available carton of eggs, said: "So many items are missing; it's as though the store is giving them away for free."

Cargo driver Ben Aguilar, 33, who was shopping at FairPrice in Hougang 1, said: "It has never been this crowded. I bought a lot of processed meat since all the fresh meat has already run out."

Insurance agent Jeff Chiew, 29, and his wife, who made a trip to Sheng Siong supermarket in Canberra just as it opened, said they are stocking up on instant noodles, which they do not usually eat.

He said: "Since everyone is stocking up, we're also doing the same but just buying a little more for standby. Nothing too crazy."

But not everyone is buying into the frenzy.

Mother of one Latifah Kamil, 31, described the situation as "ridiculous" and said she will not be buying anything she does not need.

"I'm a bit worried because my kid is five months old and I will take extra safety precautions, but I won't go out and stock up on food. It's not like we're stuck at home; life still goes on as usual," she said.

IT consultant Howard Chong, 39, and his wife, who were out on their weekly grocery run, decided to buy only a few more packets of frozen processed food items "just in case".

Grocery delivery slots have been snapped up, as more opt to stay home or avoid crowded places amid the spread of the coronavirus.

Checks by The Sunday Times showed that delivery slots on RedMart, FairPrice and Amazon's Prime Now were sold out.

Additional reporting by Cheryl Tan










Coronavirus: No shortage of food here, say leaders in appeal for calm amid panic buying
Masagos says there is no food shortage; MPs, President ask Singaporeans to be responsible
By Timothy Goh, The Sunday Times, 9 Feb 2020

Political leaders and experts have come out in force to call for calm and urge people to be responsible, following a second day of panic buying of provisions at stores here.

Photos and videos of empty supermarket shelves and people purchasing large amounts of food flooded social media, after Singapore raised its response level to the coronavirus outbreak from yellow to orange on Friday.

Environment and Water Resources Minister Masagos Zulkifli emphasised, however, that Singapore has enough food stocks, with others like MP for Nee Soon GRC Lee Bee Wah saying that the island's supply chains remain intact, and sociologist Paulin Straughan condemning the hoarding behaviour as "irrational".



Yesterday, President Halimah Yacob urged Singaporeans not to succumb to behaviours that are "not helpful to ourselves or our community".

"The Government is giving very regular, almost daily, updates on what's happening and the current status to be absolutely upfront, but it may create a sense of urgency in people. I hope that people take this information and process it in a rational manner," she said.

Mr Masagos said the challenge is in transporting the food from warehouses to shelves islandwide so that they are always filled, and that the recent panic buying of food from stores would contribute to false impressions of a food shortage.

"This is not the way to meet challenges that our country is facing - all we have to do is keep calm," he said.

Ms Lee said: "Ironically, the only thing leading to empty shelves is the panic buying."

But she noted that it seemed to be dying down as of yesterday evening, with shorter queues and restocking efforts catching up.

"If people stop panic buying, the restocking can catch up within a day," she added, emphasising that Singapore's food supply chains remain intact.



MacPherson MP Tin Pei Ling felt that the panic buying revealed fears about Singapore going into a lockdown situation similar to that of Wuhan, the epicentre of the virus.

"There's no curfew, there's no lockdown... just that everyone's being asked to be more cautious," she said. "People's anxiety can be fully understood, but if it's going to go into panic, that's not going to be very helpful. We need to be clearer about what situation we're in."

She added that she met residents yesterday morning and explained what going to code orange means.

"The most important thing is to keep calm - the Government and NTUC have given assurance that there's enough. But if everyone's buying much more than they need, then it'll be quite challenging," she said.



Infectious diseases expert Paul Tambyah agreed that fear of quarantine was likely driving people to stock up on groceries and other essentials.

"People are afraid that if they get quarantined, they will not be able to leave the house during the two-week quarantine period, and be unable to stock up on their favourite chocolate or other items," he said.

The Singapore Psychological Society also weighed in yesterday on its Facebook page, posting a list of seven things people here can do to help manage their fight-or-flight response to the situation.

Professor Straughan of Singapore Management University said that the food items being hoarded - tinned goods, dried food and rice - reflected a concern for the long haul. She added that most of the time, "irrational acts" such as hoarding occur when there is a lack of information, or if people do not trust the information they are given.

However, she added: "People don't act (like this) without some truth to their fears.

"We've seen situations where masks, thermometers and sanitisers have disappeared, so it feeds in to this perception that food might disappear next - or even toilet paper."

Additional reporting by Dominic Low and Michelle Ng











Adequate supplies of essentials, no need to hoard, says FairPrice CEO Seah Kian Peng
By Michelle Ng, The Sunday Times, 9 Feb 2020

Buy what you need, without hoarding, as there are adequate supplies of food and other essentials, said supermarket chain FairPrice's group chief executive Seah Kian Peng yesterday.

FairPrice has over nine million rolls of toilet paper, 1.2 million packs of instant noodles and four million kg of rice, with more coming in through routine daily shipments, he added.

"If you want to buy a little bit more, go ahead, but there's no need to create a stockpile at home because if everyone is trying to do it on the same day and at the same time, it adds strain to the system," said Mr Seah.



He was speaking to the media yesterday at FairPrice's Benoi Distribution Centre.

On Friday, hours after Singapore raised its disease outbreak response to the coronavirus situation from yellow to orange, items such as rice, instant noodles, toilet and tissue paper were sold out within hours in some supermarkets.

The demand for rice increased by five times, instant noodles by four times and toilet paper by 21/2 times on Friday, he said.



The frenzy was something he "did not expect", but he stressed that there is an ample stock of essential supplies and food to go around.

FairPrice has increased the volume of daily essentials being sent to the stores by three times; delivery trips have also been doubled. Prices of daily essentials will also be kept stable to deter profiteering.

"We are here to help moderate the cost of living, so we always try to hold the prices as stable and as affordable as we can," said Mr Seah.

But FairPrice may limit the purchase of certain products if the buying frenzy does not ease, he added.

It was a similar call for calm from operators of other supermarkets and online stores.



Mr Pierre Poignant, chief executive of Lazada Group, which operates RedMart, said customers who have already checked out and secured a delivery slot should use the "Order Amend" function to change or add to their existing order, so that others can secure a delivery slot too.

Mr Christopher Bush, CEO of SEA Food, Dairy Farm Group, said there was no need to purchase in bulk. He added that its stores have also reinforced their sanitisation and hygiene protocols to protect employees and customers.

FairPrice has also activated more manpower to cope with the surge in shopping. Lead hand logistic assistant Yusman Ahmad, 48, said this was one of the busiest periods in his 26 years working in the FairPrice distribution centre. Sunday is his rest day, but he is on standby to come back to work.




 
















Discipline, processes will be strengthened after MOH DORSON Orange press release leak, says Minister-in-charge of the Public Service Chan Chun Sing
By Tee Zhuo, The Straits Times, 9 Feb 2020

Officials should not spread information prematurely as this could cause confusion and alarm during a crisis situation, said Minister-in-charge of the Public Service Chan Chun Sing on Sunday (Feb 9).

"Internally we will make sure that our processes are strengthened and our people involved in all these know their roles well," said Mr Chan, who is part of the multi-ministry coronavirus task force.

Mr Chan was responding to questions from reporters about a Health Ministry press release on Friday announcing Singapore was moving to the orange disease outbreak status.

While the news officially broke after about 5.20pm that day, an earlier version of the release had been leaked to the public several hours before and was circulating widely on WhatsApp and other channels.



Mr Chan, who is also Trade and Industry Minister, said officials should have the discipline and maturity not to share information prematurely.

But at the same time, in order to work fast during a crisis situation, information needs to be shared simultaneously with multiple agencies, he said.

Mr Chan shared that when Singapore switched its Disease Outbreak Response System Condition (Dorscon) to orange, all ministries had to step up measures.

The Government was able to execute changes within a few hours because it worked as a network where "everybody chipped in".

Working on a purely hierarchical process would slow down the Government's response to contingencies, he added.

"We should not swing to the other extreme because of this incident, and then therefore, slow down the whole process and in the end, fellow Singaporeans don't get the information in a timely manner," he said.

Speaking to reporters after a walkabout in Jurong West, the minister also shared that business continuity plans have kicked in for various ministries after a joint advisory to employers by the Manpower Ministry, National Trades Union Congress and the Singapore National Employers Federation on Friday.

Temperature checks and allowing staff to work from home were among some of the measures the advisory recommended following the shift to Dorscon orange.

Mr Chan said that all private sector employers and public agencies should adopt such measures, and shared that ministries have started to make preparations for possible split team arrangements.

"(This will) make sure that we can continue to operate round the clock to serve Singaporeans, notwithstanding the challenges of the virus," he said.





















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Fear and panic can do more harm than coronavirus: PM Lee Hsien Loong

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He urges Singaporeans to stay united and resolute, adding that nation is much better prepared to deal with situation than it was 17 years ago with SARS
By Linette Lai, Political Correspondent, The Sunday Times, 9 Feb 2020

The coronavirus outbreak is a test of Singapore's social cohesion and psychological resilience, said Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong, as the country announced seven new confirmed cases yesterday.

It is the biggest jump reported in a single day, bringing the total number of people infected here to 40. Four are in critical condition, the Ministry of Health (MOH) said in an update last night.

A possible new cluster has also been identified, linked to The Life Church and Missions Singapore in Paya Lebar, the third after a medical products shop in Lavender and the Grand Hyatt Singapore.

Among the new confirmed cases are a taxi driver and a private-hire car driver. MOH added that for the general public, the risk of infection from transient contact, such as on public transport or in public places, is assessed to be low.

In a recorded video message released earlier in the evening, PM Lee urged Singaporeans to take courage and see through the current stressful time together.

"Fear and anxiety are natural human reactions. We all want to protect ourselves and our families from what is still a new and unknown disease," he said.

PM Lee added: "But fear can do more harm than the virus itself. It can make us panic, or do things which make matters worse, like circulating rumours online, hoarding face masks or food, or blaming particular groups for the outbreak."

Instead, he held up as positive examples those who have gone the extra mile by volunteering to distribute masks to households, or delivering food to schoolmates on leave of absence.



Healthcare workers are on the front line treating patients, while others - including business federations, unions and public transport workers - are keeping Singapore running, he said.

"They are inspirations to all of us," said PM Lee, who also delivered his message in Mandarin and Malay. "This is what it means to be Singaporean. This is who we are."

Singapore is much better prepared to deal with the new coronavirus than it was 17 years ago, when the severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) outbreak occurred, PM Lee said.

It has stockpiled adequate supplies of masks and personal protective equipment, and expanded and upgraded medical facilities, including the new National Centre for Infectious Diseases.

It also has more advanced research capabilities to study the virus, and its doctors and nurses are better trained to deal with the situation.

"We are psychologically better prepared too," PM Lee added. "Singaporeans know what to expect, and how to react. Most importantly, having overcome SARS once, we know that we can pull through this too."

He pointed out that although the new virus is more infectious than SARS - and therefore harder to stop from spreading - it is much less dangerous.

About 10 per cent of those who contracted SARS died. But outside Hubei, the epicentre of the coronavirus outbreak, the death rate is only 0.2 per cent so far.

In comparison, seasonal influenza has a death rate of 0.1 per cent.

In Singapore, MOH said that among the 40 confirmed cases, two have been discharged, and most of the rest are stable or improving.

As of noon yesterday, 438 of the suspect cases have tested negative, while test results for the remaining 181 cases are pending.

MOH has so far identified 758 close contacts. Of the 663 who are still in Singapore, 647 have been contacted and are being quarantined or isolated.

Efforts are ongoing to contact the remaining 16 close contacts.



"But the situation is still evolving. Every day brings new developments, and we have to respond promptly and dynamically," PM Lee said. On Friday, Singapore raised the outbreak alert level to orange as more cases emerged with no known links to previous cases, or travel history to China.

Alongside moves to tighten access to hospitals and take extra precautions at large public events, PM Lee said he has postponed this year's Chinese New Year Istana Garden Party for grassroots leaders, which was to be held today.

If the numbers keep growing, Singapore will have to reconsider its strategy at some point, PM Lee said. This could mean encouraging those with mild symptoms to see a GP and stay at home, letting hospitals and healthcare workers focus on the most vulnerable patients.

He urged Singaporeans to stay united and resolute.

"Take sensible precautions, help one another, stay calm, and carry on with our lives," he said.
















Coronavirus: Singapore to review strategy if cases climb, says Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong
Hospitals should be able to focus on most vulnerable patients, says PM Lee
By Linette Lai, Political Correspondent, The Sunday Times, 9 Feb 2020

Singapore will have to reconsider its strategy if the number of coronavirus cases continues to grow, said Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong yesterday.

"If the virus is widespread, it is futile to try to trace every contact. If we still hospitalise and isolate every suspect case, our hospitals will be overwhelmed," he said in a statement on the outbreak.

"At that point, provided that the fatality rate stays low like flu, we should shift our approach."

In such circumstances, those who have only mild symptoms should see a general practitioner and rest at home instead of going to the hospital, Mr Lee said.

Hospitals and healthcare workers will then be able to focus on the most vulnerable patients - the elderly, young children and those with medical complications.

"We are not at that point yet," PM Lee added. "It may or may not happen, but we are thinking ahead and anticipating the next few steps. And I am sharing these possibilities with you, so that we are all mentally prepared for what may come."

Outside the epicentre of China's Hubei province, the death rate for the new virus has stood at 0.2 per cent so far.

In comparison, seasonal influenza has a death rate of 0.1 per cent, while that of the severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) virus is around 10 per cent.

"So in terms of mortality, the new virus is much closer to influenza than SARS," PM Lee said.

Last Friday, Singapore raised its disease outbreak alert level to orange, meaning that the outbreak is deemed to have moderate to high public health impact.



It is an acknowledgement that there is local spread, with a possibility that the disease may spread even more widely across the country. But in spite of the increased spread, the situation is still considered to be under control.

"In the last few days, we have seen some cases which cannot be traced to the source of infection. These worried us, because it showed that the virus is probably already circulating in our own population," PM Lee said.

He added that this is why the outbreak alert level has been raised to orange and the Government is stepping up measures.

These include reducing mingling in schools, tightening access to hospitals, and taking extra precautions at large public events.

The last time the outbreak alert status was raised to orange was in 2009, for the H1N1 swine flu outbreak.

"So there is no need to panic. We are not locking down the city or confining everybody to stay at home. We have ample supplies, so there is no need to stock up with instant noodles, tinned food or toilet paper, as some people did yesterday," PM Lee added, referring to Friday.



Professor David Heymann of the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, who headed the World Health Organisation's global response to SARS in 2003, said that much is unknown about the disease. For instance, the current understanding of the virus' mortality rate is "skewed" because until recently, China was looking only at people with pneumonia.

However, many more probably have the disease in a milder form, so the base number of patients could be much larger, he said.

The experts are also still unclear about how transmissible the virus is, Prof Heymann said, adding that there is no lifelong immunity for coronavirus infections.

Additional reporting by Salma Khalik















PM Lee Hsien Loong on the Novel Coronavirus (nCoV) Situation in Singapore on 8 February 2020

'Whatever the situation, we can each do our part'
Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong spoke yesterday about the coronavirus situation in Singapore. Here is his statement in full.
The Sunday Times, 9 Feb 2020

We have faced the new coronavirus (nCoV) situation for about two weeks now.

The Ministerial Task Force, advised by Deputy Prime Minister Heng Swee Keat, has been leading the Government's response to this outbreak. They have been dealing with new developments every day, and holding regular press briefings to keep Singaporeans informed every step of the way.

Today, I want to speak to you directly, to explain where we are, and what may lie ahead.

We went through severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) 17 years ago, so we are much better prepared to deal with nCoV this time. Practically, we have stockpiled adequate supplies of masks and personal protective equipment. We have expanded and upgraded our medical facilities, including the new National Centre for Infectious Diseases. We have more advanced research capabilities to study the virus. We have more well-trained doctors and nurses to deal with this situation. We are psychologically better prepared too. Singaporeans know what to expect, and how to react. Most importantly, having overcome SARS once, we know that we can pull through this too.



The new coronavirus is similar to SARS, but with two important differences. First, the new virus is more infectious than SARS. Therefore it is harder to stop it from spreading. Second, the new virus is much less dangerous than SARS. About 10 per cent of those who caught SARS died. With the new virus, outside of Hubei province, the mortality rate is so far only 0.2 per cent. In comparison, seasonal influenza has a death rate of 0.1 per cent. So in terms of mortality, the new virus is much closer to influenza than SARS.

But the situation is still evolving. Every day brings new developments, and we have to respond promptly and dynamically. So far, most of our cases have either been imported from China, or can be traced to imported cases. When we discover them, we have isolated the patients, done contact tracing and quarantined close contacts. This has contained the spread and helped stamp out several local clusters. But in the last few days, we have seen some cases which cannot be traced to the source of infection. These worried us, because it showed that the virus is probably already circulating in our own population. This is why we raised the Dorscon (Disease Outbreak Response System Condition) to orange yesterday, and are stepping up measures. We are reducing mingling in schools. We are tightening up access to our hospitals. We are taking extra precautions at large public events. I have already postponed my Chinese New Year Istana Garden Party for grassroots leaders, which was to be held tomorrow. We have raised Dorscon to orange before. You may not remember, but this was in 2009, for the H1N1 swine flu. So there is no need to panic. We are not locking down the city or confining everybody to stay at home. We have ample supplies, so there is no need to stock up with instant noodles, tinned food or toilet paper, as some people did yesterday.

Whatever the situation, we can each do our part. One, observe personal hygiene - wash your hands often, and avoid touching your eyes or face unnecessarily. Two, take your temperature twice daily. And three, if you are not well, please avoid crowded places and see a doctor immediately. These simple steps do not take much effort, but if we all do them, they will go a long way towards containing the spread of the virus.

Right now, we are continuing to do contact tracing and to quarantine close contacts. But I expect to see more cases with no known contacts in the coming days.

If the numbers keep growing, at some point we will have to reconsider our strategy. If the virus is widespread, it is futile to try to trace every contact. If we still hospitalise and isolate every suspect case, our hospitals will be overwhelmed. At that point, provided that the fatality rate stays as low as the flu's, we should shift our approach. Encourage those who have only mild symptoms to see their family GP, and rest at home instead of going to the hospital, and let hospitals and healthcare workers focus on the most vulnerable patients - the elderly, young children and those with medical complications.

We are not at that point yet. It may or may not happen, but we are thinking ahead and anticipating the next few steps. And I am sharing these possibilities with you, so that we are all mentally prepared for what may come.

I am confident of the medical outcome of this outbreak. Most Singaporeans should remain well, and of those who get ill, most should expect to recover. Among those who have been hospitalised so far, most are stable or improving. Several have already recovered and been discharged, although a few remain in critical condition.

But the real test is to our social cohesion and psychological resilience. Fear and anxiety are natural human reactions. We all want to protect ourselves and our families from what is still a new and unknown disease. But fear can do more harm than the virus itself.

It can make us panic, or do things which make matters worse, such as circulating rumours online, hoarding face masks or food, or blaming particular groups for the outbreak. We should take courage and see through this stressful time together.

That is in fact what many Singaporeans are doing. Grassroots leaders and Team Nila volunteers have stepped forward to help distribute masks to households. University students are delivering food daily to schoolmates confined to their dormitories on leave of absence. Healthcare workers are on the front line, treating patients in hospitals and clinics and helping them get well again.

Business federations, unions and public transport workers are going the extra mile to maintain services, take care of workers and keep Singapore running.

They are inspirations to all of us. This is what it means to be Singaporean. This is who we are.

Let us stay united and resolute in this new coronavirus outbreak. Take sensible precautions, help one another, stay calm and carry on with our lives.















Singapore doing it right with measures, says expert who led WHO's fight against SARS
By Salma Khalik, Senior Health Correspondent, The Sunday Times, 9 Feb 2020

Singapore is doing what is needed to try to contain the coronavirus outbreak, said an infectious diseases expert who headed the World Health Organisation's (WHO) global response to SARS in 2003.

Professor David Heymann of the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine said this may make things inconvenient for people, but "you have to put precautionary measures in until you understand what the potential of this outbreak is".

"So every precautionary measure based on national assessment should be followed," he added.

Prof Heymann currently chairs the Strategic and Technical Advisory Group for Infectious Hazards, which provides independent advice to WHO on potential threats to global health security.

He said Singapore "is not overdoing it" with the measures it has introduced.

Singapore moved to code orange on Friday and new measures include cancelling large-scale events if possible.

Earlier measures include not allowing non-residents who had been in Hubei in the past fortnight, or people holding passports issued in Hubei, from entering.

In a telephone interview from London with The Sunday Times, he said: "Singapore has been identifying cases, isolating them, done contact tracing, everything that's necessary to do to stop the outbreak."

This is what the WHO is recommending - to try to ring-fence or contain the disease.

But he added: "It's very difficult when before the disease is known, it's already out in the community. Some of the people coming in to China were exposed."

Singapore is now the country with the most number of coronavirus patients outside of China. This excludes the cruise ship docked in Japan which is classified as an international conveyance.

Prof Heymann said the high number is probably due to "multiple introductions" given the high number of visitors from China.

A major problem is that too much is unknown about the disease, which surfaced only at the end of last year.

Among the unknowns, which may even be more important in fighting a disease, he said, is "we don't yet fully understand the spectrum of the disease, how many cases are mild, like a cold, how many cases are severe".

"It looks like this is a relatively mild outbreak compared with SARS. But there is mortality, especially in the elderly, and those with diabetes, chronic diseases, et cetera."

Early indications point to less serious illness in children, but he added that more data is needed.



Prof Heymann also said that the current understanding of the virus' mortality rate is "skewed", because, until recently, China was only looking at people with pneumonia, in other words, those who are seriously ill.

But there are probably many more with the disease in a milder form who are not picked up, so the base number of patients could be much larger.

It is only recently that China is starting to pick up less severe cases.

Experts are still not clear about how transmissible the virus is. Early data points to droplets, he said. If it is airborne, the infection rate could be 10 times worse.

He said how severe the illness in a person is depends both on the person's own immune system, as well as how large the viral load is when the person is infected.

If someone who is very sick sneezes or coughs in the person's face, the viral load could be high.

If the infection is passed by someone with a mild illness, much like the common cold, the viral load would be low. But if the person getting infected has other medical conditions, he could still get seriously ill even with a low viral load, said Prof Heymann.

On how long the virus remains infective on surfaces, he said it can be transmitted so long as it remains moist. Once it dries up, it is no longer infective.

As to whether someone who recovers can get the infection again, he said it is not clear how long the antibodies last, but there is no lifelong immunity for coronavirus infections.

But he said infection controls everywhere, and definitely in Singapore, are at a standard where there should not be any hospital transmission.














Discharged patient thanks medical team's 'hearts of gold'
2nd person confirmed to have coronavirus is also given clean bill of health by hospital
By Salma Khalik, Senior Health Correspondent, The Sunday Times, 9 Feb 2020

For some years now, Ms Jiang, 53, who wants to be known only by her surname, had been hearing about how clean Singapore is and how friendly the people here are.

She yearned to visit, and her daughter, who had been to Singapore with a classmate some years back, saved from her salary to give her mother a treat.

Little did Ms Jiang expect to become Singapore's second confirmed coronavirus patient, just three days after she arrived for a holiday.

But one thing has panned out - she has found people here as friendly as she had been told, though much of the friendliness she experienced was from the medical staff who cared for her.

She has recovered and was discharged last Friday - the second patient to get a clean bill of health out of 40 identified so far.

"The medical team really have hearts of gold," she said in Mandarin. She said they had taken good care of her even though she is a foreigner. When she thanked them, they replied: "It is our job."

She added: "I was not afraid, because of the wonderful medical team you have here. I am but an ordinary mother, but I was brave and overcame it. From the experience, I also became stronger."

Ms Jiang arrived in Singapore on the morning of Jan 21, but started feeling unwell that afternoon. She did not think much of it till the following day, when she started coughing and was running a temperature.

She went to Raffles Hospital, but since she had come from Wuhan - the epicentre of the outbreak - the hospital sent her to Tan Tock Seng Hospital's (TTSH) Emergency Department at 9pm in an ambulance.

She was transferred to the National Centre for Infectious Diseases (NCID) on Jan 23 at 1am, and was immediately warded in an isolation room.

She said: "I thought I had the common cold. I have had such symptoms before, which were like the common cold."

Even after she was sent to TTSH, she said: "I didn't believe I caught the coronavirus infection, I comforted myself, thinking it was just the typical pneumonia."

But the following day, her worst fears were confirmed when she was told she had the coronavirus.



In the two days of sightseeing she managed to get in before she sought medical care, she had taken the MRT and taxis to Orchard Road, Marina Bay Sands and Gardens by the Bay. Now, she would very much like to go home as soon as possible.

"To be honest, Singapore is a wonderful country, in terms of its climate and in other areas too. But this is not my homeland after all.

"I understand that there was a chartered flight on Feb 5 for Wuhanese to return to China," she said. But she missed it as she was still in hospital.

All commercial flights between Singapore and Wuhan have been suspended because of the outbreak.

The doctor caring for her at the NCID had apologised that he could not discharge her in time for the chartered flight. He had explained that she still had some strain of the virus in her then, so it was not safe for her to be discharged.

She told him: "I should thank you. You are being responsible to me, to others and your profession by not discharging me. There is no need for you to apologise to me, I should thank you instead."

She said if the doctor had discharged her earlier, before she was fully well, she might have spread the disease to others.

"This is definitely unacceptable. I must be cleared of my virus thoroughly and be given a clean bill of health before I can go home."





Made-in-Singapore diagnostics test implemented in hospitals here
By Audrey Tan, Science and Environment Correspondent and Timothy Goh, The Sunday Times, 9 Feb 2020

A made-in-Singapore diagnostic test kit that detects the presence of the novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) with high accuracy has been rolled out at some public hospitals here.

Plans are in place to scale up production so the kits can be deployed at other hospitals and laboratories which are not offering 2019-nCoV tests, said the Agency for Science, Technology and Research (A*Star), whose scientists developed the pre-packed reagents.

This will widen the network of facilities in Singapore that can accurately screen patients for the coronavirus, reducing the wait time for results and allowing those infected to be treated quickly.

The test kit was developed by scientists at A*Star's Experimental Drug Development Centre and Bioinformatics Institute.

A number of public hospitals here last weekend received 5,000 test kits in total, and Singapore has the capability to produce more, A*Star said. Singapore also sent 10,000 of the test kits to China to help prevent further spread of the coronavirus.



Currently, to determine if someone has been infected with 2019-nCoV, samples are first taken from the patient. These are then processed by laboratory technologists at the hospitals. The technologists mix reagents together in a tube before placing the sample in it, then feed it into a machine which can take between two and four hours to register a reading.

But the entire process could take up to a day, said Prof Lin, highlighting factors such as the time to transport the sample, and sort the data.

However, a test kit could expedite this process at some laboratories by reducing the time required for preparing the reagent mix.



Such tests are pre-packed with reagents mixed in the right quantities, and with quality control tubes included. All that is required is for technologists to place the patient's sample in the tube before feeding it to the machine.

The diagnostics test kit also makes the procedure easier, allowing more laboratories in Singapore - including those with less experience working with reagents required to test for 2019-nCoV - to conduct them as well, without compromising accuracy.





How contact tracers track down the people at risk of infection
By Salma Khalik, Senior Health Correspondent, The Sunday Times, 9 Feb 2020

There are seven teams comprising 10 people here, working in two shifts from 8.30am till 10pm, seven days a week. Their job - calling people to check if they are "close contacts" of coronavirus patients.

This group of contact tracers was activated when Singapore confirmed its first case of coronavirus infection last month.

Their job is a critical part of ring-fencing the virus by rounding up patients who may have been infected.

Close contacts are people who have had prolonged physical contact with or stayed in the same place as the patient.

It could include, for instance, someone driving the patient from the airport to a hotel, at a time when the person does not yet seem sick.

Any close contact must be quarantined for 14 days from their last contact with the patient.

But contact tracing does not start with these teams.

It begins in the hospital.

Dr Olivia Oh, assistant director in the Communicable Diseases Division of the Ministry of Health (MOH), said the hospital where the patient is warded would do an activity map - this refers to everything the patient has done and the people he has been with over the previous two weeks.

Her colleague, Mr Pream Raj, also an assistant director in the division, added: "The mapping is detailed, 24 hours, minute by minute, with no gaps."

If there are gaps, then the contact tracing team would call a patient to try and jog his memory. And if the patient is too sick, they would approach his next of kin instead.

He said although 14 days may seem like a long time ago, most people have routines, so it is not that difficult to recall what they had been doing.

If they had meals with people, and because of Chinese New Year many did, they need to remember who was there. If it was at a restaurant, they need to recall if any of the serving staff spent much time with them, or if the contact was casual.



For the 17 patients from China who were confirmed with the virus here, Dr Oh said they would start the contact tracing from the time they arrived in Singapore, assuming that they had caught the virus while still in China.

They would get the list of passengers sitting in the same row, as well as two rows in front and two rows behind the patient, from the airline, and get in touch with them.

Mr Raj said the airlines, taxi companies and Grab, since quite a number of the visitors use that service, have all been very cooperative - they are obliged to provide all information required under the Infectious Diseases Act.

Sometimes, patients have no taxi receipt, remembering only that they were in a blue cab. The contact tracers would go through the closed circuit television footage at the hotel driveway to identify the taxi.

He added that they try to identify and get in touch with all possible close contacts of a patient to verify that what the patient had said was correct within 24 hours.



If the person is deemed at risk of infection, an MOH officer, together with a Certis guard, would serve notice of quarantine to the person, who will then be given the choice of staying at home or going to a government quarantine facility if his home premises are not suitable.

For home quarantine, the person must have a room and toilet that is not shared with anyone else.

The locations of where individual patients had been is also cross-referenced with other patients' activity maps to see if there are any overlaps.

These are analysed by another team and any links are flagged, and further cross-checks made.

Mr Raj said several such links have been found.

It could be anything from both patients attending the same event to meeting the same person.







































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Store lets needy families choose the groceries they require

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Store in Mountbatten HDB estate opens, where needy can get free groceries
Carrying only donated items, it is set to benefit 500 households in Mountbatten, MacPherson
By Timothy Goh, The Sunday Times, 9 Feb 2020

A store in Mountbatten estate which opened yesterday lets the needy choose the groceries they require, helping them regain agency and dignity.

Located at Block 13 Old Airport Road and set up by charity Food from the Heart, the store carries only donated goods on its shelves and is expected to benefit 500 needy households from the Mountbatten and MacPherson neighbourhoods.

Typically, beneficiaries collect pre-packed hampers of donated food from social service centres, and cannot choose the items they receive.

But at the new store, the first of its kind here, beneficiaries can choose up to 12 items a month, "purchasing" them by scanning their beneficiary cards at the counter, which is manned by volunteers.

This also lets the charity collect data on the dietary preferences of its beneficiaries, under a year-long study aimed at developing a smarter food donation system.

Members of the public seeking to donate can drop their food items in a food drop box at the store, rather than having to go to the charity's warehouse.

A sign outside the store tells passers-by what kind of food items are needed, allowing them to donate in a more targeted way.

Mr Lim Biow Chuan, the MP for Mountbatten, who was at the store's opening ceremony, noted that beneficiaries often have varying dietary preferences and restrictions.

As it is not possible to customise food packs for each of them, the old system of pre-packed hampers sometimes results in some receiving items they cannot consume. In some cases, Mr Lim said, noodles and cooking oil have been donated to seniors who were unable to cook, resulting in wastage.

"The community shop resolves some of these problems (as) beneficiaries can collect what they need, when they need them," he said.



Minister for Social and Family Development Desmond Lee, who was guest of honour at the launch, said having a choice in itself granted dignity to the needy. "Being able to select what they want is an intangible and valuable gift. Beyond the food item, you give residents a choice. I think that's very powerful," he said.

A beneficiary at the store yesterday was Mr Gunasegaran S., 50, who was with his eight-year-old daughter Durashini.

The cleaner, who makes about $720 a month and has two other children, said he usually returns certain donated food items such as instant noodles which he feels are unhealthy for his children.

"This (store) is very helpful for people in need... It's better that I get to choose, sometimes you can't (consume) everything," he said.

Mr Gunasegaran, who works seven days a week, added that visiting the store was a good opportunity for him to take his children out of the house. Durashini said she enjoyed the experience of going to the store with her father. "I like biscuits," she added shyly.



The store's launch went ahead despite Singapore raising its coronavirus outbreak response up a level to code orange on Friday.

Temperature taking and mandatory sanitising of hands for all guests were among the measures in place to keep the virus at bay.

Food from the Heart's chief executive Sim Bee Hia said: "Life has to go on. We cannot deprive the beneficiaries of their food because of this (virus)."









 










17-year-old secondary school student detained under Internal Security Act for supporting ISIS

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His journey to radicalisation began in 2017 when foreign contact introduced him to pro-ISIS social media groups
By Tham Yuen-C, Senior Political Correspondent, The Straits Times, 11 Feb 2020

A 17-year-old secondary school boy was detained last month under the Internal Security Act (ISA) for supporting the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria (ISIS) terror group.

He is the youngest person detained under the ISA to date.

In a statement yesterday, the Ministry of Home Affairs (MHA) said he was first investigated in September 2017 when he was 15, after he posted defaced images of President Halimah Yacob on social media and called on ISIS to behead her.

Madam Halimah was elected that year as president of Singapore, which the student viewed as an "infidel" state.



Commenting on his arrest yesterday, the Islamic Religious Council of Singapore (Muis) categorically debunked the view that Muslims cannot live in a secular country and take up any roles in government or serve as head of state.

"The Singapore Muslim community is a clear example of confident Muslims thriving in our secular and multi-religious context and actively contributing to our public institutions and society as a whole," said Muis.

The boy's journey to radicalisation began in 2017, when he was introduced to pro-ISIS social media groups by a foreign online contact.

Through these groups, he gained access to what he believed was exclusive ISIS content, said MHA.

"In his eyes, ISIS was a powerful group that was fighting for Islam and its use of violence against its opponents was therefore justified."

MHA said that after this came to light in 2017, it tried to steer the boy away from radicalism, but he remained a staunch supporter of ISIS.

A spokesman for MHA told The Straits Times that arrangements were made for the youth to undergo religious counselling, and its officers also reached out to him.

His parents were informed so that they could keep a closer eye on him, she said. "Unfortunately... he persisted with viewing pro-ISIS materials online and hid his continued support for ISIS from those trying to help him."

In its statement, MHA said the student continued to believe in ISIS, even with the demise of the group's so-called caliphate in Syria and Iraq, and was willing to assist ISIS in its online propaganda efforts.

He was also willing to undertake other activities if called upon by ISIS to do so, MHA added. It noted, however, that there were no signs that the student had spread his pro-ISIS views to others around him.

Muis said the boy's case underscored the importance of ensuring that young Muslims in Singapore have credible religious teachers to learn from and also a strong support network of family, teachers and friends they can turn to.

In a Facebook post, Senior Parliamentary Secretary for Home Affairs Amrin Amin urged parents to monitor what their children are viewing online as well as their friends.



The MHA spokesman said that in dealing with young people being radicalised, the ministry's key concerns are the security threat they pose, and how to steer them away from radicalism through counselling and monitoring.

In the case of this boy, the intervention failed and the decision was made to detain him because of the seriousness of the threat he posed.

"Other options were considered, including placing him on a Restriction Order, but after a careful and holistic assessment, it was decided that this would not be in the public's interest, or his interest."

The spokesman said the youth will be placed on a holistic rehabilitation programme that comprises religious, psychological and social rehabilitation.

He will be granted family visits and an aftercare officer will be assigned to his family to provide social and financial support.

Arrangements will also be made so he can continue with his studies.

There is no minimum age for a person to be dealt with under the ISA, the spokesman noted, adding that two other 17-year-old youths have been placed on Restriction Orders under the Act for terrorism involvement in recent years.

"The decision to use the ISA against young persons is never taken lightly. This is why, in 2017, other efforts were undertaken to try to steer him away from his radical path, but these were ultimately not successful."

















COVID-19: Show support for healthcare workers on front lines, says Health Minister Gan Kim Yong

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Broader community joins battle against coronavirus as infection hits 50 cases as of 12 Feb 2020
By Salma Khalik, Senior Health Correspondent and Timothy Goh, The Straits Times, 13 Feb 2020

As more cases of coronavirus infection surface, this is the time for people to rally around healthcare workers and not shun them, said Health Minister Gan Kim Yong.

He announced yesterday that three more people had been infected, bringing the total here to 50. But as the fight against the virus intensifies, there are signs that the broader community is rallying behind healthcare workers in the front lines.



Mr Gan urged: "Let us come together to show our support for them, and to support their work, so they continue to take care of our patients and families and our loved ones."

"Sometimes, a kind word or a warm greeting will go a long way to make them feel appreciated and give them a morale boost to continue the fight," he added.

Healthcare workers, who had been in the front lines of the fight during the severe acute respiratory syndrome (Sars) outbreak in 2003, had been shunned by those who feared they might pass on the infection. Mr Gan indicated that he does not want this to be repeated.



Meanwhile, one million masks will be distributed to general practitioners and specialists in private practice, who need them to protect themselves, their staff and patients.

"They will get the supplies that they need because they are a part of our team," said Mr Gan.

"In this challenging time, it is important for us to work together as a team, as a community and as a nation, to overcome this infection and to keep Singaporeans safe," he added.

Minister for Social and Family Development Desmond Lee, who was also at the news conference, said 90 per cent of the drivers from private-hire company Grab are keen to join a new service called Grabcare that will "help our healthcare workers get to and from healthcare facilities".

The service will start tomorrow for those working at Tan Tock Seng Hospital and the National Centre for Infectious Diseases, he said.



He said that for Singaporeans who are inspired by such actions, there are opportunities to contribute.

The Courage Fund that was launched for healthcare workers who battled Sars is still active.

Money from the fund helps patients, healthcare workers and their families, as well as the wider community affected by the outbreak.

Donations have started pouring in again.

In a Facebook post last night, President Halimah Yacob announced that the President's Challenge, which has been mobilising resources to help those who may be more susceptible, will be donating $250,000 to the Courage Fund to further support vulnerable groups to tide over this period.

"It is challenging times like this that will truly define who we are as a nation," she wrote.

Another $300,000 has been donated by the CapitaLand Hope Foundation.

Youth Corps will support Willing Hearts, a dignity kitchen, to distribute meals to seniors and the vulnerable, Mr Lee said.



Meanwhile, of the 50 infected, 15 have recovered and been discharged, but eight are seriously ill and in intensive care.

While most infected patients will recover, Mr Gan warned: "Some may get seriously ill, and a small number may succumb to the infection ultimately.


"We have to be prepared for the worst."

The fight against the virus ahead may get harder, he said.

Mr Gan said in Mandarin: "Because we are stepping up our surveillance and doing more testing, we can well expect to see more cases in the coming days and weeks."






























Coronavirus outbreak: Initiatives to show support for front-line medical staff
Grab launches GrabCare rides to ferry them as many answer call to pen encouraging notes
By Hariz Baharudin and Toh Wen Li, The Straits Times, 13 Feb 2020

A string of initiatives to support healthcare workers on the front line of efforts to contain the coronavirus outbreak has emerged, amid reports that some workers were shunned in public.

The initiatives include one to encourage private-hire drivers to ferry healthcare workers and a movement to pen notes of encouragement.

From tomorrow, some doctors, nurses and other healthcare professionals will have access to a new dedicated on-demand service from Grab to get rides to travel to and from hospitals.



The service, called GrabCare, will start operating for healthcare professionals to book a ride home from the National Centre for Infectious Diseases (NCID) and Tan Tock Seng Hospital (TTSH), said Grab in a statement yesterday.

The firm added that the service will be subsequently expanded to include rides from homes to hospitals, and widened to more participating hospitals.

Grab has reached out to NCID and TTSH to obtain details of relevant medical staff so that they can be included in a list of people approved to use the GrabCare function.

Once included in the list, users will have an option in their app to select a GrabCare ride - in addition to the other standard options.

When these users choose to get a GrabCare ride, their request will be sent out to drivers who have indicated their interest to ferry these medical professionals.



Grab said that 2,000 driver-partners have signed up to be part of the service since Tuesday.

In a Facebook post yesterday, Transport Minister Khaw Boon Wan hailed the initiative after meeting some of the drivers earlier in the day at the Newton Food Centre.

Mr Khaw, who was health minister during the severe acute respiratory syndrome (Sars) outbreak in 2003, underscored the importance of supporting medical professionals and said that the dedication and bravery of hospital workers now is reminiscent of those during Sars.

"Their stories remind me of Sars when I personally witnessed so many brave acts of our healthcare workers. Nobody left their stations. They stayed put, to save and care for as many as they could," he said.

"A few succumbed to Sars. That is why it is heart-wrenching to read of some who shun our healthcare workers."



Mr Khaw was joined by labour chief Ng Chee Meng, who noted that some of the drivers and leaders of the National Taxi Association and National Private Hire Vehicles Association had embarked on a similar effort during the Sars outbreak.

"They assured me that they will do their best to rally the ground to support our healthcare workers because they understand it is imperative that we stand as one people in our fight against the virus," Mr Ng added.

There is also an ongoing movement to write notes of encouragement to front-line medical staff, as part of a movement known as #braveheartsg.

Members of the public are invited to pen handwritten notes, take pictures of them, and then upload the images onto Facebook as public posts with the hashtag #braveheartsg.

They can also e-mail the photos to braveheartsg2020@gmail.com



Community group StandUp For.SG, which is spearheading this initiative, will print out these images and distribute them to staff at healthcare institutions across the island from Valentine's Day tomorrow onwards.

Since the initiative began last Saturday, it has already drawn more than 800 responses.

StandUpFor.SG co-founder Wally Tham wants medical professionals to know that Singaporeans are behind them.

"As they fight this coronavirus, we have their backs and we love them and care for them," he said in a video explaining what the #braveheartsg movement is about.

"So let's all come together and show them our support."

























Budget 2020 will include 'strong' package to counter coronavirus fallout: Lawrence Wong
The Straits Times, 13 Feb 2020

Singapore will roll out a strong economic package next week as part of its Budget to mitigate the economic fallout from the coronavirus outbreak, with the impact on the trade-reliant economy seen as worse than during the 2003 severe acute respiratory syndrome (Sars) pandemic.

The increased economic threat stems from several reasons, such as China's economy being much bigger today as well as being more consumption-and service-oriented, said Minister for National Development Lawrence Wong, who co-chairs the multi-ministry task force set up to coordinate Singapore's response to the coronavirus.

"I think you can well anticipate a larger impact overall, which will then have a knock-on impact on Singapore too," he said in an interview with Bloomberg News.

"We are preparing for that, we are anticipating that, and that is why we will announce what the appropriate measures" are in the Budget, which will be delivered Tuesday.



Mr Wong declined to reveal the size of the package or whether it will be bigger than the $230 million Sars relief package rolled out during the 2003 crisis, which also battered Singapore's economy at the time.

The Sars relief package contained property tax rebates and a bridging loan programme for small-and medium-sized firms to help with short-term cash-flow problems.

Mr Wong said that beyond specific sectors such as tourism and hospitality that have already weakened, the broader knock-on effect could be quite severe. The hit to China's economy will have an impact on the global economy, and Singapore will surely be impacted in such a scenario, he added.

"We are preparing for a strong package in the coming Budget to help our companies as well as to help workers stay in their jobs," Mr Wong said.

Singapore is already bracing itself for its economy to be hit harder by the coronavirus than Sars. It is expecting as much as a 30 per cent drop in tourist arrivals and spending this year. In a report last week, DBS Group Holdings said it sees a decline of one million tourists, equal to about a $1 billion loss in spending, for every three months the travel bans are in place.

DBS downgraded its 2020 growth forecast for Singapore to 0.9 per cent from 1.4 per cent in response to the negative impact from the virus. Nomura Holdings also cut its growth forecast to 0.3 per cent from 1.3 per cent, while OCBC widened its 2020 forecast to factor in more downside risks.

Singapore has 50 confirmed cases of the virus, one of the largest number of infections outside China. In response to the growing number of locally transmitted cases, the government last Friday raised its national disease response level to "orange", its second-highest level and the same one used during the 2003 Sars epidemic.

Separately, Mr Wong also addressed the wave of panic buying that happened when Singapore raised its disaster alert response level last Friday.



He told a news conference yesterday afternoon that the situation has stabilised, and to meet that sudden surge in demand, retailers moved stock from the warehouse into the retail outlets. "Some outlets may not be fully stocked for all items, but it is not because of shortage of supplies. It is simply a manpower and logistics issue in order to get the restocking done," he said.



"We expect all outlets of the major retailers to have normal stock levels in a day or two. We just want to continue to assure Singaporeans that our supply chains, when it comes to food and grocery items, remain robust," he added.

He also said that Singapore's diversification strategy ensures it is protected from any sudden shocks. "That has been proven, even with this last wave of sudden surge in demand."

BLOOMBERG
















Chief medical officer responds to view that everyone should wear a mask to avoid infection
Medical chief rebuts doctors' mask advice
By Salma Khalik, Senior Health Correspondent, The Straits Times, 13 Feb 2020

Wearing a mask is not the most important thing to do to keep the coronavirus at bay, said Associate Professor Kenneth Mak, the director of medical services.

He was responding to questions on the advice circulated by four doctors that everyone should wear a mask when leaving home, regularly wash hands and reduce unnecessary mingling with others - challenging official advice which is to wear masks only if sick.

The doctors argued: "If one faces a person and both parties are masked, it is considerably safer, constituting a two-barrier protection."



Prof Mak noted there has been a lot of well-intentioned advice on social media, including from doctors. He said while some advice is very relevant, such as reminders to wash one's hands, people must remember the virus is spread via droplets with no evidence that it is airborne.

"Be aware of things you commonly touch. The thing most commonly touched is your phone, so wearing a mask is not the most important thing," he added.

Government leaders have said that only those who are unwell need to wear a mask, while those who are well need not do so. As the virus is spread by droplets, keeping hands clean, and away from the face, are more important ways to avoid catching the bug.



One of the four doctors, Dr Colleen Thomas, an internal medicine specialist in private practice, told The Straits Times they felt obliged to send out the warning as "the burden of not doing so is too great to bear".

Their letter shared on chat groups said: "The infected are not always traceable and containable within hospital isolation rooms. As this virus is said to be milder, infected people with no symptoms could transmit the virus to others silently."

Dr Thomas said: "As a doctor, how can I not speak out when I know that there is danger to people?"




















Can the coronavirus be spread through the air?
By Rei Kurohi, The Straits Times, 12 Feb 2020

As of Tuesday (Feb 11), Singapore has reported 10 cases of the new coronavirus involving patients with no travel history to China and where no clear link could be established between them and previous cases.

In light of this, readers have asked how the virus could be transmitted without direct prolonged contact with any infected person.





Q: CAN THE VIRUS BE TRANSMITTED THROUGH THE AIR AND WILL I CATCH IT FROM BREATHING IT IN EVEN IF THE DROPLETS HAVE EVAPORATED?

A: There is currently no strong evidence to support the claim that the virus can be transmitted through the air.

It is believed to be spread mainly through droplets, such as from the mucus or saliva of an infected person who sneezes or coughs.

Infectious diseases expert Leong Hoe Nam said the virus is likely to die when the droplets dry up.



Experts say if the virus could really survive even after the droplets carrying it have dried up, it would have spread through the air as dust particles and potentially infected 10 times more people, which is not the case.



Last week, a Shanghai official, Mr Zeng Qun, said the virus could spread through aerosol transmission, or the mixing of the virus with airborne liquid droplets.

This would allow the virus to linger in the air and infect those who inhale it, he said. Diseases that are known to spread this way include tuberculosis, chicken pox and measles.

But an infectious diseases expert at the Chinese Centre for Disease Control and Prevention, Mr Feng Luzhao, refuted this on Sunday, stating that the droplets carrying the virus travel only about 1m to 2m and do not stay suspended in the air. This is why you are unlikely to catch the virus through transient (or short-term) contact such as on public transport.

There is also no need to worry if you live near a quarantine facility.





Q: WILL STAYING INDOORS WITH THE AIR-CONDITIONING HELP ME AVOID CATCHING THE VIRUS?

A: Not necessarily. Viruses are less likely to thrive in hot and humid conditions.

Associate Professor Hsu Li Yang, programme leader of infectious diseases at the National University of Singapore's Saw Swee Hock School of Public Health, said air-conditioned spaces could help to spread respiratory diseases instead.

Experts have yet to establish precisely how long the coronavirus can survive on surfaces and objects.

Some studies show that coronaviruses in general could potentially survive on metal, glass or plastic surfaces for several days.

However, this is under ideal circumstances. For the virus, this means cool and dry environments.

Turning off the air-conditioner and making sure the space is well ventilated could help reduce the risk of infection.

The best way to avoid infection from having potentially touched a contaminated surface is still to avoid touching your face with your hands, and to wash your hands with soap and water frequently.





Q: CAN SUNLIGHT KILL THE VIRUS?

A: Professor Wang Linfa, director of the programme in emerging infectious diseases at Duke-NUS Medical School, says ultraviolet rays and heat from the sun can kill the virus.

Getting vitamin D from exposure to sunlight can also help boost one's immune system, Prof Wang noted.

Dr Leong also says people should not worry about catching the virus from online shopping packages from China, as the long period of transportation and exposure to the sun would kill the virus if the package is tainted.

The Health Ministry's chief health scientist, Professor Tan Chorh Chuan, has said that the likelihood of viral persistence outdoors is lower, as most studies indicate that viruses do not persist well in hot and humid environments.

This refers to a temperature of over 30 deg C and a humidity level of over 80 per cent.









SAF monitoring temperatures of soldiers, staggering meal times in camps as part of new measures
By Lim Min Zhang, The Straits Times, 12 Feb 2020

The Singapore Armed Forces (SAF) has implemented new measures, including temperature-taking and staggering meal times in camps, to prevent the spread of the coronavirus.

Cleaning and disinfection schedules for SAF-chartered buses and ferries have been stepped up. Non-essential social activities such as cohesion events have also been deferred.



Senior Minister of State for Defence Heng Chee How, after a visit to the Basic Military Training Centre (BMTC) yesterday, said that while the SAF's mission is to defend Singapore whether or not there is a virus, necessary steps must be taken to safeguard the health of its soldiers.

"And this is exactly what we are doing to make sure that both are top priorities as we continue with our training and as we look after the health of our soldiers," he said.

He was speaking to reporters after observing some of the new measures which were put in place after Singapore moved its disease outbreak response up one level to "orange" last Friday.

Under the Disease Outbreak Response System Condition, "orange" means the outbreak is deemed to have moderate to high public health impact, though the situation is still under control. It is one step below "red", which signifies an out-of-control pandemic.

Asked about the plans in place if there should be a suspected or confirmed case of the coronavirus in an SAF camp, Mr Heng said that person would be sent to the medical centre for assessment, while contact tracing and isolation of close contacts would be done.

"The standards at our medical centres and their procedures are exactly the same as those that are adopted by the MOH (Ministry of Health). If the doctor here feels that the patient fits the criteria and needs to be referred to the NCID, then that would be done," he said, referring to the National Centre for Infectious Diseases.

He added that there were currently no plans to cancel in-camp training for operationally ready national servicemen (NSmen).

"However, we have also instituted measures such as... reminding people that if they are sick they should let it be known so that we can then ask them not to undertake IPPT, for example. It can be rescheduled so that in the meantime you can seek treatment," he said.



Some NSmen received a text message yesterday saying the Individual Physical Proficiency Test (IPPT) at Fitness Conditioning Centres had been cancelled until Feb 29, and those affected would be informed via SMS. But anyone taking the IPPT during in-camp training would not be affected, the message said.

Since last Friday, the temperatures of visitors to SAF camps have been taken. All are also required to fill in an online form, which includes questions on visits to China in the last 14 days.

At the cookhouse in BMTC yesterday, reporters saw how hand-washing before meals has been made mandatory.

Meal times have also been staggered such that only two companies will eat at the cookhouse at one time. The cookhouse can accommodate four to five companies.

The number of guests recruits can invite to their BMTC graduation parade and to direct enlistment, during which parents can tour SAF camps and interact with commanders, might also be reduced.

Second Lieutenant Frederick Tang, 22, who is a platoon commander at BMTC, said bleach has been given to recruits so that they can clean their bunks and common areas more thoroughly.

"We encourage the recruits to sound off whenever they are feeling unwell. Any of them who display any symptoms will be separated from the others and brought to the medical centre to be assessed."










1,000 Ministry of Manpower calls and visits daily to ensure work pass holders comply with mandatory leave of absence
By Tee Zhuo, The Straits Times, 13 Feb 2020

More than 1,000 calls and visits are being made daily as part of checks by the Ministry of Manpower (MOM) to ensure work pass holders are serving the mandatory 14-day leave of absence (LOA).

Other measures include requiring all workers on the LOA to self-report their location to the ministry, a senior MOM official told reporters yesterday, following an announcement last week that the Government would tighten enforcement and monitoring on this front.



Mr Felix Ong, director of the employment inspectorate at MOM's foreign manpower management division, said MOM conducts three layers of checks daily on work pass holders who are serving the LOA.

Those on LOA should limit their contact with others and stay at home, but can make brief trips for necessities or food.


First, text messages with a unique Web link have been sent to all workers serving the LOA since Monday, warning them that they need to report their location to MOM within an hour. When clicked, the link prompts the worker to turn on the GPS location service on his phone, and his location is sent to the ministry to see if the worker is at his correct place of residence.


While Mr Ong did not reveal the frequency of such messages, citing operational sensitivities, he said they are sent randomly and multiple times a day to each worker.


Second, calls are made seven days a week to some workers. MOM also did not reveal how such workers are selected, but a spokesman said the calls are made randomly at different intervals, without a specific number of calls per day.


A voice call is first made to notify the worker that MOM is contacting him, followed by a video call. The worker's identity and details are verified against MOM's database.


If the calls are repeatedly missed, checks are made with the employer.




Third, enforcement officers from MOM may conduct spot checks at the places where workers on LOA are staying. Mr Keith Aw, a senior manager who conducts such checks, said the inspections are also done to check on the well-being of those under the LOA.


Workers are asked about their health, their accommodation and whether they are still receiving their salary, said Mr Aw, who works in MOM's foreign manpower management division.


If a worker is unwell, he is given a mask and asked to seek medical treatment. Any issues raised will be taken up with the employer.




Mr Ong said MOM takes compliance with the LOA very seriously.

On Sunday, the ministry repatriated and banned four work pass holders and suspended work pass privileges for six employers for two years for flouting LOA rules.


Clear-cut examples of rule breaking include working at the workplace, or leaving the house for non-essential trips, like seeing a movie.


Although the LOA is compulsory for all people returning from China, including Singaporeans, MOM is focusing on work pass holders, he said.


"If there are cases (of Singaporeans) that come up, we won't hesitate to take action. I think there is a high degree of awareness. We have sent out advisories on the regulations, and we will rely on the employer to check," he said.






Task force to tackle expected 30% fall in tourists
Tourism board projects Singapore is losing as many as 20,000 visitors each day due to virus
By Tiffany Fumiko Tay, The Straits Times, 12 Feb 2020

Singapore's tourism industry is strapping in for a ride that could be bumpier - and longer - than its worst crisis in recent memory.

The Singapore Tourism Board (STB) is projecting a 25 per cent to 30 per cent drop in visitor arrivals this year, as the deadly coronavirus continues its global spread. The disease, yesterday given the official name Covid-19 (Corona Virus Disease) by the World Health Organisation, has killed more than 1,000 and infected more than 43,000 worldwide.



This estimated impact on arrivals here is steeper than the 19 per cent decline in 2003, when Singapore endured the severe acute respiratory syndrome (Sars) outbreak.

"We believe that the situation this year will be at least as severe as Sars, and probably worse," STB chief executive Keith Tan said at its annual year-in-review briefing yesterday.

"At this point, we estimate that every day, we lose an average of 18,000 to 20,000 international visitor arrivals to Singapore," he added.

The year's outlook depends on factors such as how long the outbreak in China will last, what kind of economic effects it will have on the region and how long it will take for traveller demand to return.



STB is also preparing for a slower recovery than Sars, which took under a year to bounce back.

While Singapore is now more prepared and resilient, there may be a longer dampening effect on travel if regional supply chains and gross domestic product growth are impacted, or if social media creates a lingering effect, said Mr Tan.

Already, travellers are postponing or cancelling visits to the region, he noted.

Singapore's Mice (meetings, incentives, conferences and exhibitions) sector is also feeling the squeeze, with several hundred events getting postponed or cancelled since last Friday, said industry players.

A task force comprising tourism leaders from both the private and public sectors will be formed to lay out strategies for recovery and future growth.

This comes on the back of yet another year of record highs in tourist arrivals and spending for Singapore.



Last year's strong showing is testament to Singapore's strong tourism fundamentals, Minister for Trade and Industry Chan Chun Sing said in a Facebook post.

But with its largest source market of China drying up, Singapore's arrival numbers have already started to tumble, STB said, as Chinese tourists account for one in five visitors to the Republic. Recent curbs on arrivals from the mainland have battered businesses that rely on them.

Singapore now has 47 confirmed cases of the coronavirus, with two more announced yesterday, the highest number for a country outside of China. Last Friday, the Republic's disease outbreak response went up a notch to "orange" after locally transmitted cases were established, prompting countries such as Kuwait and Qatar to urge their citizens to defer non-essential travel.

STB's Mr Tan said: "We see no reason for other countries to have travel advisories on Singapore - we are very confident in the measures the Government has in place to contain the cases here."

Despite the difficult year ahead, Singapore is unlikely to suffer any long-term effects, and there are no plans to push back tourism projects, he said. The sector expects support measures to be announced at this year's Budget.

The Government provided a $230 million relief package in 2003, which included higher property tax rebates for gazetted tourist hotels and a reduction in foreign worker levies. Visitor arrivals and spending rebounded in 2004, even outstripping pre-Sars numbers in 2002.

























Singapore, Malaysia to form joint working group to curb outbreak
By Hazlin Hassan, Malaysia Correspondent In Kuala Lumpur, The Straits Times, 12 Feb 2020

Singapore and Malaysia will set up a joint working group to strengthen cooperation in tackling the spread of the coronavirus.

The authorities from both countries announced the working group yesterday after a video conference meeting between Singapore Health Minister Gan Kim Yong and his Malaysian counterpart, Dr Dzulkefly Ahmad.



The ministers had agreed that it is important for both countries to continue working closely together on the outbreak, especially given the high volume of travel between Singapore and Malaysia, Singapore's Ministry of Health said in a statement.

"Since the start of the outbreak, both countries have been in close touch with one another, including expeditiously sharing information on cross-border cases," it added.

"The cooperation would not have been possible without the strong collaboration and network built up over the years."

Separately, Dr Dzulkefly said at a news conference in Putrajaya: "We share the same Causeway, there are hundreds of people travelling across each day for reasons of family, business and leisure, so all the more why we should strengthen and enhance our cooperation managing this coronavirus outbreak."

Senior health officials from both sides will work over the next few days to determine the composition and terms of reference of the group.

Singapore has nominated Senior Minister of State for Transport and Health Lam Pin Min as a co-chair.

During the video conference, Mr Gan and Dr Dzulkefly also updated each other on the situation in the respective countries, and discussed public health measures, epidemiological findings and clinical management of the disease.



Malaysia has identified 18 cases of the coronavirus so far, while Singapore has seen 47 cases.

Chinese nationals make up 12 of the cases in Malaysia. The remaining six are Malaysians.

Malaysia's first recorded coronavirus patients were China tourists who had entered the country via Johor Baru from Singapore, while Malaysia's first local patient had attended a conference in Singapore.

Malaysia's Sarawak state on Monday announced that those who had recently visited Singapore must undergo an immediate self-imposed 14-day home quarantine.

But Sarawak's state disaster management committee yesterday revised its guidelines and said visitors from Singapore would not need to self-quarantine, but only take precautionary measures such as avoiding public places and practising good hygiene.












Novel coronavirus named 'COVID-19': WHO
The Straits Times, 11 Feb 2020

GENEVA (AFP) - The UN health agency on Tuesday (Feb 11) announced that "Covid-19" will be the official name of the deadly virus from China, saying the disease represented a "very grave threat" for the world but there was a "realistic chance" of stopping it.

"We now have a name for the disease and it's Covid-19,"World Health Organisation (WHO) chief Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus told reporters in Geneva.

Tedros said that "co" stands for "corona", "vi" for "virus" and "d" for "disease", while "19" was for the year, as the outbreak was first identified on Dec 31.



Tedros said the name had been chosen to avoid references to a specific geographical location, animal species or group of people in line with international recommendations for naming aimed at preventing stigmatisation.

WHO had earlier given the virus the temporary name of "2019-nCoV acute respiratory disease" and China's National Health Commission this week said it was temporarily calling it "novel coronavirus pneumonia" or NCP.

Under a set of guidelines issued in 2015, WHO advises against using place names such as Ebola and Zika - where those diseases were first identified and which are now inevitably linked to them in the public mind.



More general names such as "Middle East Respiratory Syndrome" or "Spanish flu" are also now avoided as they can stigmatise entire regions or ethnic groups.

WHO also notes that using animal species in the name can create confusion, such as in 2009 when H1N1 was popularly referred to as "swine flu".

This had a major impact on the pork industry even though the disease was being spread by people rather than pigs.

People's names - usually the scientists who identified the disease - are also banned, as are "terms that incite undue fear" such as "unknown" or "fatal", the WHO said.



'MORE POWERFUL' THAN TERRORIST ATTACK

The virus has killed more than 1,000 people, infected over 42,000 and reached some 25 countries, with the WHO declaring a global health emergency.

Addressing scientists at the first international conference on combating the virus earlier on Tuesday, Tedros warned that the virus was a "very grave threat".

"Viruses can have more powerful consequences than any terrorist action," he told reporters later.



About 400 scientists were taking part in the two-day international meeting in Geneva called to review how the virus is transmitted and possible vaccines against it.

"We are not defenceless," Tedros said, adding: "If we invest now... we have a realistic chance of stopping this outbreak."

Participants will also discuss the source of the virus, which is thought to have originated in bats and reached humans via other "intermediary" species such as snakes or pangolins.

WHO sent an advance team to China this week for an international mission to examine the epidemic.

It was unclear, however, whether the team would be able to visit Wuhan, a city in central China which has been under lockdown after the outbreak was registered in a food and live animal market in the city.



ROADMAP FOR RESEARCH

No specific treatment or vaccine against the virus exists, and WHO has repeatedly urged countries to share data in order to further research into the disease.

"That is especially true in relation to sharing of samples and sequences. To defeat this outbreak, we need open and equitable sharing, according to the principles of fairness and equity," Tedros told the scientific conference.

He said he hoped the scientists could agree a roadmap "around which researchers and donors will align".

Several teams of experts in Australia, Britain, China, France, Germany and the United States are racing to develop a vaccine - a process that normally takes years.



Efforts to come up with a vaccine are being led by the Coalition for Epidemic Preparedness Innovations (CEPI), a body established in 2017 to finance costly biotechnology research in the wake of an Ebola outbreak in West Africa that killed more than 11,000 people.

Ultimately, however, scientists may end up in the same situation they were during the 2002-03 outbreak of severe acute respiratory syndrome (Sars) - which died out before a vaccine could be fully developed.

A close cousin of Covid-19, Sars spread around the world and killed nearly 800.
















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Part of Orchard Road to be pedestrianised, Istana Park expanded as part of revamp

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A Green Oasis in the City: From Orchard to Singapore River
Expansion of Istana Park part of plans to refresh Orchard Road
Ideas include turning section of shopping belt into car-free green space, realigning road
By Melissa Heng, The Straits Times, 14 Feb 2020

Part of Orchard Road could be turned into a car-free green space as part of wide-ranging plans to redesign and expand Istana Park to include Dhoby Ghaut Green.

The proposal would mean realigning a stretch of Orchard Road from the Istana to SMA House to merge with Penang Road.

The ideas were among proposed enhancements to refresh Singapore's shopping belt unveiled by the National Parks Board (NParks) and Urban Redevelopment Authority (URA) yesterday.

The plans will be showcased at a month-long public exhibition at The URA Centre.

The proposed enhancements also include increased greenery along Orchard Road and improved connectivity in the stretch towards the Singapore River to form a 6km green connection linking Singapore Botanic Gardens, Istana Park, Fort Canning Park and the Singapore River.

National Development Minister Lawrence Wong told a ceremony to open the exhibition: "These efforts will create a new green oasis in the city. This is part of our efforts to ensure Singapore remains a lush and liveable city in a garden."

The proposals come after a public exhibition and consultation exercise last year. More than 1,500 people gave feedback, with many calling for more green spaces and family-friendly facilities in Orchard Road.

The new plans call for the 1.3ha Istana Park to be expanded to more than three times its current size. The park would be redesigned to include the existing Dhoby Ghaut Green and Penang Road Open Space.

It would feature an orchid-themed garden and a rustic nature play garden with a water play area.

Other initiatives include pedestrianising a section of Orchard Road from Buyong Road to Handy Road to allow Istana Park to be better integrated with the Istana entrance and commercial establishments in the area.

Orchard Road's vehicular traffic would be directed to Penang Road.

The proposal includes improving the links between Orchard Road and the Singapore River.

For example, there would be new connections from Istana Park to Fort Canning Park via a linkway at 9 Penang Road (formerly Park Mall) and proposed sheltered escalators leading from the pedestrian underpass at Canning Rise to Fort Canning Centre at the hilltop.

Pedestrian connectivity would also be improved with new public spaces in Clarke Quay Road and Merchant Road.

These additions would create a 6km-long green connection linking many of the city's landmark spaces, including the Singapore Botanic Gardens, Fort Canning Park, the Singapore River and Pearl's Hill City Park.

Ms Ang Wei Ping, group director of policy and planning at NParks, said: "We intend to inject more greenery into the streets by bringing in more bougainvillea, cloves and nutmeg plants and planting these along Orchard Road. We want the Orchard Road and the Dhoby Ghaut zone to be appealing to all age groups, especially families.

"What we are trying to do is to enhance the experience of walking through Orchard Road. So that as you walk along... you get to enjoy flowering shrubs and lush trees."



Singapore University of Social Sciences transport economist Walter Theseira said realigning part of Orchard Road would be a large task but not impossible. "It would take time, but if they are talking about building another four lanes on Penang Road, then it won't be as disruptive as constructing a tunnel."

He said the plans are an interesting reimagining of the space that would increase activity in the Dhoby Ghaut area, which he feels is underutilised.

He added: "The question should not be how will it affect vehicular traffic. That is a very car-centric view. The question should be how could it improve things for everyone else."

























Singapore Budget 2020: Ensuring Singapore's present and future needs are taken care of

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Five key facts about the annual Budget that go beyond goodies and giveaways for Singaporeans
By Grace Ho, The Straits Times, 14 Feb 2020

Deputy Prime Minister and Finance Minister Heng Swee Keat will deliver Singapore's 2020 Budget statement in Parliament on Tuesday, 18 February.

For many Singaporeans, this means goodies and giveaways galore. But the annual Budget goes beyond this - revising government revenue and expenditure projections for the current financial year, as well as planning ahead for the new financial year. It ensures that Singapore's current and future needs are addressed as part of a fiscally sustainable strategic plan.

Here are five key facts about the Budget.


1. SPENDING WITHIN OUR MEANS

The Government is required to maintain a balanced Budget over each term under Singapore's Constitution. Any budgetary surplus or deficit cannot be carried over to the next term of government.

The Government also does not borrow to fund recurrent spending.





2. LARGEST SOURCE OF REVENUE IS NOT GST

The Budget is funded by various sources of income: taxes and fees, and returns from Singapore's invested reserves, or the Net Investment Returns Contribution (NIRC).

The Government can spend up to 50 per cent of the long-term expected returns from the reserves, enabling it to balance between spending on Singaporeans' needs today and growing the size of the reserves for future generations.

The NIRC comprises up to 50 per cent of the Net Investment Returns (NIR) on the net assets invested by sovereign wealth fund GIC, the Monetary Authority of Singapore and Temasek; and up to 50 per cent of the Net Investment Income (NII) derived from past reserves from the remaining assets.

In 2018, the NIRC was about $16.44 billion - about 18 per cent of overall revenues. It is now the single largest source of Government revenue, larger than any single tax, including the GST, and corporate and personal tax.





3. CONSULTATION - LOTS OF IT

The Ministry of Finance (MOF) and other government agencies hold multiple rounds of discussions. Key considerations include national priorities, trade-offs that need to be made, and the financial viability of plans.

MOF then carries out a public feedback exercise using dialogue sessions, listening points across the island, and online channels, to seek views from businesses, unions, individuals and households.

This year's feedback phase started in December last year and ended on Jan 10.

The ministry worked with the People's Association (PA) and grassroots organisations to solicit views and suggestions from the public at 25 Ask Kopi Kakis kiosks islandwide.

Six sessions took place across the island on Jan 4 and 5.

The 4G leaders have also met hundreds of workers, businesses, volunteers and young people in the last three months as part of a Singapore Together series of pre-Budget conversations.





4. BUDGET APPROVED? THERE'S MORE

After the Government has approved the Budget, the finance minister presents it to Parliament.

Parliament reconvenes the following week for the Budget debate. The finance minister then delivers a round-up speech that sums up the Budget and addresses issues raised by MPs.

Parliament sits as the Committee of Supply (CoS) to examine each ministry's plans. Individual MPs may ask for a symbolic "cut" to a particular ministry's proposed budget, before speaking on issues relating to the ministry.

After the CoS has voted on all the ministries' estimates, it reports its decision to Parliament, which debates and votes on the Supply Bill.

The Supply Bill is sent to the President for assent. She can withhold her assent if she believes the estimated expenditure may draw on past reserves.

Following her assent, the Bill is passed into a law called the Supply Act, which authorises the Government's spending in the coming financial year.





5. SINGAPORE'S FINANCIAL YEAR DID NOT ALWAYS START ON APRIL 1

Before 1969, the Government's financial year (FY) used to follow the calendar year. But it was announced in December 1968 that the FY would be adjusted from January-December to April-March.

In the transition, FY1969 lasted from January 1969 to March 1970. There was no Budget statement in 1969.

Then-Finance Minister, Dr Goh Keng Swee, explained that the move gave the Government enough time to take into account economic data from the preceding year when preparing the next Budget.

Singapore's FY now begins on April 1 of every calendar year, and ends on March 31 the following year.












$77 million support package for taxi and private hire drivers affected by the Coronavirus Disease 19 (COVID-19) outbreak

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About 40,000 drivers will be eligible for $20 relief each day for three months from 14 February 2020
By Christopher Tan, Senior Transport Correspondent, The Straits Times, 14 Feb 2020

Cabbies and private-hire drivers can tap a $77 million package to tide them over a sharp drop in business caused by the coronavirus crisis.

The package is co-funded, with the Government contributing $45 million and taxi and private-hire companies paying for the rest.

About 40,000 drivers will be eligible for a $20 relief each day for three months from today, 14 February.

Announcing the package yesterday, the authorities said all main taxi hirers will qualify for the aid package. They will automatically receive $20 in their hiring account each day, without needing to make any application.

Private-hire drivers who completed at least 200 trips per month from October to December last year will also be eligible for the package. Private-hire operators will give details to their drivers within the next week, said the authorities in a statement.

Those who do not qualify for this relief can tap a $2.7 million fund set up by the Government and the National Trades Union Congress (NTUC). Details on how to apply for this fund will be released later.

Senior Minister of State for Transport Janil Puthucheary told reporters yesterday that the relief package was "about 60 per cent" bigger than a similar package doled out during the Sars crisis in 2003.

Asked how badly the coronavirus outbreak has affected the point-to-point transport industry, Dr Janil said "some of our data suggests it's 10 per cent, but I think there may be a lag".



Drivers he spoke to yesterday described a bigger drop, with one revealing on his booking app that his trips had dropped by 30 per cent. "Somewhere between the two is probably the correct number," said Dr Janil, adding: "The reality is that there are going to be several sectors which will need assistance."

"We're going to have to look at a variety of industries across our economy to see what assistance they need," he said.

Mr Ang Hin Kee, adviser to the National Taxi Association and National Private Hire Vehicles Association, described the relief package as "fast and decisive".

"We are certainly glad to have been assured of this help," he said.

Cabby Bert Chai, 56, said the relief package "helps a little, but is not very much", translating to $10 a day when he splits it with his relief driver.

Mr Chai said his trip volume had fallen from "15 to 20 a day, to four to six". "This Monday and Tuesday, I took home only $10. It's very depressing," he said, adding that passenger numbers at the airport and hotels had plummeted. "We can wait two hours at the airport for a passenger."

He added: "Now that more companies are asking their workers to work from home, there are even fewer people taking taxi."

Meanwhile, for the taxi and ride-hailing companies, the Land Transport Authority (LTA) will waive three months' worth of operating fees amounting to $1.3 million.

The LTA will also defer the start of a point-to-point licensing regime to September. It was originally to start in June.



ComfortDelGro Taxi chief executive Ang Wei Neng said: "We know that it is a challenging time for our cabbies. We encourage our hirers to share the rebates with their relief cabbies."

ComfortDelGro said the assistance would cost the company more than $18 million.

Gojek Singapore general manager Lien Choong Luen said: "Gojek will continue to work with the Government to safeguard the well-being and earnings stability of private-hire drivers, and look at even more ways to support them during this period."
























300,000 masks for taxi and private-hire car drivers to offer to passengers
Drivers will pass them out to ill passengers; operators to set up temperature stations
By Hariz Baharudin, The Straits Times, 11 Feb 2020

A total of 300,000 surgical masks will be given to taxi and private-hire car drivers, and temperature-taking stations will be set up to better protect them from the coronavirus, said the Land Transport Authority (LTA) yesterday.

Packs of four masks, which come from the Government, will be distributed from today through the drivers' companies and operators.

LTA said in a statement: "These masks are intended for drivers to offer to passengers who are unwell but do not have a mask and need a ride to seek medical attention."



The authority also announced that from today, taxi operators will be setting up eight temperature screening stations across all their premises.

Drivers can go to these stations to have their temperature taken and receive a sticker for the day, to indicate their temperature has been checked.

LTA added that private-hire car companies such as Grab and Gojek will require their drivers to take their own temperature and to submit their readings via their apps.

More temperature-taking stations will be progressively added islandwide, said LTA, which will work with the National Taxi Association (NTA) and the National Private Hire Vehicle Association (NPHVA) to set these up.



Speaking to reporters following a dialogue with about 60 taxi and private-hire drivers yesterday, Senior Minister of State for Transport Janil Puthucheary said these measures are meant to protect drivers and to assure members of the public that taxis and private-hire cars are safe to ride.

"We need to find a way to restore confidence. Passengers need to find a way to be confident in the vehicle and the drivers picking them up," he said.



In the past week, there have been three cases of taxi drivers and private-hire drivers who were infected by the coronavirus. All had no recent travel history to China.

During the dialogue, Dr Janil addressed a misconception that the coronavirus is airborne, which he said some drivers have thought to be true, and which could stoke unnecessary fears.

The virus is spread by droplets, stressed Dr Janil. This means that rather than being passed via the air in a small confined space such as a car or a taxi, fluid from the mouth and nose carries the virus. Coronaviruses are spread via droplets from a cough or sneeze.



"All the evidence currently points to this virus being droplet-spread. It is not airborne, and that is what is determining the way in which we address this issue," he said.

In an advisory on Sunday sent on its WhatsApp channel, the Government said it is safe to take taxis or private-hire cars.

But cabbies and private-hire drivers whom The Straits Times had spoken to earlier reported a drop in their earnings, with less demand for their services.

Mr Ang Hin Kee, adviser to both the NTA and NPHVA, was also at the dialogue and told reporters yesterday that cabbies and private-hire drivers have seen their earnings fall by about 30 per cent in the past week or so. He said the drop in demand has taken a toll on drivers as they have to work longer hours to make up for the dip in earnings.

Mr Ang and Dr Janil said more measures are being put together to help these drivers deal with the drop in demand.























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Total Defence Day 2020: Government to ensure minimal retrenchments as Singapore deals with COVID-19, says Defence Minister Ng Eng Hen

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Govt to work with unions to keep retrenchments to minimum
By Lim Min Zhang, The Straits Times, 15 Feb 2020

As Singapore's economy is hit by the coronavirus crisis, the Government will ensure that retrenchments are kept to a minimum, said Defence Minister Ng Eng Hen.

"Even as we deal with the viral outbreak, we must ensure that our economy can function to keep jobs and livelihoods for Singapore," he said in his Total Defence Day message yesterday.

"The Government will work with companies and unions to ensure that retrenchments are kept to a minimum, if at all."



Deputy Prime Minister Heng Swee Keat had said earlier that the Government will unveil a support package at Budget 2020 to help businesses affected by the outbreak of the coronavirus disease, known as COVID-19.

In his message, Dr Ng recounted how, in 2003, severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) had caused sickness and death. The fear of being infected gripped citizens everywhere, tourists stopped travelling and people stayed home, he said.

As a result, jobs were lost and retrenchments went up.

"In some countries, this fear created distrust and divided people. But in Singapore, we rallied through Total Defence, stayed united, overcame the SARS crisis to emerge intact and stronger," he said.

The national defence framework has to come into action again against the coronavirus, Dr Ng said.

As part of social defence, everyone has to practise good hygiene and stay away from others if sick, he urged. "At the same time, we must show empathy and compassion to help those who are infected or under quarantine."

Psychological defence has to be strengthened to withstand the ups and downs from the virus outbreak, he added.

Daily life can go on with sensible precautions, such as washing one's hands and keeping them away from the face, he said.

Singaporeans also have to guard against digital threats such as false information during this period, he added.

The minister said digital defence, the latest pillar of Total Defence, was a timely and necessary addition as dealing with the virus outbreak has shown.

False information about the disease or messages to incite hatred against any group do much harm, he noted. "We must never let these 'drums' - distortions, rumours, untruths, misinformation and smears - be heard, lest they sow discord, divide our people and ultimately weaken our will to defeat the outbreak and defend Singapore."

Total Defence Day is commemorated on Feb 15 every year - the day Singapore fell to Japan in 1942, which was followed by 31/2 years of Japanese Occupation.

Digital defence was added last year as the sixth pillar of Total Defence. Economic, social, psychological, military and civil defence make up the other five pillars of Total Defence.

Dr Ng also said the country's civil and military defences are "in good working order".

He offered his condolences to families of victims who have suffered, and saluted front-line staff, such as doctors, nurses and healthcare workers who treat patients daily.

As Singapore marks Total Defence Day, he said he has every confidence Singaporeans will again rally and win the fight against the coronavirus. "If we maintain that resolve, with each Singaporean committed to doing their part, then Singapore can continue to be a shining example for many years to come."

In a Facebook post yesterday, President Halimah Yacob said this year's Total Defence has a poignant significance, as Singapore is currently dealing with a national and global health crisis.

"It is a timely reminder on the importance of strengthening our social and psychological defence to rally our nation together in the face of the COVID-19 outbreak," she wrote.
























The 5Cs of beating the coronavirus outbreak
Practise being calm, cautious, considerate, caring and collectivistic. And use these tools to build up arsenal of psychological defence against the virus threat.
By David Chan, Published The Straits Times, 15 Feb 2020

For a few weeks now, Singapore's news headlines have been dominated practically daily by case updates and control measures related to the coronavirus disease, now officially known as COVID-19.

To tackle public fear and anxiety, our political leaders promptly release information affecting public health and emphasise that health advisories and decisions on control measures are evidence-based. They reassure the public that there is adequate medical and food supplies.

They also warn against irrational, counterproductive or discriminatory behaviours. They highlight societal values of social harmony, civic-mindedness and altruism.

On Friday last week, Singapore raised the Disease Outbreak Response System Condition (Dorscon) level to orange after several local cases without links to previous cases or travel history to China were tested positive.

The orange level refers to a situation in which a virus is spreading but not widely. It involves introducing additional precautionary measures and enforcing compliance to contain the spread of the virus.

The next day, Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong delivered a televised statement to alleviate fear and anxiety, urge Singaporeans to stay calm and carry on with their lives while taking sensible precautions, and rally the country to "take courage and see through this stressful time together". He highlighted that the ongoing virus outbreak is a test of Singapore's social cohesion and psychological resilience.

In my view, a key message in PM Lee's statement is the importance of psychological preparedness in our fight against the coronavirus.



Today is Singapore's Total Defence Day. Psychological defence is one of the six pillars of our total defence. What is the current state of our psychological defence against the virus threat?

BEING PSYCHOLOGICALLY PREPARED

In the past few days, daily updates from the Ministry of Health (MOH) reported more confirmed cases that do not have recent travel history or links to China. For the public, news of these local transmissions increases the salience of the virus threat.

Understandably, many individuals begin to worry more about themselves, their family members and their friends.

At the media briefing on Wednesday, Health Minister Gan Kim Yong (chair of the Multi-Ministry Taskforce) cautioned that we have to be prepared for the worst as there could be patients who may succumb to the viral infection.

This is psychologically important because a death is not just a fatality statistic - it also brings grief to family and friends, affects the morale of medical staff and front-line officers, and increases public fear, anxiety and other negative sentiments.

When it comes to test results, an increase in confirmed cases, recovery and death, we should hope for the best and be prepared for the worst. But psychological resilience is much more than our state of mind as we wait and react to daily updates from MOH.

At the same media briefing, National Development Minister Lawrence Wong (co-chair of the taskforce) acknowledged that the authorities do not know what sort of situation is going to unfold over the next few weeks and whether it will get better or worse.



Put in another way, we are currently in a VUCA situation - one that is volatile, uncertain, complex and ambiguous.

But we need not be paralysed by the VUCA situation facing us. As individuals and in groups, we can make a positive difference not only to our lived experiences as the situation evolves but also to the type of society that we will become for years to come.

As the virus threat continues to loom, we need to understand psychological defence and shore it up at both the individual and societal levels.

PSYCHOLOGICAL CAPITAL

Individuals, organisations and communities need to develop "psychological capital", which provides the building blocks for our psychological defence.

Psychological capital is a critical resource for individuals, and society collectively, to solve problems and improve well-being.

Research has shown that four inter-related mindsets - self-efficacy, optimism, hope and resilience - contribute to psychological capital that helps people function in adaptive ways, such as adjusting our lifestyle to take precautions and deal with the various control measures.

Psychological capital can be cultivated through training and education such as clearly explaining what we know and do not know about the coronavirus, what Dorscon risk assessment levels mean and entail, and the rationale for various precautionary measures and public health advisories.

Psychological capital can also be developed through real-life experiences such as working together to solve a problem, being involved in volunteer activities and providing social support to help those in need.

Psychological capital can become a powerful resource and motivation, characterised by a "can-do" spirit and a "will-do" attitude.

We need to pay more attention to self-efficacy, optimism, hope and resilience as individuals adjust to the virus outbreak evolving in a VUCA situation.

PRINCIPLES TO GUIDE BEHAVIOURS

Psychological capital is an action-oriented resource. It produces positive behaviours. The resulting positive outcomes in turn reinforce the development of psychological capital.

There are many positive behaviours that we should or could engage in as we face the evolving virus outbreak situation.

I suggest five principles to guide our behaviours.

BE CALM

We are likely to get more local transmissions in the coming days and weeks, with breaking news of new confirmed cases leading to disruptions in schools or workplaces.

Some cases could be close to home - both physically and figuratively - as cases emerge near where we live, study or work, or when they directly affect our family, friends or colleagues.

When that happens, our fear and anxiety levels will naturally rise. We immediately message one another to express our emotions and reactions.

How do we deal with this? Learn to take a deep breath, pause and reflect. Control our impulse to blame individuals, groups, organisations or the efficacy of containment measures before finding out the facts.

No one wants to be infected or to infect others. With the virus circulating in our population, it is still possible to have an infected case even when sensible precautions are taken.

Being calm should not be confused with behaving in a nonchalant or overconfident manner, which is a negative attitude showing that one is not interested and does not care, downplaying the severity or trivialising the concerns expressed by others who perceive a serious virus threat.

BE CAUTIOUS

By now, everyone is familiar with the basic precautions. Practising good personal hygiene habits is the most important behaviour that each of us can do for ourselves and others.

Instead of seeing it as an inconvenience, we should make it a habit to practise good personal hygiene behaviours for our own health and also out of social responsibility for public health.

The authorities are clearly working very hard to enhance the containment strategy and tighten the various control measures. At schools and workplaces, employers have to make quick decisions and often with incomplete information. Employees have to put up with inconveniences ranging from minor to major adjustments. But it can take just one careless individual to breach the control measures for an infection case and cluster to occur.

We should be cautious and conscientious in adhering to the control measures in place.

BE CONSIDERATE

Fear and anxiety can override rationality and social norms, driving us to do things that we normally will not do or imagine ever doing.

Last week, there was panic buying at supermarkets when the Dorscon level was raised to orange. We should be well-informed and inform others - it is a verifiable fact that Singapore has sufficient supplies of essential food items and an adequate food security system, with diversification of food sources so there is enough food for everyone.

It is understandable and reasonable to buy a little more than usual if we plan to stay at home more in view of the virus outbreak. We should not "demonise" these people who are buying more out of necessity or reasonable convenience. But there is no need to hoard essential groceries and create our own stockpiles. We should be considerate and not deprive others who may be more in need of the items.

Another inconsiderate behaviour is depriving others of seats at the hawker centre or refusing to share common spaces out of fear of potential infection.

Being considerate to others is essentially civic-mindedness. It also applies to maintaining public hygiene such as keeping public places clean after use.

BE CARING

In crisis situations, it is important to care for others who are in need.

The needs and care could be tangible such as distributing masks or hand sanitisers to those who need them and delivering meals or other items to those who have to stay at home to observe mandated leave of absence from work to monitor their health.

Then there are intangible needs and care such as providing social support such as expressing gratitude and encouragement to our healthcare workers, Home Team officers, cleaners and many others who are at the front line working to keep all of us safe.

Our medical workers and other front-line officers are putting in long hours under extremely challenging conditions. Without their courage and perseverance, we would be in a much more dire situation now. To stay the course, what they need from us is our social support, not social ostracism.

When our espoused values of care and compassion for others translate to actual value-driven behaviours, especially in crisis situations where others are most in need of help and support, it becomes truly value-in-action.

BE COLLECTIVISTIC

It is human that fear and anxiety for one's own health will automatically trigger self-preservation behaviours. But humans are also social beings interdependent on one another, capable of altruistic actions rooted in collectivistic values that go beyond individualistic interests.

Collectivism is a personal and social value that emphasises the interests and well-being of the larger group that we are a member of. It prioritises the group's concerns over one's own individual needs and desires. This larger group could be our neighbourhood, school, work organisation and, of course, country.

When we are collectivistic, we value and prioritise social cohesion. We see the strengths of working together in a coordinated, cooperative and collaborative way to achieve collective goals for the common good. Being collectivistic is critical in our battle against the virus outbreak.

CONCLUSION

Psychological capital and guiding principles are mutually reinforcing. For example, when people are optimistic and have the efficacy beliefs that they can make a positive difference to the morale of healthcare workers in difficult times, they are more likely to care and offer social support.

Conversely, collectivistic behaviours guided by commitment to collective goals and trust developed from working together help build resilience in individuals as they persevere and learn to cope with difficult changes and adapt to new demands.

We need to shore up our psychological defence considerably and now, if we are to have a good chance of Singapore seeing through this crisis.

Focus on self-efficacy, optimism, hope and resilience to build psychological capital.

A society with strong psychological capital can defuse an adverse climate and mitigate the impact of negative events and severe crises. It helps prevent negativity and promote positivity.

Along with building psychological capital, adopt the 5C principles of being calm, cautious, considerate, caring and collectivistic to guide our behaviours, so we make a positive difference.

When we do that, we develop robust psychological defence. Then we can be realistically confident that we will defeat our public enemy, the coronavirus, and emerge stronger as individuals and as a society.

David Chan is director of the Behavioural Sciences Institute and Professor of Psychology at the Singapore Management University.




















Coronavirus: Resilience, selflessness will win this war, not hoarding
By Tan Ooi Boon, Associate Foreign Editor, The Straits Times, 15 Feb 2020

Wear a mask or not? If you grapple with this issue daily, pause a moment to think of all the healthcare workers who are now on the front line battling the coronavirus.

Even as you worry for your health, these selfless workers cast aside theirs first to care for those who are sick. For them, it is no longer just a chance encounter of touching a handrail that is coated with nasal droplets or being coughed at. Their patients have the coronavirus, and yet they have to be in close contact with them to make sure they get well.

The current health crisis cannot be wished away, and neither will it just disappear by everyone hiding in his home.

It is these selfless and resilient healthcare professionals who will win the coronavirus war for us.

Sadly, instead of cherishing their noble deeds, many people choose to view them as the next source of the plague and shun them.

President Halimah Yacob and Health Minister Gan Kim Yong both have come out with strong messages to urge people to support healthcare workers, not shun them. Madam Halimah said: "Why do some of us make their lives so difficult at a time when we need them the most?"

Mr Gan noted that such ugly behaviour also happened during the severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) outbreak, adding that he did not wish to see this happening this time.

In 2003, a few healthcare workers died for their patients. One of them, Dr Alexandre Chao, then 37, a vascular surgeon, was away in the United States but he cut short his leave and volunteered to help treat SARS patients. He took all precautions, including staying alone during this period but, sadly, he still caught the virus.



He could not even hug his two young daughters, aged four and one, one last time and could only wave to them from his car as he drove by his home. He died a week later.

Four other unsung Singapore healthcare heroes also died while caring for their patients. It is hoped that Singaporeans will remember and be inspired by the spirit and courage of these selfless heroes.

In a crisis such as this, people should do the right thing and care for one another, and not be consumed by fear and selfishness.

Perhaps due to the mass sharing of both real and untrue information over social media, irrational fear appears to have taken hold of many people, and this has resulted in a nationwide run on essential items - first surgical masks and then groceries - that is unprecedented in recent memory.



For every snaking long queue, there are stories of ungracious people, such as those who abandon their groceries midway after giving up on the long wait. These acts not only result in perishable food being wasted, but also put further strain on many already tired supermarket employees who have to clear or throw these items away.

As if to thumb their noses at those who are not as quick as them, some hoarders even proudly circulate videos and pictures of their hauls.

To make things worse, there are those who seize on the fear to sell essential items at a huge profit. Instead of giving money to these vultures, people should consider donating the same money to The Courage Fund to support healthcare workers.

Then, there are those who are quick to point fingers at both China and Chinese people for bringing a new accursed disease to the world. Some even deride those in Wuhan, the epicentre of the epidemic, who gathered and shared meals during the Chinese New Year, and, thus, added to the infection number.

These Wuhan residents are not different from everyone else in the world who, too, want to be among family and friends during festive periods. No one chooses to be sick and wants harm to fall on his loved ones - like the family in Hong Kong who had a hot pot dinner that ended with nine people being sick.

In his first remarks on the coronavirus last month, Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong best put it when he said Singapore will stand with China in this crisis. "This is an illness. I don't think the Chinese wished it upon themselves. They are trying very hard to fight it, and I think we should work with them to help make sure this is not a global problem," he said.



In China, more than 1,300 have died and over 60,000 have been infected.

SCENES FROM CHINESE HOSPITALS

Beneath these grim numbers are tens of thousands of valiant Chinese medical workers who battle fatigue and risks to their own lives daily to make sure more people can go home to their loved ones.

A China Global Television Network (CGTN) reporter was allowed to interview the nurses at a Wuhan hospital during their break. In the video report, he noted that each nurse would work in long four-to eight-hour shifts before they could even rest.

As they wore full protective gear, which included goggles, N-95 masks, gloves and full suits that had to be taped up fully, they could not drink, eat or visit the toilet during each shift. For their meals, the nurses were each given bento-like sets that consist of rice, meat and two vegetables, which they wolfed down quickly while bantering with one another in good spirits.



Noting that all the nurses had deep red marks on their faces due to the goggles that they wore tightly for hours, the reporter asked one of them in jest: "Your face looks like a teenage mutant ninja turtle's eye patch. Have your children seen that?"

Her unexpected reply probably caused many who watched the video to shed a tear.

"I haven't been home since my first day here. So I didn't tell my son much about my work. He is only seven," she said, as she broke down.

"We hope this outbreak will pass soon. I believe the entire medical team of Wuhan can defeat this public health hazard."

Another CGTN report focused on Miss Shan Xia, a nurse at People's Hospital in Wuhan University. Ms Shan, 30, a mother of two with jet-black long hair, surprised all her colleagues when she shaved her head bald. She did it so that she could wear her protective garb at her ward quicker.

"I don't think it is a big deal. You can always grow back your hair later," she said.

While the outbreak will be a dark chapter in Wuhan's history, this crisis also turned out to be its people's finest hour.

MASSIVE FEATS

In just weeks, lab technicians there were able to speed up the testing of patients' samples, from just 200 a day to 4,200 a day. This greatly enhances the allocation of already scarce resources so that the sick can be treated faster.

The world also watched with disbelief as the city took barely two weeks to build two makeshift but fully equipped hospitals that can take in a total of 2,600 patients.

In just three days, the city also converted three public facilities, including an exhibition hall, into hospitals that would house 4,400 beds. Ten more of such "converted" hospitals are being set up. More than 130 quarantine sites with over 12,500 beds have also been set up.

Apart from the tens of thousands of healthcare workers already in Wuhan, China President Xi Jinping has deployed a further 20,000 workers to join the "people's war" to contain the epidemic.

While not everyone is equipped to fight on the front line, ordinary folk can certainly help by reducing the risk of being infected by being socially responsible. Do not give in to fear and start hoarding essential goods, as this will add to the strain on not only the authorities, but also the elderly and low-income families who will have problems meeting their daily needs.

As I was driving to work this week, I saw something which also moved me. While waiting at a pedestrian crossing which is located right in front of a supermarket, scores of people, a number with face masks on, walked in front of my car with packs of groceries which they just bought.

Then I saw her - a frail-looking elderly Indian woman with neatly tied silvery hair walking slowly at the crossing. She was not wearing a mask and was carrying only a small packet of food. As she was nearing the other side of the road, she turned around to face me and the motorist beside me, and gave a slight bow with both hands together. It was her gesture of thanks to us for patiently waiting for her to slowly cross the road.

As an elderly person, she would be most vulnerable to the ill effects of the virus, as well as hoarding which will deprive her of her needs.

Despite this, she not only carries on as usual, without mask or fear, but also spreads goodwill by showing her appreciation to those around her. It is acts of kindness and consideration that separate humans from beasts. So if this woman is not afraid to go on living as usual, why should you be?










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PM Lee Hsien Loong doesn’t rule out recession as coronavirus outbreak hits Singapore’s economy hard

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Impact on economy already exceeds SARS
Unions will try to minimise retrenchments and businesses could get help with cash flow
By Danson Cheong, The Straits Times, 15 Feb 2020

The possibility of a recession looms over Singapore, said Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong, noting that the coronavirus outbreak has already hit the economy more severely than the severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) epidemic did in 2003.

"I can't say whether we will have a recession or not. It is possible, but definitely our economy will take a hit," he told reporters yesterday during a visit to Changi Airport Terminal 3.

The impact, particularly in the next few quarters, will be significant as the country battles a "very intense outbreak", he said.

"It is already much more than SARS, and the economies of the region are much more interlinked together. China, particularly, is a much bigger factor in the region," he added.

Singapore was hit by SARS in March 2003. It took five months, until July, to eradicate the disease here.

"That was, I think, very fast. I expect it not to be so fast this time," he said.

Singapore is working to contain the coronavirus disease, COVID-19, which was first reported in the Chinese city of Wuhan in December last year. But the Government is already bracing itself for tourist arrivals to drop by between 25 per cent and 30 per cent this year.



Some of the impact was already evident when PM Lee visited Changi Airport, which is on the front lines of the fight, and spoke to workers, businesses and cabbies there.

One taxi driver told PM Lee that his income was down by 30 per cent.

While flights are down by a third, and businesses hit hard, staff and crew have to stay at their posts and keep Singapore open for business, PM Lee said.

"We have to get through this, and I think, with the unions' help, we will," he told one group of workers.

Shutting down the country was not an option, he said.

"We have to keep Singapore going and we have to keep making a living. Life has to go on. So, we have to calibrate and judge as we (take) each step, what is the most prudent thing to do," added PM Lee, who was accompanied by Mrs Lee and Senior Minister of State for Health and Transport Lam Pin Min during his 11/2-hour visit.



Other ministers have also called on Singaporeans to rally together during this time of crisis.

Defence Minister Ng Eng Hen said in his Total Defence Day message yesterday: "The Government will work with companies and unions to ensure that retrenchments are kept to a minimum, if at all."

Trade and Industry Minister Chan Chun Sing met several business leaders and said that while many small and medium-sized enterprises were worried about cashflow problems during the current crunch, Tuesday's Budget would seek to address some of these issues.

He also said that the outbreak highlighted that businesses should not just diversify their supply chains, but also ensure they did not have too many workers from any one country.



Meanwhile, PM Lee told reporters that Singapore was working with its neighbours to strengthen cooperation in dealing with the virus.

The authorities in both Singapore and Malaysia had announced a joint working group to deal with the virus this week.

Vietnam, as the current chairman of Asean, is also coordinating a regionwide response and will issue a statement soon.

PM Lee said: "We do need to exchange information and cooperate with one another to avoid working at cross purposes... because for us in Singapore, if the region has a problem, it is going to be very, very difficult for Singapore to isolate itself and keep the problem outside of our boundaries."






















PM Lee Hsien Loong on economy, fighting coronavirus as a region
Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong spoke to reporters on the coronavirus outbreak yesterday after visiting Changi Airport Terminal 3. This is an edited transcript of his remarks.
By Danson Cheong, The Straits Times, 15 Feb 2020


Q: WHAT WILL BE THE ECONOMIC IMPACT OF THE COVID-19 OUTBREAK ON THE REGION? IS SINGAPORE LIKELY TO SEE A RECESSION?

A: The impact will be significant, at least in the next couple of quarters. It is a very intense outbreak. I think it is already much more than SARS, and economies of the region are much more interlinked. China, particularly, is a much bigger factor in the region.

Therefore, I can't say whether we will have a recession or not. It is possible, but definitely our economy will take a hit.





Q: THERE IS INCREASED VIGILANCE - THERMAL SCREENING, MORE FREQUENT CLEANING. IS THIS A NEW NORMAL AND HOW LONG WILL IT LAST?

A: It is what we need to do for now. How long we need to do it will depend on how the outbreak develops in Singapore and in the region and the world. I think it will be for some time.

SARS took us from March (2003), when we had our first cases, until July, before we were declared clear. That was, I think, very fast. I expect it not to be so fast this time. It will eventually pass, and we will be back to normal, but I cannot say for sure how long.


Q: THE NUMBERS OF LOCAL CLUSTERS AND TRANSMITTED CASES ARE RISING. IS THERE WIDESPREAD COMMUNITY TRANSMISSION HERE? WILL SINGAPORE BE SHIFTING ITS APPROACH?

A: I don't think we have reached that point yet. We are watching the numbers carefully. (On Thursday), the numbers were quite high, but they were mostly traceable. So, we will have to watch the trend, whether the numbers go up and also whether the cases are traceable. We can continue to do contact tracing and squeeze out the clusters one by one.



I said last week in my message when I spoke to Singaporeans that we may have to change our approach at some point. I don't think we have reached that point yet, but it is an evolving situation.

Every day brings new developments, and we cannot be sure which way it will go. So, we have to watch and respond quickly but make a judgment at each point, what is the right thing to do.

We have to keep Singapore going and keep making a living. Life has to go on. So, we have to calibrate and judge as we (take) each step, what is the most prudent thing to do. Err on the side of caution, but make a sensible judgment. That is what we are trying (to do).


Q: A FEW COUNTRIES HAVE ISSUED TRAVEL ADVISORIES AGAINST SINGAPORE. ARE YOU CONCERNED THAT THIS WILL ESCALATE TO A TRAVEL BAN?

A: Our reported cases look quite high because we are working very hard to identify any case that may be in Singapore, and in a city like Singapore, it is possible for us to be quite thorough.

Whereas, if you are in a big country, 10,000 islands or big landmass with many rural areas, it is not so easy to track what is happening in the country.

So, we have to make this known to other countries... make a sound scientific and medical judgment. Don't just (have) a knee-jerk (reaction) based on somebody's headline.


Q: SINGAPORE HAS ESTABLISHED A WORKING GROUP WITH MALAYSIA TO TACKLE THE VIRUS. WILL SUCH CROSS-BORDER COOPERATION BE EXPANDED?

A: We are cooperating closely with Malaysia because from the public health point of view, we are one area because there are so many people who go back and forth between Singapore and Malaysia every day - more than 100,000.

Our ministers of health have been in touch. Our professionals will also need to work together and exchange information as well as coordinate the measures that are being taken.

With Asean, Vietnam is taking the initiative to coordinate an Asean response. They have worked out a statement and we have given them our comments and it will come out, I imagine, within a day or two.

But we do need to exchange information and cooperate with one another to avoid working at cross purposes. We did that during SARS, the ministers met.

This time, we should do something similar within the region because for us in Singapore, if the region has a problem, it is going to be very, very difficult for Singapore to isolate itself and keep the problem outside our boundaries.













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COVID-19: Clinics roped in to help detect and manage coronavirus cases from 18 February 2020

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Public Health Preparedness Clinics re-activated to reduce risk of COVID-19 spread
MOH activates 900 clinics; doctors advised to give 5-day medical leave to patients with respiratory symptoms
Citizens and permanent residents will pay a flat rate of $10 for consultation and treatment, while the Pioneer and Merdeka generations will pay $5
By Linette Lai, Political Correspondent, The Straits Times, 15 Feb 2020

People with respiratory symptoms such as cough, fever and sore throat will pay a maximum of $10 when they seek treatment at polyclinics and about 900 designated clinics as the Government steps up its response to the coronavirus outbreak.

The Ministry of Health (MOH) is also re-activating the Public Health Preparedness Clinics (PHPCs) - previously used to deal with the haze and the H1N1 pandemic - to better detect and manage the disease now named COVID-19.

Doctors at all clinics, even those not designated as a PHPC, have also been advised to give five days of sick leave to patients with such respiratory symptoms.

In announcing these moves yesterday, Health Minister Gan Kim Yong said at a news conference that the PHPC clinics are an important line of defence during public health outbreaks.



They provide subsidised treatment, investigations and medication during outbreaks. Staff at these general practitioner clinics have been guided on "the appropriate care protocols according to the assessed risk and diagnosis of each patient", and will be supplied with personal protection equipment.


The network of clinics will be progressively activated from Tuesday, 18 February. Citizens and permanent residents will pay a flat rate of $10 for consultation and treatment, while those belonging to the Pioneer and Merdeka generations will pay $5.

Those with respiratory symptoms can also go to polyclinics, where the same subsidies will apply.



On the guidance to doctors to give five-day medical certificates for patients with respiratory symptoms, Mr Gan said the authorities noticed that many confirmed cases had not isolated themselves even after falling ill.

"We are quite concerned that many of the local confirmed cases had remained in the community, and some had gone back to work even when they were ill, after they had seen a doctor," Mr Gan said.

"This is not helpful in our efforts to reduce the risk of community transmission."



The five-day duration will also help separate the genuine coronavirus cases from those with other ailments. People who do not recover within five days will be referred for further medical assessments and tests. They are encouraged to return to the same doctor when they seek further treatment.

In a separate statement, MOH noted that although most people with respiratory symptoms do not have the coronavirus, they should still seek medical treatment early and stay home throughout their illness.

Members of the public can refer to www.flugowhere.gov.sg for the updated list of preparedness clinics. They can also identify the preparedness clinics from the PHPC decal at these clinics.





















Singapore has no plans to go to DORSCON red, says Health Minister Gan Kim Yong
By Fabian Koh, The Straits Times, 15 Feb 2020

There are currently no plans to escalate the national disaster alert response level in relation to the coronavirus outbreak, Health Minister Gan Kim Yong said yesterday.

The Disease Outbreak Response System Condition (DORSCON) level was raised from "yellow" to "orange" on Feb 7 amid indications that the disease, now known as COVID-19, was spreading in the community.

Mr Gan, who co-chairs the multi-ministry task force tackling the coronavirus, said at a news conference that rumours going around that the DORSCON level will be raised from "orange" to "red", its highest level, impedes the Government's efforts in helping patients.




"I want to say categorically that we have no plans to go to DORSCON red. So, please help me stop these rumours going forward so that we can focus our efforts on dealing with our patients and support them."

Mr Gan said the battle to stop the spread of the virus is already challenging enough. "We don't really want to have to spend efforts stopping the spread of rumours."


The Ministry of Health has said the DORSCON categories are not cast in stone, but are general guidelines for action.



In the colour coding system, "green" means the disease is mild or it is severe but does not spread easily. "Yellow" refers either to a disease that is spreading but is a mild infection or being contained, or a severe infection that spreads easily but is occurring outside Singapore.

"Orange" means the disease is severe with transmission, but is generally contained, and has moderate to high public health impact. "Red" signifies a severe disease that is spreading widely.


Yesterday, Mr Gan said that having the DORSCON level downgraded to "yellow" or "green" involves taking into account many factors beyond just the Government changing its management strategy in this crisis.




"The measures... are not necessarily so closely tied to the DORSCON level. Some of the measures that we were taking when we were in 'yellow' were already (for those should we be) in 'orange'.

"And if the situation evolves such that some of the measures (can be) rolled back, we may roll back before we downgrade the DORSCON," he said.


Mr Gan added that moving the DORSCON level is a judgment call "to a very large extent", which also takes into account advice and expert inputs from professionals, and a general assessment of the situation.


"It is not an easy thing to list out 'these are the conditions' and if you tick all the boxes, it will be downgraded," he said.


























Strategies to be updated as more is known of coronavirus: Lawrence Wong
Research shows its transmission is different from Sars, more like H1N1 flu
By Fabian Koh, The Straits Times, 15 Feb 2020

As more information on the coronavirus surfaces, Singapore will reassess and update its strategies to deal with the evolving situation, National Development Minister Lawrence Wong said yesterday.

One potential strategy if widespread community transmission happens here would be to discontinue contact tracing for every individual, he said.

"Instead, we will look at the patients who come forward," he added. The majority of those with mild symptoms can visit GPs and, with necessary precautions, will recover in due course, he said.

The more severe cases will be referred to hospitals, where they can get more specialised treatment.

Mr Wong said the Government used the same strategy to handle the H1N1 situation in 2009.

"We are not saying we are there yet. This is not our strategy today, which is still to contain the spread of the virus," he emphasised.

"That is the strategy that countries everywhere are still adopting."



Giving an update on the latest research, Mr Wong said it is now clear the transmission mechanism of the disease known as COVID-19 is different from the severe acute respiratory syndrome (Sars) which struck in 2003, and more similar to the H1N1 influenza which struck in 2009.

Mr Wong said this has been confirmed by researchers at the National Centre for Infectious Diseases (NCID), who looked at the Singapore cases and found that like influenza, the coronavirus is infectious when the symptoms are mild.

"With our mild symptoms, we sometimes let our guard down - we continue going out even though we don't really feel well, and that is how the virus transmits," he added.

He noted that the coronavirus is less severe than Sars. The mortality rate in China, and more so globally, is lower than it was for Sars.

Mr Wong, who co-chairs the Multi-Ministry Taskforce on the coronavirus, added that various studies are being done and cited one by the World Health Organisation (WHO) of 17,000 patients.

They found that 82 per cent of the patients have mild symptoms, 15 per cent have severe symptoms and 3 per cent have critical symptoms.

"It is not a mild illness at all, but certainly not of the severity of Sars," he said of COVID-19. "It is less severe; it is more infectious than Sars; it is different from Sars. That is why because of the higher degree of infection, various experts have also projected that the disease may well spread at a much faster rate - closer, more akin to H1N1."

Mr Wong also highlighted a study by Harvard University's school of public health on airline travel volume, which concluded the virus may well have spread undetected to various countries in the region, including Indonesia and Thailand.

Public health experts globally have also said the number of people infected with the coronavirus outside of China "cannot possibly remain at current levels", he added.

"It is a matter of time before you see a lot of people around the world getting the disease," he said.

Mr Wong noted how during the H1N1 and flu pandemic in 2009, 10 per cent to 20 per cent of the global population contracted the illness. "In Singapore alone, more than 400,000 people got ill from H1N1 in less than a year. We are not saying that this will happen for COVID-19. It is a different disease than H1N1, so the patterns of transmission and the number of people contracting the disease will be different," he said.

"But because the transmission patterns are similar to H1N1, we should be prepared for a scenario where you get wider transmission around the world."

He also noted while Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong spoke about a possible change in approach should the virus become more widespread, "we are not there yet". Mr Wong said there is no widespread community transmission of the virus here or elsewhere at this stage. "All of us are doing everything we can to reduce the risk of further spread."

But new information on the virus is also being discovered every day. "As we get more of this information, we will share it with everyone so that everyone is informed and updated on the latest understanding of this virus," he said.



Mr Wong noted that four coronaviruses already form part of the common flu family, so the latest one is not unusual in that sense. "Will COVID-19 be the fifth? I don't know. The fact of the matter is, this will not be the first coronavirus to form part of the common flu that we get."

He said that what is key now is understanding the new virus, and for that, Singapore has to continue working with scientists and researchers from other countries.

"Our database is very small. We are dealing with the cases we have, but you need to look at a larger sample... to get some better sense of the patterns and the kinds of severity for different patients," he added.





















No plans to close schools yet, says Education Minister Ong Ye Kung
Extra precautions taken but situation will be monitored closely, he says
By Jolene Ang, The Straits Times, 15 Feb 2020

There are no plans to close schools yet, Education Minister Ong Ye Kung said yesterday. It is a big and difficult decision with pros but also significant cons, he said.

"For many parents, the pro is that 'I can keep my child at home, I can look after my child and I feel a sense of safety'," he said.

But there are three downsides to closing schools in the light of the coronavirus outbreak, he told reporters during a visit to First Toa Payoh Primary School.

The first is that infections can happen even in homes, for example, if parents bring back germs from work outside. But schools have cleaning and disinfection routines to keep a school environment safe.

Mr Ong said the second disadvantage of shutting schools is that children may not stay at home all the time during a school closure.



He said: "So, they will go out, which is good... You get out in the open, you exercise, you get under the sun, which raises their resilience and immunity. But at the same time, they are also mingling in public spaces.

"In school, they are kept within this environment with a protocol, with teachers repeatedly reminding and bringing them to wash their hands, reminding not to touch their face, making sure that those who come in with a fever or are not feeling well are asked to rest at home.

"So, today in school, it is a much more regimented and cleaner environment."

The third disadvantage is one that is often underestimated, the minister said. "It is a big disruption to many parents and students' lives. At the beginning, we may feel safe, but as schools continue to be closed, after a while, normalcy is disrupted."

Parents who are working may have to make alternative childcare arrangements, and prolonged closure can also instil a sense of fear and despair, he added.



Closing schools would be "a big decision", said Mr Ong, adding: "We will consider and monitor the situation closely. As of now, I think we should keep schools going, but take extra precautions, as we have already done."

Some measures taken include suspending large gatherings or communal activities such as mass assemblies and school camps, and staggering recess timings.

Mr Ong noted that schools were closed for a while during the severe acute respiratory syndrome (Sars) period to "beef up our systems".

"That was when we made sure every child had a thermometer, every school gate had temperature checks and all the school protocols were put in place... but all those systems are in place today."



Mr Ong was at First Toa Payoh Primary School to launch a campaign to rally pupils against the coronavirus, ahead of Total Defence Day today. The campaign's objectives include helping pupils to develop good personal hygiene habits and practise social responsibility.

The minister also joined a lesson at MK @ First Toa Payoh, a Ministry of Education kindergarten, where the children learnt a song that taught them how to wash their hands properly.

He also visited a Primary 6 class and learnt a rap song, created by MOE, with the pupils. They were introduced to five superhero characters, such as Hands Down Hana who reminds pupils not to touch their face, while Mask Up Mei Mei tells those unwell to wear a mask.



Primary 3 pupil Shen Yi Ping said his teacher has been teaching his classmates to wash their hands regularly with soap and water and not to touch their faces unnecessarily.

Added the nine-year-old: "Now, the school is very strict, and we have to do a health check every time we come to school."










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Budget 2020 to help families with cost of living and businesses tackle COVID-19 fallout: Heng Swee Keat

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Deputy Prime Minister and Minister for Finance Heng Swee Keat says Budget will have package to help households with daily expenses during coronavirus crisis
By Tee Zhuo, The Straits Times, 17 Feb 2020

Families will get help with daily expenses and firms can look forward to tax rebates in the Budget tomorrow as the nation deals with the economic fallout from the coronavirus outbreak.

Finance Minister Heng Swee Keat said in a video message yesterday that the Government will do "all that is necessary" to help workers and firms recover from the health crisis.

"Never doubt that Singapore has the means to bounce back from this outbreak," he added.



Mr Heng, who is also Deputy Prime Minister, said the Budget will have a package to assist households with cost of living to address concerns about expenses during this uncertain period.

Other broad-based measures include wage support to help companies preserve jobs for local workers, and tax rebates and rental waivers for firms to address cash flow issues.

There will also be support to help firms and workers restructure, train and upgrade in preparation for the eventual upturn.

Sectors that have been harder hit, such as the food and beverage and retail industries, will get more help, Mr Heng noted, adding: "With all these additional support measures, you have my assurance that we will rebound from this, never fear."

Mr Heng recorded his video message yesterday at Kallang Fire Station, where he met Singapore Civil Defence Force front-line officers and Team Singapore athletes who were there in support.

In his message, Mr Heng said the outbreak came unexpectedly and has evolved rapidly.

"We are taking a risk-based approach, stepping up safeguards as the situation changes," he said.

For example, Singapore raised its Disease Outbreak Response System Condition (Dorscon) to orange on Feb 7 after the first indications of local transmission, and on Friday reactivated its network of 900 Public Health Preparedness Clinics.

The clinics provide subsidised treatment, investigations and drugs during disease outbreaks, for patients with symptoms.



Apart from supporting firms, workers and families, Mr Heng highlighted two other responses to see Singapore through the outbreak: mobilising new capabilities and strengthening social resilience.

First, he noted that capabilities have improved since the 2003 severe acute respiratory syndrome crisis. These include setting up the National Centre for Infectious Diseases and better healthcare infrastructure and technology.

Investments in research and development, especially in health and biomedical sciences, have also allowed Singapore to respond better to COVID-19, as the viral disease is now known. He cited a new diagnostic kit that local researchers developed just over a week after the viral sequence was available.

Second, Mr Heng stressed the importance of social and psychological resilience in fighting the disease, including personal hygiene, staying updated through credible sources, being socially responsible by staying at home if ill and not panic buying, and caring for others.

"Together, we can overcome this outbreak and emerge stronger and more united, as one people."





















Singapore downgrades 2020 economic growth forecast to -0.5-1.5% on coronavirus impact
By Ovais Subhani and Sue-Ann Tan, The Straits Times, 17 Feb 2020

The Ministry of Trade and Industry (MTI) on Monday (Feb 17) downgraded its economic growth forecast to between -0.5 and 1.5 per cent - indicating a possible recession - due to a weakened outlook after the outbreak of the coronavirus.

The MTI also said growth is expected to come in at around 0.5 per cent, the mid-point of the forecast range. In November, the MTI forecast economic expansion of between 0.5 and 2.5 per cent for 2020.

Mr Gabriel Lim, permanent secretary for trade and industry, said that the last time Singapore suffered a recession was in 2001, when full year gross domestic product (GDP) contracted by about 1 per cent.

However, he stressed that MTI's baseline view at this point for 2020 is for GDP growth to come in at around 0.5 per cent.

"As the COVID-19 situation is still evolving, there is a significant degree of uncertainty over the length and severity of the outbreak, and hence its overall impact," Mr Lim told a media briefing on Monday.

He also noted that the economy shrank by 0.3 per cent in the second quarter of 2003, amid the severe acute respiratory syndrome (Sars) outbreak. Growth bounced back to record a 5.3 per cent expansion in the third quarter, ending full-year 2003 with a positive 4.5 per cent growth, he said.

Mr Edward Robinson, deputy managing director of the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS), said the central bank was prepared to recalibrate its monetary policy should the outlook of the economy change significantly as a result of the outbreak.

But he reiterated MAS comments on Feb 5 that there is sufficient room within the current policy band to accommodate an easing of the Singapore dollar nominal effective exchange rate (S$NEER) in line with the weakening of economic conditions.



Last Friday, Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong said the impact of the coronavirus outbreak on the economy has exceeded that of Sars, and that a recession was possible.

The MTI said its earlier forecasts made in November for growth in 2020 was premised on a modest pickup in global growth, along with a recovery in the global electronics cycle.

"Since then, the outbreak of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has affected China, Singapore and many countries around the world," it said.

"The outlook for the Singapore economy has weakened since the last review in November. In particular, the COVID-19 outbreak is expected to affect the Singapore economy through several channels," said the MTI in a press release.

The ministry said that the economy grew by 0.7 per cent in 2019, the same as its advance estimate and the slowest growth since 2009 when growth stood at just 0.1 per cent.

Growth for the fourth quarter of last year came in at 1.0 per cent year on year, higher than the initial estimate of 0.8 per cent growth and faster than the 0.7 per cent expansion in the third quarter.

On a quarter-on-quarter seasonally adjusted annualised basis, the economy expanded at a slower pace of 0.6 per cent compared to the 2.2 per cent growth in the preceding quarter, it said.

The ministry noted that the virus outbreak is likely to dampen the growth prospects of China and other countries this year.



Economic growth in China in 2020 is expected to come in lower than earlier projected due to a pullback in household consumption as a result of the lockdowns and travel restrictions implemented in several major Chinese cities to contain the spread of the virus, it added.

"Industrial production has also been disrupted because of work stoppages and delays arising from these containment measures," the MTI said.

"These developments in China will, in turn, have a knock-on impact on regional economies, including the Asean economies, through lower outbound tourism and other import demand from China, as well as disruptions to supply chains."

There also could be sharper pullback in global consumption if the outbreak is more severe and protracted than expected.

Domestically, the virus outbreak may hurt the Singapore economy through several channels.

The outward-oriented sectors such as manufacturing and wholesale trade will be affected by the weaker growth outlook in several of Singapore’s key final demand markets, including China.

Companies in these sectors could also be affected by supply chain disruptions arising from prolonged factory closures and labour shortages in China.

The manufacturing sector has already suffered last year, shrinking by 1.4 per cent year on year.

The ministry added that the outbreak has also led to a sharp fall in tourist arrivals, particularly those from China, which has badly affected the tourism sector such as hotels, travel agents and cruise operators, and the aviation industry.

Also, domestic consumption may get a hit as Singaporeans cut back on shopping and dining-out activities - affecting firms in segments such as retail and food services.

However, the MTI said that there are pockets of relative strength in the economy, such as the construction sector, which is projected to post steady growth, given the rebound in construction demand since 2018.

The information and communications sector is also expected to be resilient on account of sustained enterprise demand for IT solutions, the MTI said.



But besides the virus outbreak, other uncertainties such as the trade war between the United States and China remain.

"Notwithstanding the phase one trade deal, US-China trade relations remain uncertain, especially as they turn to more contentious issues in the next phase of their negotiations," the MTI said.

Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East could also affect financial and commodity markets, which will have negative spillover effects on the region and Singapore, it added.

The growth outlook for the US and euro zone economies in 2020 remains broadly unchanged.

The MTI said: "As the COVID-19 (coronavirus) situation is still evolving, MTI will continue to monitor developments and their impact on the Singapore economy closely."




















Coronavirus: Singapore hotel occupancy tumbles to under 50%
At Sentosa, rates have dipped below 30%; situation expected to worsen across Republic
By Joyce Lim, Senior Correspondent, The Straits Times, 17 Feb 2020

Singapore's hotel occupancy rate is in free fall, plummeting from nearly 100 per cent just before Chinese New Year to below the 50 per cent mark in the week of Feb 9.

It is expected to drop even further, said analysts and hotel operators. The impact of the coronavirus outbreak was most felt by hotels in Sentosa, which have seen rates dip below 30 per cent.

The decline began on Jan 25, two days after the Ministry of Health (MOH) revealed that Singapore's first coronavirus case, a 66-year-old tourist from Wuhan who was travelling with nine companions, had stayed at Shangri-La Rasa Sentosa hotel. Another Wuhan tourist confirmed to have the virus had stayed at Village Hotel Sentosa.

As at Feb 9, occupancy rates in Sentosa had fallen to 27 per cent, according to data from global data and benchmarking firm STR. Last year, the average hotel occupancy in Singapore was 85.2 per cent, according to STR data.


STR's Asia-Pacific area director Jesper Palmqvist noted that Orchard Road hotels have also been hard hit.

"For the Orchard sub-market, we saw occupancy levels fall a few days later down to 47 per cent on Feb 9, which is not surprising since Singapore had by then raised the Dorscon level to orange," he said.

On Feb 7, MOH moved the Disease Outbreak Response System Condition (Dorscon) level to orange amid indications that the virus was spreading in the community.

"Since the orange warning, we are seeing another downward trend, and on Feb 9, Singapore reported 49 per cent occupancy. Last week, it was fluctuating between 45 and 50 per cent," said Mr Palmqvist.

The Singapore Tourism Board estimated that daily tourist arrivals are down by about 20,000.

Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong said last week that a recession is possible, noting that the impact of the coronavirus outbreak on the economy has exceeded that of the severe acute respiratory syndrome (Sars) outbreak in 2003.



OCBC Bank chief economist Selena Ling said that with the Chinese accounting for a fifth of all visitors to Singapore, how quickly Singapore recovers will depend on how long the outbreak in China lasts, when travel restrictions will be lifted and flights will resume, said Ms Ling.

Mr Arthur Kiong, chief executive of Far East Hospitality which operates more than 10 hotels in Singapore, expects business to be affected further, but said the full scale of the impact is yet to be known at this point.

Said Mr Kiong: "With China making up about 20 per cent of our market, this portion of our business has been wiped out from the onset as a result of the travel restrictions. With the situation still evolving, (visitors from) the other markets are also expected to drop due to lower travel confidence at the moment."

After the virus outbreak, hotel operators have implemented precautionary measures such as temperature screenings, providing masks for those who are unwell and increasing the cleaning and sanitising frequency of guest rooms. Many hotels have also allowed cancellations and given full refunds to visitors.



Hotels are also making contingency allowance for its Mice (meetings, incentives, conferences and exhibitions) customers. This includes Grand Hyatt Singapore, which was thrown into the spotlight after at least five coronavirus cases in three countries were linked to a business event held there last month.

Mr Gerald Kheng, the hotel's marketing communications manager, said: "We are also working closely with event organisers to explore all possible alternatives including postponement of event or reduction of group size, and look at the requests on a case-by-case basis."

Mrs Anuttra Kiangsiri from Thailand, who was planning a trip to Singapore with her husband this week, said she has been following news of the rising number of coronavirus cases in Singapore and felt the risk was too high to take to travel here.

"We were looking forward to our trip so much, but felt it was best to cancel due to the current coronavirus situation and the uncertainty surrounding it on a daily basis," said the 46-year-old housewife.















Coronavirus more like H1N1 than Sars: Lawrence Wong
This seems to be the case based on what is known about it so far, says minister
By Salma Khalik, Senior Health Correspondent, The Straits Times, 17 Feb 2020

Code orange was declared only once in Singapore, prior to the present coronavirus outbreak.

That was in 2009, when the world was hit by the H1N1, or swine flu, pandemic. The virus was first detected in humans in the United States in April 2009, though it is now said to have originated in Mexico.

Singapore had its first imported case in May that year and the first local transmission was detected the following month. Within a month of that, 100 people were infected with the H1N1 virus.

In less than a year, about 430,000 people in Singapore were estimated to have had been infected with H1N1, and 21 people died from the disease.

There are no accurate global figures, but millions were infected and estimates of deaths caused by H1N1 range from 150,000 to 575,000 in the first year.

Faced with a global pandemic, Singapore moved the alert level from yellow to orange in a matter of three to four days. But as more information emerged, it was stepped down to yellow in 12 days - even before the first case appeared here.

Singapore set up the Disease Outbreak Response System Condition, the colour-coded Dorscon, after the severe acute respiratory syndrome or Sars outbreak in 2003.

Had it existed then, Sars would also have been at code orange, said Mr Lawrence Wong, who co-chairs the multi-ministry task force dealing with the current coronavirus outbreak.

On Friday, he said COVID-19 is more like the H1N1 flu in 2009 than Sars in 2003.

During Sars, people got very sick very quickly. Out of 238 people infected by Sars in Singapore in under four months, 33 died.

But COVID-19 appears to be infectious when the symptoms are mild, like H1N1, said Mr Wong, who is National Development Minister.

For H1N1, the country was on heightened alert at a very early stage, before the virus was even here.

For COVID-19, the move to yellow came only when local transmission occurred - and close to a fortnight after the first imported case was diagnosed.

The move to orange came after there were cases with unknown local sources of infection. Code orange has been in force now for 11 days, and looks set to continue for some time.

The Ministry of Health (MOH) has said that it has no plans to move the alert level to red, the next step up, which signals widespread community contagion.

But before the Dorscon was activated, measures were in place to prevent the import and spread of the virus. As Mr Wong has pointed out several times, the colour codes are fixed but the implementation of measures can be flexible.

The reason for moving back to yellow so quickly in the case of the H1N1 outbreak was that by then, information on the virus indicated a very low rate of mortality. With that known, it was no longer necessary to maintain high vigilance.

At the height of the H1N1 outbreak, doctors here were seeing more than 2,000 cases of H1N1 flu a day. Yet deaths were limited to 21 in the first nine months.

The virus is still circulating today. The fatality rate for H1N1, at possibly less than 0.02 per cent, is close to that of seasonal influenza, of which it is now a part.



COVID-19, however, appears to be more deadly, with a fatality rate of 2.6 per cent in Hubei in China, and 0.6 per cent elsewhere. But these figures are subject to changes daily.

So while people infected with either virus may spread the disease even when their symptoms are mild, the fatality rate may be far higher in the case of COVID-19. This is why Singapore is still in code orange.

Mr Wong said COVID-19 is milder than Sars, which had a 10 per cent mortality: "It is not a mild illness at all, but certainly not of the severity of Sars."

He added: "To give this some perspective, if you look at H1N1 and the flu pandemic in 2009, 10 per cent to 20 per cent of the global population contracted the illness."

The same may not happen with COVID-19, he said. "But because the transmission patterns are similar to H1N1, we should be prepared for a scenario where you get wider transmission around the world," he said.



Should the majority of cases, say 80 per cent, be mild, then Singapore's strategy will move away from contact tracing and quarantine, he said. Instead, the milder cases will be dealt with by primary care doctors and only the very sick will be hospitalised.

But Mr Wong cautioned: "It's the strategy we used to deal with H1N1. Again we are not saying we are there yet."















5 turning points in Singapore’s fight against the coronavirus
It has been seven weeks since the world learnt of a new coronavirus that emerged in the Chinese city of Wuhan. It has killed more than 1,500 people so far in China. In that time, the Singapore Government has rolled out a steady stream of measures to curb its spread here.
By Sumiko Tan, Executive Editor, The Sunday Times, 16 Feb 2020

At the Criminal Investigation Department's Command Centre in Outram last Thursday afternoon, 20 police officers were hunched in front of their computers, trying to make sense of how the coronavirus is spreading in Singapore.

Working with the Ministry of Health (MOH) - which is in charge of contact tracing - as well as detectives on the ground, they are helping to piece together the movements of those infected.

People who had been in close contact with a patient will be traced. If they are well, they will be put under quarantine for 14 days. If they show symptoms, they will be treated as a suspected case, hospitalised and looked after.

The officers are part of the government machinery that has kicked in to manage the outbreak.

Their mission: treat patients, contain the spread, allay the fears of Singaporeans and help businesses that have been hit.



Outside the public sector, thousands have also been mobilised to the front lines.

They include private general practitioners who are often the first medical contact a patient has, security firms helping to serve quarantine orders, cleaners who disinfect places that patients had been to, and even religious leaders who have control over mass gatherings.

REALITY STRIKES

The coronavirus emerged in Wuhan late last year. On Dec 31, the Chinese health authorities reported it to the World Health Organisation (WHO), which then told the world.

WHO has since named the virus Sars-CoV-2. The disease it brings - characterised by fever and cough and in severe cases, pneumonia that can be fatal - is now called COVID-19.

As of Friday, China has more than 66,400 reported cases with 1,523 reported deaths, mostly in the province of Hubei where Wuhan is.

Globally, there are more than 67,000 reported cases and, outside of China, four reported deaths. As of yesterday, Singapore has 72 confirmed cases.

It has been three weeks of heightened caution and nervousness for the Republic since the first case here was discovered on Jan 23, the Thursday before the long Chinese New Year weekend.

In that time, Singaporeans have gone from being concerned to alarmed, to now accepting, with a growing sense of realisation that the virus will be around for some months yet.

There were irrational moments, like last Saturday when shoppers were seized by fear that Singapore would run out of toilet paper and other essentials, and emptied supermarket shelves.

Officers from Reach, the Government's feedback gathering unit, have been talking to Singaporeans about the virus from around the Chinese New Year period.

The team of about 25 officers do face-to-face interviews in places ranging from the heartland to universities. They also conduct online polls and gather people to chat via WhatsApp.

Officers say there is very high interest in the virus, with people eager to find out more.

Mr Marcius Sim, 27, an assistant manager at Reach, said: "People aren't always willing to talk to us, but now with the virus, they are happy to give feedback."

There are three concerns the Reach officers keep hearing: fear of contracting the virus, worry that more people will get it, and its impact on the economy and businesses.

Ms Hillary Lau, 28, also an assistant manager at Reach, said a common sentiment she hears in the 200 or so face-to-face interviews she has done, is this: "I just want this to be over soon."


KEY MOMENTS

There have been five key dates in Singapore's fight against the virus so far:

• Jan 23 when the first case - a 66-year-old man from Wuhan - was detected here.

• Jan 28 when a travel ban was imposed on visitors with recent travel history to Hubei, or those with Chinese passports issued there.

• Feb 1 when travel restrictions were expanded to include those with recent travel history to China, or those who have Chinese passports.

• Feb 4 when the first locally transmitted cases were announced.

• Feb 7 when the Government raised its risk assessment of the outbreak from yellow to orange.

The first case here emerged a day after the setting up of themulti-ministerial task force to contain the virus.

Helmed by Health Minister Gan Kim Yong and National Development Minister Lawrence Wong, the group is advised by Deputy Prime Minister Heng Swee Keat, who is also Finance Minister.

The task force has held several press conferences together with medical experts from MOH. Starting last week, these briefings became more frequent.

Up until the Chinese New Year weekend from Jan 25, Singaporeans were concerned about the virus but not overly so.

The early cases were confined to tourists from China whose movements were largely around touristy areas.

On Jan 27, however, it was reported that one of the visitors from Wuhan had stayed with her family in the residential Ceylon Road.

The next day came news that a male patient from Wuhan had stayed in a condominium in Pasir Ris. The virus, it appeared, had moved to the heartland.

In the days that followed, stories of suspected cases at malls with GP clinics started being shared.

At pharmacies, thedemand for face masksbegan to escalate. As people shared images of queues, it had a knock-on effect and more started queuing, despite reassurances by the Government that it had released five million masks to retailers.

At online mall Qoo10, a listing advertised 30 "anti-coronavirus" masks for sale at $10,000. It was removed on Jan 29.

The Government knew something had to be done to stem the feverish demand for masks.

On Jan 30, it announced that all 1.37 million households will be given four surgical masks each from Feb 1. It also drummed into Singaporeans the message that only those who were sick should wear a mask.

The Singapore Armed Forces was activated to pack the masksand logistics were put in place to distribute them at residents' committee centres and community centres.

The move calmed the panic. When the actual distribution of masks started on Feb 1, there were no queues.

FIGHTING XENOPHOBIA

By the weekend of Feb 1, it was also becoming clear that fear of the virus was turning into discrimination against Chinese nationals.

Stories started emerging of how Singaporean landlords were telling their Chinese tenants returning from the new year to stay away.

The Government nipped this in the bud.

On Feb 3, the Manpower, Education and National Development ministries said landlords found to have irresponsibly evicted their residents may face restrictions and even be barred from renting out their flats to foreign work pass holders in future.

On the business front, it was also clear that the travel restrictions to stem the spread of the virus were hurting businesses, especially those in the tourism industry.

On Feb 1, DPM Heng said the Government would provide targeted supportto sectors directly affected by the virus.

The next day, Minister for Trade and Industry Chan Chun Sing said the Singapore Tourism Board will be implementing targeted measures such as waiving the licence fees for hotels.

As these measures were being rolled out, the Government was also preparing the ground for the possibility of local community spread.

On Feb 3, Mr Gan spoke of this. The next day, it was announced that Singapore had seen its first local transmission of the virus.

Four people connected to theYong Thai Hang health products shop in Cavan Road were infected without having travelled to China. Their infection, though, could be traced to a Chinese tour group that had visited the shop. The authorities termed this a "local limited transmission".

Following this case, the task force decided that schools would implement staggered recess times and stop certain activities.

On the ground, people started becoming more fearful of picking up the virus. Cleaning products were snapped up at shops.

CODE ORANGE

On Feb 7, rumours went around that the Government would be raising its risk assessment from yellow to orange. True enough, this was announced at a press conference in the afternoon.

Under the orange alert, temperature taking is instituted at buildings. The Ministry of Education also suspended all inter-school and external activities till the end of the March school holidays.

The alert, however, led to a round of frenzied shopping at supermarkets from Feb 7 through to the next day. Some calm was restored on the evening of Feb 8 when Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong addressed the nation in a video telecast.

He spoke of how Singapore was much better prepared to deal with the new virus because of its experience in tackling the severe acute respiratory syndrome (Sars) outbreak 17 years ago. Fear and panic, he said, would do more harm than the virus.

The team from Reach said its surveys showed that 80 per cent of those who heard PM Lee's message felt more reassured by it.

In the last few days, another large cluster has emerged around theGrace Assembly of God church. Across the island today, mass and some serviceshave been cancelled as a precautionary e measure.

It is clear the current orange alert may be around for some months yet.



On Friday, PM Lee noted that what Singapore is seeing is a "very intense outbreak"and the impact of the coronavirus was much more than Sars. It took five months to eradicate Sars.

"That was, I think, very fast. I expect it not to be so fast this time," he said of the new threat.

Like the rest of the world, Singapore will have to learn to deal with the coronavirus till it, hopefully, goes away.














Fighting the coronavirus, with openness and information
Fostering confidence and trust in public institutions over the years has helped enable Singapore to respond sensibly to the present outbreak
By Warren Fernandez, Editor-in-Chief, The Sunday Times, 16 Feb 2020

It was just before noon, but The Straits Times newsroom was deserted.

The multimedia hub - the operational nerve centre of the revamped ST newsroom - usually abuzz with activity, had fallen silent. Only a handful of my colleagues were about, staring intently at their screens.

Like in many organisations across the island, most of our staff had been told to stay at home, after we made a decision to move into a virtual, distributed mode of operations.

The purpose: To ensure that ST would be able to continue to serve our readers, with the latest news and analysis, across all our platforms, come what may, as the coronavirus outbreakunfolds.

If you have not noticed any difference to your paper or our website, that is thanks to the efforts of the ST team, working doubly hard to stay connected despite the disrupted operations, through a flurry of phone calls and Google Hangout sessions. Reporters continue to do their jobs, with precautions, filing remotely from the field.

In times like these, with so much fake news swirling about, people look to trusted sources of information to help them make sense of developments and how to respond. Indeed, ST's page and video views have seen a surge these past weeks.

Information - timely, reliable and trusted - might be the best antidote to an outbreak, both of viruses and viral rumours, and the panic and anxiety these can engender.

In the absence of this, the vacuum is inevitably filled by falsehoods and misinformation, spread deliberately or otherwise.

To try to counter these, Health Minister Gan Kim Yong and National Development Minister Lawrence Wong, who co-chair the COVID-19 response task force, have been tireless in addressing queries from the media, openly and transparently, with briefings held almost daily in recent weeks.

Their explanations have been detailed and nuanced, rather than trying to oversimplify the complexities of the situation.

Take, for example, the burning question of whether to wear a mask or not.



Now, the idea that donning a mask might help keep the bug at bay seems intuitive. After all, some barrier should be better than none.

Yet, the authorities here have taken the harder line to explain - that while a mask might be useful in some circumstances, such as when you are sick, wearing one when you are not does not provide all that much of a defence, since the virus is more likely to be picked up when you touch your face with your hands, which might have come into contact with droplets of the virus left on surfaces around you.

The stocks of masks, which can't possibly be infinite, might then be better used by those who need them most - healthcare workers and those who are ill.

To my mind, while this might be harder to communicate, it makes for greater credibility in our public health officials' statements. Similar positions have been taken by top medical officials in the United States, Australia and elsewhere.

Then, there is Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong, who drew attention from the foreign media for the frank and direct way in which he addressed Singaporeans on the outbreak recently.



A report by the Bloomberg news agency, titled "As Asia panics, one country wins praise for approach to virus", said: "The speech, posted on social media in three languages, appeared to have an immediate impact: The long queues at supermarkets throughout the city-state on Friday night returned to normal levels as of Sunday.

"That alone proved notable in a region where governments have struggled to get the message right, spurring panic buying and confusion over how to protect themselves from the outbreak."

In his video message, PM Lee went on to alert Singaporeans to the possibility that the present approach of trying to contain the virus might need to be changed at some point if it was found to be spreading widely in the community, without traceable sources.

An alternative stance of mitigation might then be more appropriate, with mild cases sent home to recuperate, allowing hospitals to focus on those who were most at risk. But this depended on the mortality rate of the virus remaining relatively low, closer to the seasonal flu rather than the higher rates seen during the Sars outbreak, he made plain.

This tell-it-like-it-is-to-the-grown-ups approach prompted Professor Thomas Abraham, author of Twenty First Century Plague, The Story Of Sars, and a risk communication consultant for the World Health Organisation, to note in the Bloomberg report: "Prime Minister Lee does not hide any facts. Nor does he hesitate to talk about how the situation might worsen."

Now, set this against the recent study by Harvard University, which modelled how the outbreak might be expected to play out, given the region's strong business and travel links to China.

Alarmed by what they saw, they warned that there might be further waves of the current outbreak as countries such as Indonesia, Cambodia and Thailand had reported lower number of cases than might be expected.

"Indonesia has reported zero cases and you would expect to have seen several already," said Professor Marc Lipsitch of Harvard's T.H. Chan School of Public Health, who co-authored the study, which Indonesian officials dismissed as "insulting".

Similarly, in Japan, experts are warning of a "stealth outbreak" with patients having been infected by some whom they are unable to trace, as all efforts to do so run into a dead end for a lack of information on possible sources, including perhaps those from abroad.

Then, there is China, which has drawn much flak for its initial efforts to downplay the severity of the outbreak.

For weeks, experts said they feared that the numbers of infections and deaths being reported were a gross underestimate - perhaps by as much as tenfold - with reports emerging of sick patients being sent home because of a lack of facilities to test them, potentially spreading the disease to their families and those around then.

Then, out of the blue, came news on Thursday that some Chinese provinces had decided to revise their numbers. One, near Russia, is reported to have cut its numbers by reclassifying patients who had tested positive for the coronavirus but did not have symptoms, taking them out of the total count of confirmed cases.

"The documents offered little detail or explanation, and scepticism was immediate. A Hong Kong newspaper called the decision a 'disguise'," reported The New York Times.

Meanwhile, in Hubei, the epicentre of the current outbreak, officials went the other way. They announced that nearly 15,000 new cases and 242 new deaths were recorded in a single day. This was largely because the authorities decided to accept doctors'"clinical confirmation" of cases suspected to have the virus, without the need for a lab test, since these were in short supply.

While many experts from around the world welcomed the move since it enabled patients who needed medical care to receive it, doubts were inevitably raised about the numbers and the motives behind these sudden revisions.

"It's pretty clear that there is an issue with trust about whatever the Chinese government comes out with at the moment," Professor Kerry Brown, director of the Lau China Institute at King's College, London, was quoted as saying.

"That may be terribly unfair," he said, adding: "To redefine things - even legitimately - at a moment like this is always going to be a presentational challenge, because people are going to be very sensitive, and they're going to suspect there's another agenda."

For its part, Singapore's Health Ministry has said it sees no reason to change its protocols and will continue to classify people as having coronavirus only after a lab test, given that its capacity to carry out such tests remains robust.

The upshot of this is clear: trust is critical, especially in a crisis, which could be exacerbated if the public loses confidence in those charged with managing it.

But trust cannot be whipped up on demand, nor can it be mandated or handed down. As in a bank account, trust has to be earned, painstakingly chalked up over the years, to be available to be drawn on when the chips are down.

And let's be clear: The main beneficiaries of such high-trust societies or systems are not just the political players or public officials, but also the community itself, as it enables everyone to take practical steps on the basis of what is most sensible and sound.

Those who seek to undermine that trust, for whatever reasons, and beat the "drums" - as Defence Minister Ng Eng Hen put it, spreading distortions, rumours, untruths, misinformation and smears - are the ones that society most needs inoculation against, in good times and in bad.

Thankfully, by most accounts, Singapore has managed to foster trust in its key institutions - the political leadership, public services and also the media - in large part because of the open and transparent way it has dealt with such crises in the past.

This was on display, for example, during the Sars outbreak in 2003, when many of us journalists would recall how then Health Minister Lim Hng Kiang would sit patiently answering each and every question reporters threw at him late into the evening, until everyone in the room ran out of steam.

"There was nothing to hide, so it's best to be open," he said with a laugh, when I asked him about his approach some time afterwards.

Wittingly or otherwise, Mr Lim and his successors have been drawing on an old playbook that was first framed by Singapore's founding Prime Minister Lee Kuan Yew.

Indeed, some years ago, when my colleagues Han Fook Kwang, Sumiko Tan and I were working on the book, Lee Kuan Yew: The Man And His Ideas, we chanced upon a speech in which Mr Lee spoke on how best to deal with a major outbreak of disease in Singapore.

He was addressing community leaders on the 1967 swine flu. Wild rumours had spread that men who ate meat from pigs that had been inoculated against the disease might lose their manhood, quite literally, causing a panic. (Fake news, even then.)

Mr Lee declared: "In other parts of the world, when their pigs suffer from swine flu, they hush it up. They pretend they do not have it. Net result: All pigs get infected, the position becomes permanently chronic.

"We can do likewise, but we will become a permanently chronic society: sick. So when we get swine fever, we announce it, alert everyone so that we can arrest the spread of the disease and bring back normalcy."

Ever one to rally his people, he added that Singapore had to keep pressing forward, come what may.

"This is what is required of this community... we must have an awareness of the realities of life. A good striving, hardy people cannot be kept down."










Related
Ministry of Health - Updates on COVID-19 (Coronavirus Disease 2019) Local Situation

Gov.sg: 2019 - COVID-19 (Coronavirus Disease 2019) situation in Singapore

2019 Novel Coronavirus: Ministerial Statement on Whole-of-Government Response

Wuhan virus: Singapore confirms first case of novel coronavirus infection on 23 January 2020

Wuhan virus: Singapore has to stay vigilant, but has every reason to be confident, says PM Lee Hsien Loong

Wuhan virus: Each Singapore household to get 4 free masks for contingencies; collection starts on 1 Feb till 9 Feb 2020

2019-nCoV: Singapore reports first cases of local coronavirus transmission on 4 February 2020

2019-nCoV: Singapore employers will receive $100 a day for each worker serving the 14-day Leave of Absence (LOA)

DORSCON Orange: Singapore raises coronavirus outbreak alert on 7 February 2020; Singaporeans clear supermarket shelves in panic buying of essentials

Fear and panic can do more harm than coronavirus: PM Lee Hsien Loong

Singapore to work closely with China to battle novel coronavirus threat: Deputy Prime Minister Heng Swee Keat

COVID-19: Show support for healthcare workers on front lines, says Health Minister Gan Kim Yong

$77 million support package for taxi and private hire drivers affected by the Coronavirus Disease 19 (COVID-19) outbreak

Total Defence Day 2020: Government to ensure minimal retrenchments as Singapore deals with COVID-19, says Defence Minister Ng Eng Hen

PM Lee Hsien Loong doesn’t rule out recession as coronavirus outbreak hits Singapore’s economy hard

COVID-19: Clinics roped in to help detect and manage coronavirus cases from 18 February 2020

Ministry of Home Affairs investigating Singapore religious teacher for xenophobic, racist posts about the coronavirus

Life and Death in a Wuhan Coronavirus ICU

Digital space a new battleground in war against Wuhan virus

Inter-agency task force formed to tackle the problem of family violence

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Inter-agency task force aims to address problem, give better support to victims
By Cara Wong, The Straits Times, 18 Feb 2020

A new inter-agency task force has been set up to address the problem of violence within families and give better support to victims.

Co-chaired by Senior Parliamentary Secretary for Home Affairs Sun Xueling and Senior Parliamentary Secretary for Social and Family Development Muhammad Faishal Ibrahim, the task force aims to increase public awareness of the issue, and come up with initiatives like a dedicated national hotline for victims of family violence.

This comes against the backdrop of increasingly violent family abuse cases, with victims reporting more acts of violence in their applications for personal protection orders.

Last year, for example, victims reported 4,224 types of violence in the 2,452 applications for personal protection orders filed against their family members.

Each applicant can indicate up to four different types of violence committed against them in their application, including wrongful confinement, continual harassment, placing a person in fear of hurt, or knowingly causing hurt.



The figure last year was a 21 per cent jump from the 3,497 types of violence reported in 2016, despite the higher number of personal protection orders filed four years ago. There were 2,811 applications for personal protection orders filed in 2016.

"It is clear that we will need to do more together - be it lowering barriers to seeking help or furthering coordination, both within Government and with our community partners," Ms Sun said yesterday while speaking at an event at PAVE, which specialises in family violence.

The task force will work on allowing family violence victims access to a scheme called the Home Team Community Assistance and Referral Scheme (CARES).

Under Home Team CARES, social workers stationed at police divisions assess what type of intervention is required for the offender, and refer them to suitable agencies for help in different areas, such as financial assistance or counselling sessions.

It was piloted in January last year at the Bedok Police Division and the police are looking to extend the scheme to all divisions.

Ms Sun said that there was potential for family violence victims to benefit from having similar access to social assistance.

"This means that in the future, when the police investigate a family violence case, Home Team CARES officers will also support the victims in such cases, and triage and refer them to appropriate agencies for help," she said, adding that officials hope to roll this out by the end of the year.

The task force is also looking into conducting more research and public education on family violence.



Additionally, it is exploring the possibility of a one-stop dedicated national hotline against abuse and violence for victims, members of the public and anyone else seeking help in the area.

There are currently several hotlines for family abuse victims to call for help, but these are fronted by various organisations that tackle family violence, such as PAVE.

Mr Faishal said that the idea for a dedicated hotline was raised in Parliament, and that the ministry had received suggestions for one from the ground too.

Officials have studied how such hotlines are used in various countries, he added.

"The task force will look at it and see how we can make it effective, and how we can help people feel at ease that there is this hotline," said Mr Faishal.

Ms Sun noted that this one-stop hotline would make it easier for abuse victims to seek and receive help.

"Our goal is to work towards a Singapore where everyone has a safe and loving home to go home to. Together, we can break the silence, and stop the violence," she said.















Book teaches children about family violence
By Terese Teoh, The Straits Times, 18 Feb 2020

In a first here, a picture book aimed at encouraging children to speak up about family violence was launched yesterday.

Titled A Day With Bob, it tells the tale of a young boy named Bob who regularly witnesses his father beating up his mother.

Among the dilemmas Bob faces are whether to tell someone else about this family matter, and whether his family will break up if he reports his father's abuse.

Replete with colourful stickers and lift-the-flap pages, the picture book is designed in an interactive manner for children.

Through Bob's story, readers learn of the consequences of doing nothing, and how to seek help.

Around 25,000 copies of the book, which was launched by family violence specialist centre PAVE and the Singapore Police Force, will be distributed to primary schools in the north.

PAVE and the police are working with the Ministry of Education to distribute the book to all primary school pupils in Singapore.

A police spokesman said young children are particularly vulnerable as they may not be able to recognise abusive behaviour as forms of family violence.

"The book helps young children understand that family violence is not a private matter, and to identify telltale signs of family violence.

"It also educates them on the avenues for help, and encourages them to seek help early if they become a victim," the spokesman said.



Dr Sudha Nair, PAVE's founder, said the impact of violence on children is well documented.

If children are not taught ways to seek help, these issues will go on unresolved, she added.

Research has shown that family violence continues through the generations.



Said Senior Parliamentary Secretary for Home Affairs Sun Xueling in a speech at the launch: "There is a vicious inter-generational cycle of family violence: Children who witness their fathers hitting their mothers are 10 times more likely to abuse their future spouses."

Ms Sun also spoke of current government efforts to tackle family violence. These include providing victims legal recourse and social support services, raising public awareness and fostering greater collaboration and coordination among government agencies and community partners to help the victims.

"Each case is one too many. No one should fear going home," she said.









COVID-19: Singapore's new Stay-Home Notice, all returning from China not allowed to leave home for 14 days

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Stricter 14-day stay-home notice for those returning from China will take effect from 18 February 2020, 23:59 hours
By Timothy Goh, The Straits Times, 18 Feb 2020

A mandatory stay-home notice will be introduced for Singapore residents and long-term pass holders returning from China: They have to remain at home at all times for 14 days.

The notice is stricter than the current leave of absence (LOA) requirements, which allow those under LOA to leave their homes briefly, for example, to get meals or to buy household supplies.

The "stay-home notice" scheme will take effect at 11.59pm, 18 February, and will apply to all returnees with recent travel history to China, outside of Hubei province, within the last 14 days.

LOAs for those with recent travel history to China, outside of Hubei province, will no longer be issued.

But those currently on LOAs will continue to serve them out.

In announcing the scheme, Minster for National Development Lawrence Wong, who co-chairs the multi-ministry task force on the coronavirus with Health Minister Gan Kim Yong, said that while the LOA regime has been useful, the Government is constantly reassessing the situation.

"When we started the LOA in January, there were 4,000 cases outside of Hubei province in China. Now, it has tripled to 12,000," he said, noting that a substantial number of Singapore residents and long-term pass holders remain in China and can be expected to return in the coming weeks.



He added: "We think this is appropriate at this juncture. It will ensure that we reduce the number of imported cases coming back from China, and then we can focus our energies on limiting or reducing the risk of local transmission of the virus within Singapore."

Mr Wong also stressed that the authorities will enforce the requirements strictly.

Yesterday, two more cases were confirmed here, bringing the total to 77. Five more were discharged.












 





 





No more LOAs: those on stay-home notice cannot leave at all, MOH to do spot checks
Random calls, spot checks for those on new stay-home notice
Those who flout rules face fine, jail time or could have their long-term passes revoked
By Yuen Sin, The Straits Times, 18 Feb 2020

Enforcement officers will make random calls and do spot checks, among other things, to ensure that those on the new, stricter stay-home notice comply with the requirements.

Foreigners who flout the rules during the mandatory 14-day stay at home on returning from China will face penalties such as having their long-term passes revoked.

Singaporeans, on the other hand, would be prosecuted under the Infectious Diseases Act. First-time offenders can be fined up to $10,000, jailed for up to six months, or both.

The new measure was announced by National Development Minister Lawrence Wong yesterday, as Singapore reported two new cases, bringing the total infected to 77.



Mr Wong, who co-chairs the multi-ministry coronavirus task force, said the stay-home notice was prompted by the surge in the number of coronavirus cases in Chinese provinces outside of Hubei province, whose capital Wuhan is the epicentre of the virus outbreak.

The move, he added, "will ensure we reduce the number of imported cases coming back from China, and then we can focus our energies on reducing the risk of local transmission of the virus within Singapore".

China now has 12,000 cases outside Hubei province, a rise from 4,000 at the end of last month, he noted.

The stay-home notice, which takes effect at 11:59pm, 18 February, will apply to Singaporeans, permanent residents and long-term pass holders.

As for the existing 14-day leave of absence, it will no longer be issued to those with recent travel history to China, outside of Hubei.

Unlike the new notice, it is less stringent, letting those serving it to leave their homes briefly, say, to buy meals or household supplies.

But under the stay-home notice, people cannot leave their homes.

Support, however, will be available for those who need help to get daily necessities, said the Ministry of Health.



Singaporeans, permanent residents and long-term visit pass holders can turn to the People's Association for help, while students can approach their schools or institutions, or the Education Ministry.

Work-pass holders can seek help from their employers or the Manpower Ministry.

The Government will also give employers $100 for each day a worker is serving the notice. The self-employed are eligible for it too. But the allowance is not for those who can telecommute.



Mr Wong said those on the stay-home notice will be free to decide what they want to do at home, but they are discouraged from having visitors.

Their family members are urged to take precautions, such as practising good hygiene practices and social distancing.

On the other hand, those under home quarantine are required to isolate themselves and cannot interact physically with others living under the same roof.

As of yesterday, there were about 1,200 people under quarantine, with 600 at home and the rest in government quarantine facilities. The capacity of these facilities has doubled to 2,000, from a week ago.

Additional reporting by Rei Kurohi










About 400 applications for work pass holders' re-entry into Singapore rejected daily by Ministry of Manpower
By Choo Yun Ting, The Sunday Times, 16 Feb 2020

The Ministry of Manpower (MOM) has rejected about 400 applications a day for work pass holders with travel history to mainland China to return to Singapore since new measures to help contain the coronavirus outbreak kicked in.

These figures for the first week since the measures took effect on Feb 9 were provided by Manpower Minister Josephine Teo in a Facebook post on Friday. About 200 applications were approved daily during this period, she added.



The ministry said last Saturday all work pass holders with travel history to mainland China within the last 14 days and who plan to enter Singapore must get the approval of MOM before starting their journey.

"The two key reasons for rejecting the applications are the need to stagger workers' return to Singapore, and employers not being able to arrange for accommodation for returning workers to comply with leave of absence (LOA)," Mrs Teo posted.



Priority is given to applicants in essential operations such as healthcare, transport and waste management, she added. "Many employers are already helping by postponing their employees' return."

The ministry is helping employers and workers by linking them up with hotel or dormitory operators where the LOA can be served.

MOM encourages employers to treat the LOA as paid leave, Mrs Teo added. She said more help to tide employers and workers over the coronavirus situation will be announced by Deputy Prime Minister Heng Swee Keat in his Budget speech this Tuesday.

Last Thursday, MOM said it had revoked the work passes of two workers and suspended their employers' work pass privileges for breaching entry approval requirements after they recently travelled to China. The employers were ordered to repatriate the workers within 24 hours and the two workers have been permanently banned from working here.









Coronavirus: More options to punish those who breach anti-virus orders
By Tham Yuen-C, Senior Political Correspondent, The Straits Times, 18 Feb 2020

The law on infectious diseases was updated last week to give the authorities a wider range of options to punish those who breach orders aimed at controlling the spread of the coronavirus.

Various offences under the Infectious Diseases Act (IDA) can now be compounded with the introduction of the Infectious Diseases (Composition of Offences) Regulations 2020, which means people who are guilty of less serious breaches can be fined instead of being charged in court.

The update, announced in the Government Gazette last Tuesday, allows the ministry to calibrate its response to each individual breach, said a spokesman for the Ministry of Health.

Among other things, those who have contact with infected people and do not obey orders to isolate themselves, or behave in ways that can put others at risk of infection, could face composition fines.

People who contravene an order to declare certain places as isolation areas can also be similarly fined.



But the discretion on whether to compound an offence lies with the director of medical services, Associate Professor Kenneth Mak, and "offenders who have committed serious breaches of the IDA, including those who deliberately flout quarantine orders, will remain liable for prosecution", said the ministry's spokesman.

The move came ahead of stricter measures, announced yesterday, that require Singapore residents and long-term pass holders with recent travel history to China to stay put at home for 14 days without going out, to curb the spread of the virus which originated in the Chinese city of Wuhan.

The new stay-home notice, which takes effect today at 11.59pm, is more stringent than the existing leave of absence, which lets people leave their homes briefly to, for instance, buy household supplies.

The coronavirus, or Sars-CoV-2, was added to the list of infectious diseases and dangerous infectious diseases under the IDA last month.

The ministry spokesman said the IDA is periodically reviewed and updated to ensure its relevance in preventing and managing infectious diseases, to safeguard the population from the risk of such diseases.















Coronavirus detection in Singapore 'gold standard' for case detection: Harvard study
Global tally would be 2.8 times higher if all nations had same detection capacity, it says
By Rei Kurohi, The Straits Times, 18 Feb 2020

Singapore's approach to the coronavirus outbreak is the "gold standard" for case detection, according to a new study at Harvard University, with researchers using Singapore as a benchmark for other countries.

The study concluded that the global number of cases of Covid-19, as the disease has been called, would be 2.8 times more than it is currently if every other country had the same detection capacity as Singapore.

"We consider the detection of 18 cases by Feb 4, 2020, in Singapore to be a gold standard of near-perfect detection," wrote four epidemiologists at Harvard's T.H. Chan School of Public Health.

The researchers include epidemiology professor Marc Lipsitch, postdoctoral research fellows Aimee Taylor and Pablo Martinez de Salazar Munoz, and research associate Rene Niehus.

"We estimated that detection of exported cases from Wuhan worldwide is 38 per cent as sensitive as it has been in Singapore," they wrote.

Among what the study calls "high surveillance" countries, the number was 40 per cent. The study said detection ability among "low surveillance" countries was just 11 per cent of Singapore's.

High surveillance countries were defined as those that scored the highest on the Global Health Security Index (GHSI), which ranks countries on their disease prevention, detection, reporting and response capabilities, among other things.



The researchers also referred to a previous study from the school which highlighted Singapore as a statistical anomaly when it tried to estimate how many cases each country should have based on travel volume from China.

The researchers had examined aggregated data from a Feb 4 World Health Organisation report on the number of cases imported by travellers with known travel history to China to 191 countries and regions. The study excluded Hong Kong, Macau and Taiwan.

The researchers then used historical data from the International Air Travel Association and other sources to estimate the number of daily air travel passengers from Wuhan, where the virus originated, to locations outside of China.

"Among countries with substantial travel volume, Singapore showed the highest ratio of detected imported cases to daily travel volume, a ratio of one case per five daily travellers," the study's authors wrote.

"Singapore is historically known for exceptionally sensitive detection of cases, for example in Sars (severe acute respiratory syndrome), and has had extremely detailed case reporting during the Covid-19 outbreak."



One implication of the latest study is that the virus could have remained undetected after being exported from Wuhan to various locations worldwide before the city was locked down on Jan 23, the authors noted.

The Harvard study was uploaded to a free online health sciences archive called medRxiv last Friday as an unpublished manuscript.

The report is complete, but the website notes that such manuscripts, or preprints, are "preliminary reports of work that have not been peer reviewed" that should not be relied on to guide clinical practice or health-related behaviour.


























Related
Ministry of Health - Updates on COVID-19 (Coronavirus Disease 2019) Local Situation

Gov.sg: 2019 - COVID-19 (Coronavirus Disease 2019) situation in Singapore

2019 Novel Coronavirus: Ministerial Statement on Whole-of-Government Response

Wuhan virus: Singapore confirms first case of novel coronavirus infection on 23 January 2020

Wuhan virus: Singapore has to stay vigilant, but has every reason to be confident, says PM Lee Hsien Loong

Wuhan virus: Each Singapore household to get 4 free masks for contingencies; collection starts on 1 Feb till 9 Feb 2020

2019-nCoV: Singapore reports first cases of local coronavirus transmission on 4 February 2020

2019-nCoV: Singapore employers will receive $100 a day for each worker serving the 14-day Leave of Absence (LOA)

DORSCON Orange: Singapore raises coronavirus outbreak alert on 7 February 2020; Singaporeans clear supermarket shelves in panic buying of essentials

Fear and panic can do more harm than coronavirus: PM Lee Hsien Loong

Singapore to work closely with China to battle novel coronavirus threat: Deputy Prime Minister Heng Swee Keat

COVID-19: Show support for healthcare workers on front lines, says Health Minister Gan Kim Yong

$77 million support package for taxi and private hire drivers affected by the Coronavirus Disease 19 (COVID-19) outbreak

Total Defence Day 2020: Government to ensure minimal retrenchments as Singapore deals with COVID-19, says Defence Minister Ng Eng Hen

PM Lee Hsien Loong doesn’t rule out recession as coronavirus outbreak hits Singapore’s economy hard

COVID-19: Clinics roped in to help detect and manage coronavirus cases from 18 February 2020

Budget 2020 to help families with cost of living and businesses tackle COVID-19 fallout: Heng Swee Keat

Ministry of Home Affairs investigating Singapore religious teacher for xenophobic, racist posts about the coronavirus

Life and Death in a Wuhan Coronavirus ICU

Digital space a new battleground in war against Wuhan virus

Singapore Budget 2020: Advancing as One Singapore

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$6.4 billion set aside to support businesses, families and agencies impacted by COVID-19, coronavirus outbreak;

- $4 billion Stabilisation and Support Package will provide job and cash-flow support to help firms retain and retrain workers

- $1.6 billion Care and Support Package to help families defray some of their household expenses amid the downturn

- $800 million to support front-line agencies fighting the outbreak

GST hike from 7 per cent to 9 per cent will not take place in 2021; $6 billion Assurance Package to cushion impact of hike



Singaporeans aged 21 and above to get one-off cash payout ranging from $100 to $300

$1,000 SkillsFuture Credit top-up for mid-career workers


 
More financial support for students, particularly from lower-income families

Government to match cash top-ups to seniors' CPF savings by up to $3,000 over 5 years


More elderly Singaporeans to qualify for Silver Support, with payouts raised by 20%




$8.3 billion to be allocated for economic transformation and growth

New $5 billion Coastal and Flood Protection fund to tackle 'significant' risk of rising sea levels


Highest projected deficit of $10.9 billion in decade to cushion coronavirus fallout










Singapore Budget 2020: 10 things to know, from cash payout for Singaporeans to GST not going up in 2021
By Choo Yun Ting and Tee Zhuo, The Straits Times, 18 Feb 2020

A slew of measures to deal with short-term challenges such as the coronavirus outbreak and long-term economic development were introduced by Deputy Prime Minister Heng Swee Keat on Tuesday, 18 February.

Immediate measures included a $4 billion package to help firms with cash flow and retain workers, and $1.6 billion for household expenses amid the coronavirus outbreak.

More long-term help included $6 billion set aside to cushion the impact of a future goods and services tax (GST) increase, and $8.3 billion to be spent on growing and transforming the economy over three years.

Here are 10 highlights:

1. GST NOT GOING UP IN 2021

The increase in the GST rate by two percentage points from 7 per cent to 9 per cent will not be implemented in 2021. The hike was previously slated to come sometime between 2021 and 2025.

Still, the broad-based consumption tax, levied on nearly all goods and services in Singapore, will need to be increased by 2025, said Mr Heng, who is also the Finance Minister.

A $6 billion package will be introduced when the GST rate is raised to cushion the increase, with most Singaporean households getting offsets to cover at least five years' worth of extra GST expenses incurred.



Those living in one- to three-room HDB flats will receive offsets amounting to about 10 years' worth of additional GST expenses.

Every adult Singaporean will get a cash payout of between $700 and $1,600 over five years, depending on their household income and dwelling type.

The GST Voucher scheme will also be enhanced when the tax hike takes place.




2. SUPPORT FOR ALL HOUSEHOLDS DURING CORONAVIRUS OUTBREAK

Singaporean households will receive help to defray household expenses amid the coronavirus outbreak and economic weakness, said Mr Heng.

He announced a $1.6 billion Care and Support Package to benefit all adult Singaporeans aged 21 and older.

They will receive a one-off cash payout of $100, $200 or $300 in 2020, depending on their income in 2019 and home ownership. Parents with one or more Singaporean children aged 20 and younger in 2020 will each also get an extra $100 in cash.

The package also includes a Workfare Special Payment for Singaporean employees and self-employed persons who received Workfare Income Supplement (WIS) payments in 2019, providing additional support for low-wage workers and self-employed persons aged 35 and older in 2019.

Singaporeans aged 50 and older in 2020 will receive a $100 top-up to their PAssion cards.



All Singaporeans aged 21 and older who live in one- or two-room HDB flats and do not own more than one property will receive $100 in grocery vouchers in 2020 and 2021.

All eligible HDB households will also get double their regular GST Voucher - U-Save rebate in the 2020 financial year, which ends in March 2021, through a one-off special payment. Eligible households with five or more members will receive an extra rebate, which means they will receive 2.5 times their usual rebate.

Eligible Singaporean households living in HDB flats will also receive rebates to offset between 1.5 and 3.5 months of service and conservancy charges over the year.





3. HELPING BUSINESSES DEFRAY WAGE COSTS

Companies will receive support to defray wage costs during this difficult period.

Two schemes - the new Jobs Support Scheme and the Wage Credit Scheme, which will be enhanced - will help support enterprises and also help workers stay employed as part of a larger $4 billion Stabilisation and Support Package.

The Jobs Support Scheme will see the Government support all active employers, with the exception of government organisations and representative offices, in retaining their local employees.

The Government will offset 8 per cent of Singaporean and permanent resident employees' wages, capped at $3,600 per employee monthly, for three months.

This will cost the Government $1.3 billion for the over 1.9 million local employees in Singapore.



The Wage Credit Scheme, which supports enterprises embarking on transformation efforts and encourages employers to share productivity gains with workers by co-funding wage increases, will be enhanced.

The monthly wage ceiling will be raised from $4,000 to $5,000 for qualifying wage increases in 2019 and 2020.

The co-funding levels will be increased by five percentage points to 20 per cent for 2019 and 15 per cent for 2020.

This will see the Government provide about $1.1 billion in support to around 90,000 enterprises which will benefit more than 700,000 Singaporean employees.


4. HELPING BUSINESSES WITH THEIR CASH FLOW

The Stabilisation and Support Package includes economy-wide measures to help businesses with their cash flow during the difficult economic period and ongoing coronavirus situation.

A corporate income tax rebate at the rate of 25 per cent of tax payable, capped at $15,000 per company, will be granted for the tax year of assessment 2020.

The rebate, which will cost the Government about $400 million, will benefit all tax-paying companies.

Several tax treatments under the corporate tax system will also be enhanced for one year to ease cash flow for companies.

The Enterprise Financing Scheme's Working Capital Loan, which helps small and medium-sized enterprises access financing for working capital needs, will be enhanced for one year from March 2020.

The maximum loan quantum will be raised from $300,000 to $600,000, and the Government's risk share will be increased to 80 per cent, up from the current 50 per cent to 70 per cent.

Tenants and lessees of government-managed properties can also approach the agencies to discuss options for more flexible rental payments, such as instalment plans.


5. EXTRA SUPPORT FOR SECTORS MOST AFFECTED BY CORONAVIRUS

Five sectors directly hit by the coronavirus outbreak - tourism, aviation, retail, food services, and point-to-point transport services - will receive additional support under the Adapt and Grow Initiative for their operating costs and cash flow, as well as to retain and re-skill workers.

The funding support duration for re-skilling for these sectors will be extended from the current three months to a maximum of six months, and the Government will support employers in these affected sectors to retain and train more than 330,000 local workers.

A 30 per cent property tax rebate for 2020 will be granted for some components of licensed hotels and serviced apartments, as well as prescribed meetings, incentives, conventions, and exhibitions (Mice) venues.

International cruise and regional ferry terminals will receive a 15 per cent property tax rebate, and the integrated resorts will receive a 10 per cent property tax rebate.

The Government will also work with participating financial institutions to introduce a Temporary Bridging Loan Programme for a year to provide additional cash-flow support for tourism sector enterprises.

A $112 million Aviation Sector Assistance Package, co-funded by the Government, the Civil Aviation Authority of Singapore and the Changi Airport Group, will also provide relief to companies affected by the coronavirus outbreak.

This includes airlines, companies in the cargo industry, and other airport stakeholders such as retail and food and beverage tenants at Changi Airport, which will also receive a 15 per cent property tax rebate.

Food services and retail establishments will receive support as well, with rental waivers for hawkers operating in National Environment Agency-managed hawker centres and markets and commercial tenants of government agencies. The rental waivers will cost about $45 million.

A 15 per cent property tax rebate will also be granted to those who operate in qualifying commercial properties, and landlords are urged to pass the rebate on to their tenants.


6. ENHANCEMENTS TO SUPPORT ECONOMY'S TRANSFORMATION AND GROWTH

A total of $8.3 billion will be allocated over the next three years to bolster the Singapore economy's transformation and growth.

Support to enterprises at each stage of their growth will be enhanced to deepen their capabilities.

This includes an enhancement of Startup SG Equity which will dedicate an additional $300 million to catalyse private investment in Singapore-based deep-tech start-ups in key emerging sectors such as advanced manufacturing and agri-food technology.

The SMEs Go Digital scheme which aims to help SMEs build digital capabilities will also be expanded, covering the needs of 23 Industry Transformation Map sectors, up from 10. New sectors that will benefit include healthcare and food manufacturing.



The Market Readiness Assistance scheme which helps companies in their internalisation efforts will also be enhanced, including an extension of the 70 per cent support level for another three years until end-March 2023.

The Productivity Solutions Grant will also have broader support which includes consultancy services, and the number of sector-specific solutions will also be increased.

An Enterprise Transform Package will also be launched, including the Enterprise Leadership for Transformation programme to support business leaders of promising SMEs in achieving growth.

The Government aims to support business leaders from 900 enterprises over the next three years, and will work with institutes of higher learning, banks and other industry experts to do so.


7. GREATER SUPPORT FOR EDUCATION, FROM PRE-SCHOOL ONWARDS

Pre-university students from lower-income families will get an extra $100 under the Education Ministry's Financial Assistance Scheme, with the quantum raised from $900 to $1,000.

This will cost the Government $9 million more per year, or a total of $52 million per year.

All students will also get higher transport subsidies, and for secondary school students, more school meal subsidies.

Full-time Institute of Technical Education (ITE) students from the lowest-income families will now receive a 100 per cent fee subsidy from Academic Year 2020.

This is on top of the cash bursary for students from low- and middle-income households, which will also see a quantum increase of up to $200 a year.



The cost of funding bursaries for higher education will climb from $148 million to $198 million per year.

The share of government-supported pre-schools will climb to 80 per cent by around 2025, from just over half today.

Overall, the Government will double spending on the early childhood sector from about $1 billion in 2018 to over $2 billion per year in the next few years.




8. MEASURES TO HELP MIDDLE-AGED WORKERS STAY EMPLOYED

Every Singaporean aged 25 and older in 2020 will get a one-off $500 SkillsFuture credit top-up, which can be used from Oct 1. The top-up will expire by December 2025.

This is to encourage Singaporeans to use the credits early, and make use of the current economic slowdown to learn new skills, said Mr Heng.

On top of that, those aged 40 to 60 will get another top-up of $500, with the same expiration date.

A new SkillsFuture Mid-Career Support Package will also be introduced to double the annual job placement of locals in that age range to around 5,500 by 2025.



Apart from more capacity for re-skilling programmes, employers who hire those aged 40 and above through such programmes will get 20 per cent salary support for six months, capped at $6,000.

Employers will also get $10,000 under the new SkillsFuture Enterprise Credit to defray out-of-pocket costs of business transformation, job redesign, and skills training by 90 per cent. This will help about 39,000 firms.

The Productivity Solutions Grant, which helps firms to adopt pre-approved digital solutions and equipment, will be expanded to include job redesign consultancy services.


9. SCHEMES TO SUPPORT THE ELDERLY

The Central Provident Fund (CPF) will have a Matched Retirement Savings Scheme from 2021 to 2025, for lower- to middle-income Singaporeans aged 55 to 70 who have not been able to set aside the prevailing Basic Retirement Sum.

Under this scheme, the Government will match every dollar of cash top-up made to their CPF Retirement Account, up to an annual cap of $600. Some 435,000 Singaporeans will be eligible.



Around 250,000 Singaporeans aged 65 and older will also get more help with enhancements to the Silver Support Scheme from Jan 1, 2021.

Quarterly payouts under the scheme will be raised by 20 per cent. The criteria for lifetime wages and household monthly income per person will also be raised.

There will also be a new payout tier for seniors whose monthly household income per person is between $1,300 and $1,800; they now do not receive Silver Support.

Eligible seniors will be notified by CPF Board and start getting payouts from December this year.

The cost of Silver Support will nearly double from $330 million today to $620 million in 2021.

Also from 2021, the Special Employment Credit (SEC) and the Additional SEC will be merged and called the Senior Employment Credit.

Like its predecessors, the new programme gives wage support to employers who hire Singaporeans aged 55 and older, with support tapering as the retirement and re-employment ages are gradually raised.

A new Senior Worker Early Adopter Grant will support companies that raise these ages ahead of legislated changes.

Another grant will be introduced to support companies to formalise provisions for part-time re-employment.

Half the CPF contribution increase from employers, which kicks in next year, will be offset by the Government.


10. BATTLE AGAINST CLIMATE CHANGE

A Coastal and Flood Protection Fund will be set up with an initial injection of $5 billion, to be topped up when possible.

Housing Board (HDB) flats will also have a new Green Towns Programme, to reduce energy consumption, recycle rainwater, and cool the towns.

The Government also aims to phase out all vehicles with internal combustion engines by 2040.




An additional incentive for early adoption of electric vehicles (EVs) will be introduced, with a rebate of up to 45 per cent on the additional registration fee for those buying fully electric cars and taxis. This will start from January next year, for three years.

EVs and some hybrid vehicles will also be taxed less, with a revision in tax methodology for cars from next January.

By 2030, the Government aims to deploy up to 28,000 public charging points for EVs, up from 1,600 currently.

There will also be a lump-sum tax built into the road tax schedule for EVs, while technology to tax by distance is being developed.









$6.4 billion to deal with virus crisis, economic uncertainties
Longer-term measures include $5 billion to fight climate change, $8.3 billion to transform economy
By Royston Sim, Deputy Political Editor, The Straits Times, 19 Feb 2020

Some $6.4 billion has been set aside in the Budget to support businesses, workers, families and front-line agencies, as Singapore grapples with the economic fallout from the ongoing coronavirus outbreak.

Deputy Prime Minister Heng Swee Keat yesterday announced various measures to stabilise the country's economy and cushion the impact of the outbreak, which has hit tourism arrivals and disrupted global supply chains.

A $4 billion package will be rolled out to keep workers in jobs, help companies with their cash flow and provide additional support for sectors directly affected by the coronavirus disease, known as Covid-19.

Households will get additional help with the cost of living from a special $1.6 billion package, with those less well-off receiving more.

This includes a one-off cash payout ranging from $100 to $300 for every Singaporean aged 21 and above.

Apart from this, $800 million in extra funding will be given to front-line agencies fighting the outbreak, taking the support kitty to $6.4 billion.

"We will put in every effort to slow down the spread of the virus," pledged Mr Heng, who is also Finance Minister.



The measures are part of a $106 billion Budget that aims to position Singapore for the future, while helping its people navigate the near-term challenges posed by the outbreak.

To that end, Mr Heng said the Budget will be "more expansionary", with an expected deficit of $10.9 billion, or 2.1 per cent of gross domestic product (GDP).

In comparison, during the global financial crisis, Singapore had a Budget in 2009 which was projected to come in with a deficit of $8.7 billion, although this was later revised down to $0.82 billion, or 0.3 per cent of GDP.

But Mr Heng noted that the Government has accumulated sufficient surplus to fund the projected deficit without drawing on past reserves.

Ministries' total spending is forecast to rise 7 per cent from the 2019 financial year to $83.6 billion.



Mr Heng made plain that the coronavirus outbreak will certainly impact Singapore's economy, which has seen declining visitor arrivals and air traffic through Changi Airport, along with falling hotel occupancy rates. The country had 81 confirmed coronavirus cases as of yesterday.

While it is not clear how badly the outbreak will hit the global economy, he added that "we must be prepared that the economic impact may be worse than we projected".

The measures to deal with immediate economic uncertainties include a Jobs Support Scheme that will offset 8 per cent of every employed local worker's wages for three months, capped at $3,600 a month, per worker. This will benefit all firms, and cost $1.3 billion.

There will be additional support for sectors directly affected by the outbreak, such as tourism, aviation and retail. These include property tax and rental rebates.

"We will continue to monitor the situation closely. If needed, we can and are prepared to do more," Mr Heng said.

In his 21/4-hour speech, he went beyond the measures to tackle the current downturn to outline longer-term measures to grow the economy, transform enterprises and develop the workforce. He said $8.3 billion has been allocated over the next three years to do so.

To encourage workers to upgrade their skills, the Government will make a one-off $500 top-up to the SkillsFuture account of every Singaporean aged 25 and above. Mid-career workers aged 40 to 60 will receive an additional $500 on top of this, to help them reskill.

The credit from both top-ups will expire in about five years, to nudge Singaporeans to make use of them.

The Deputy Prime Minister also flagged three major challenges ahead - climate change, security and fiscal sustainability.

In line with tackling climate change, he said Singapore's vision is to phase out internal combustion engine vehicles and have all vehicles run on cleaner energy by 2040.

A scheme to promote cleaner light goods vehicles will be rolled out and electric vehicle charging points ramped up islandwide.

Some $5 billion will be injected into a new Coastal and Flood Protection Fund as well.



Concluding, he said: "Our nation has built up the capital - financial, human and social - to go the distance. The Singapore spirit is strong and growing. Together, we will advance, as one Singapore."




Jobs Support Scheme to subsidise wages of local workers
It will offset part of employees' pay to help bosses retain staff during this slowdown
By Olivia Ho, Arts Correspondent, The Straits Times, 19 Feb 2020

A new scheme will subsidise the wages of local workers to help employers retain them during the slowdown from the coronavirus outbreak, said Deputy Prime Minister Heng Swee Keat yesterday.

The Jobs Support Scheme will offset 8 per cent of the wages of every employee who is a Singaporean or permanent resident for three months, up to a monthly cap of $3,600.

The $1.3 billion payout will go to all enterprises by July 31, benefiting more than 1.9 million employees.

"Our foremost concern is jobs," said Mr Heng. "We want to help our workers retain their jobs, and use any lull period to upgrade their skills, to be ready when the tide turns."

Under the temporary scheme, employers will receive the 8 per cent cash grant on the gross monthly wages of each local employee on their Central Provident Fund (CPF) payroll for October to December last year.

Employers need not apply for the scheme, as the grant will be computed based on CPF contribution data.

Mr Heng also announced enhancements to the Wage Credit Scheme, which co-funds wage increases for Singaporean employees earning a gross monthly wage of up to $4,000.

This wage ceiling will be raised to $5,000, for increases given last year and this year.

The proportion given by the Government will also go up. It currently co-funds 15 per cent of qualifying wage increases from last year and 10 per cent of such increases this year.

This will be increased to 20 per cent for last year and 15 per cent for this year.

The $1.1 billion enhancements will go to about 90,000 enterprises, benefiting more than 700,000 Singaporeans.

Under the scheme, employers typically receive payouts automatically in the month of March after the qualifying year.

Employers getting additional wage credit from the new enhancements will receive a separate supplementary payout in the second half of this year.

Federation of Merchants' Associations, Singapore president Yeo Hiang Meng welcomed the enhancements. He had hoped for a higher wage cost offset, but said he understood this was a short-term measure and more might be done in the long term.

"Members should take this opportunity to look into their business practices and find areas for improvement, so that they emerge from the crisis better," he added. "Don't take the benefit and do nothing with it."

Labour MP Patrick Tay said: "This set of measures must be seen in its entirety to help reduce costs for employers and businesses, especially the deeply affected sectors. DPM Heng also mentioned that he is prepared to do more if the need arises."





Rent, tax reliefs among aid for sectors hit by coronavirus outbreak
Firms in tourism, aviation, retail, food and transport services also get help to reskill staff
By Tiffany Fumiko Tay, The Straits Times, 19 Feb 2020

Five sectors directly affected by the coronavirus outbreak will receive additional support as part of a $4 billion package to help workers and businesses tide over a looming slowdown.

Rent and tax reliefs are among the measures targeted at certain affected sectors such as retail and food services. The two sectors, along with tourism, aviation and point-to-point transport services, will also get help to retain and reskill workers.

The Stabilisation and Support Package in the Budget includes schemes to help businesses retain local workers by offsetting part of their wages, as well as co-funding increases for those who earn a gross monthly wage of up to $5,000 a month.

Measures will also be rolled out to help firms with cash flow, cited by many as a top concern as the outbreak drags on for a second month.

These include corporate income tax rebates, higher maximum working capital loans and flexible rental payments for tenants and lessees of government-managed properties.

Travel restrictions and the spread of the virus in Singapore and the region have hit the tourism and transport sectors hard, with businesses reporting a drop in sales of up to 50 per cent.

Retailers and restaurants are also suffering as more locals avoid crowded places.

More than 330,000 local workers in the five sectors are expected to be retained and retrained through job support and redeployment schemes, said Finance Minister Heng Swee Keat yesterday.

Tax rebates will form a large part of the targeted support for the tourism and aviation sectors.

A property tax rebate of 30 per cent will be granted for this year for the accommodation and function room components of licensed hotels and serviced apartments, as well as prescribed Mice (meetings, incentives, conferences and exhibitions) venues.

International cruise and regional ferry terminals will receive a 15 per cent property tax rebate, while the two integrated resorts will get a 10 per cent rebate.

A bridging loan programme with a limit of $1 million per company will be introduced for a year to help businesses in the tourism sector with cash flow. Rental rebates for shops and cargo agents at Changi Airport are among the measures to be rolled out for the aviation industry, while a $77 million support package to aid the point-to-point transport services sector was announced last week.

A 15 per cent property tax rebate will be granted for qualifying commercial properties in the retail and food services sectors.

"I strongly urge landlords to pass this on to their tenants by reducing rentals," said Mr Heng.



Stallholders in hawker centres and markets managed by the National Environment Agency will also have their rent waived for a month, while other government agencies will offer a half-month rental waiver to commercial tenants.

The Restaurant Association of Singapore welcomed the support in the areas of wages and working capital loan financing, but said it is "terribly disappointed" in the rental waivers and "insignificant property tax rebates to developers".

"Our members are concerned about whether these savings given to developers will be passed down to tenants to help them ride out this difficult period," a spokesman said.

The Singapore Retailers Association echoed the call for commercial landlords to provide rent relief, and at least one has heeded it.

CapitaLand said yesterday that the full savings from its property tax rebate will be passed on to retailers operating across its malls.

Additional rental relief will be rolled out to tenants based on their individual circumstances while stores already have the flexibility to operate shorter hours, it said.





Rental waivers for hawkers, market stallholders
By Melissa Heng, The Straits Times, 19 Feb 2020

Mr Tan Shi Liang, 32, who runs a roast meat stall at Hawker Centre @ Our Tampines Hub, has seen sales drop by about 30 per cent in the last month. The coronavirus outbreak is keeping customers away, he said.

For him and others in his trade, rental waivers are on the way.

As part of the support package in this year's Budget to help businesses weather the impact of the coronavirus, rental waivers will be given to eligible stallholders at hawker centres and markets, as well as commercial tenants.

Deputy Prime Minister Heng Swee Keat said stallholders at hawker centres and markets managed by the National Environment Agency will be given one month's worth of rental waivers, with a minimum waiver of $200.

Commercial tenants in other government-owned or managed facilities will be provided with half a month's worth of rental waivers. These include facilities owned or managed by agencies such as the Housing Board, People's Association, NParks, JTC Corporation, Urban Redevelopment Authority, Singapore Tourism Board and Sentosa Development Corporation.

Eligible tenants are those on leases not exceeding three years and who do not pay property tax. These tenants may include those providing commercial accommodation, retail, food and beverage, recreation, entertainment, healthcare and other services.

In total, these rental waivers will cost the Government $45 million.

Mr Tan said: "It has been visibly quieter since January when the first cases of the coronavirus were announced. Many people are staying home...We don't know how long this situation will last, so hopefully if it is prolonged, then the Government will consider extending more support for us."





GST hike from 7 per cent to 9 per cent to still take place by 2025, amid the need to invest in healthcare
By Linette Lai, Political Correspondent, The Straits Times, 19 Feb 2020

The coronavirus outbreak has reinforced the importance of continued investment in Singapore's healthcare system, said Deputy Prime Minister Heng Swee Keat yesterday.

This is why the planned goods and services tax (GST) hike will still take place by 2025, even though the Government has decided not to raise GST next year.



Mr Heng, who is also Finance Minister, added that the outbreak is a "stark reminder of the continued importance of maintaining a sound fiscal footing to deal with surprises and unexpected scenarios".

"In particular, we are able to mount a decisive response to support Singaporeans and workers through uncertain times only because of good long-term planning."

Mr Heng said the decision to keep GST unchanged at 7 per cent was made after reviewing revenue and expenditure projections, and considering the current state of the economy.

"However, we will not be able to put off the increase indefinitely," he told Parliament.

"In fact, this outbreak has reinforced the importance of continued investment in our healthcare system, including the capability to deal with outbreaks."

He added: "And we will still require recurrent sources of revenue to fund our recurrent spending needs in the medium term."

The planned GST hike from 7 per cent to 9 per cent was first announced in 2018.

The Government said then that it was necessary, given the needs in healthcare and other areas, and would take place some time between 2021 and 2025.

A $6 billion Assurance Package has been set aside to help cushion the impact on Singaporeans when the increase does take effect, Mr Heng said yesterday.

It means all adult Singaporeans will get cash payouts of between $700 and $1,600 over five years, so most households will get enough to offset at least five years' worth of additional GST expenses.

Those living in one-to three-room flats will get enough to offset about 10 years' worth.

This works out to about $7,000 in GST offsets over five years for a family of four in a four-room flat with a combined income of $6,000.

It includes cash of about $4,000.

Experts said it is unsurprising that the GST increase will not take place next year, given the state of the economy.

"Already before the coronavirus outbreak, the economic environment was already uncertain," said Mr Kor Bing Keong, GST leader at PwC Singapore.

And now with the virus outbreak and a general election on the horizon, raising GST at this time would not be "politically and economically prudent and astute", added Mr Lam Kok Shang, head of indirect tax at KPMG in Singapore.

When asked when he expected the GST hike to kick in, Mr Danny Koh, tax partner at Deloitte Singapore, noted that Japan saw slower growth after it increased its consumption tax from 8 to 10 per cent in October last year.

"Therefore, we would expect that the Government is unlikely to increase the GST rate until there are clear signs of a strong recovery in the economy," he said.





$500 extra SkillsFuture Credit for mid-career workers aged 40 to 60 in addition to a top-up of $500 that will be given to all Singaporeans aged 25 and older
By Joanna Seow, Assistant Business Editor, The Straits Times, 19 Feb 2020

Some one million mid-career workers aged 40 to 60 this year will receive an extra $500 in SkillsFuture Credit to help them stay employable and move to new jobs or roles.

This is in addition to a top-up of $500 that will be given to all Singaporeans aged 25 and older, Deputy Prime Minister Heng Swee Keat said in his Budget speech yesterday.

Mr Heng said this is part of a new SkillsFuture Mid-Career Support Package through which the Government aims to double the annual job placement of locals in their 40s and 50s to around 5,500 by 2025.

The SkillsFuture Credit top-ups can be used from Oct 1, and will expire on Dec 31, 2025, to encourage people to take early action.



The funds for older workers can be used for about 200 career transition programmes offered by continuing education and training centres, such as certificates in nursing care and infocomm technology infrastructure.

The original $500 in SkillsFuture Credit that was provided in 2016 will continue to have no expiry.

Workers who are now in their 40s and 50s grew up in a time when the economy was just starting to take off, noted Mr Heng, who is also Finance Minister.

"When they started work, it was normal, even celebrated, to stay with one job, in one company, for life. As enterprises restructure, the nature of jobs has changed," he said.

Many people have adapted to these changes, picked up new skills and even switched careers. But some have not seen any job or career changes since leaving school, nor have they had the chance to upskill earlier, and are now facing greater competition from younger workers and workers overseas.

I understand their anxieties," said Mr Heng.

"At the same time, with broader global shifts, exciting jobs will emerge. Our mid-career workers can seize these opportunities and do better for themselves and their families. The Government will do more to support them."

He said that there will be more places in reskilling schemes such as the professional conversion programmes under the Adapt and Grow initiative, which helps workers move into growth industries, and career transition programmes delivered by CET centres.



The Government will also provide 20 per cent in wage subsidies to employers who hire local jobseekers aged 40 and above through professional conversion programmes, place-and-train programmes for rank-and-file workers, and career transition programmes by CET centres. The hiring incentive will be given for six months and is capped at $6,000 in total.

Finally, a group of volunteer career advisers from professional communities will be assembled to provide peer support and career guidance to local workers.

IT security consultant Ang Seoh Choon, 49, who used up her SkillsFuture Credit and paid more than $5,000 to take cybersecurity courses and exams in 2017 before landing her current job, said she will be interested to see what courses she can take with the top-up.





Singaporeans aged 21 and above to get one-off cash payout of up to $300
Parents who have at least one Singaporean child aged 20 and below this year will each get extra $100
By Theresa Tan, Senior Social Affairs Correspondent, The Straits Times, 19 Feb 2020

All Singaporeans aged 21 and older this year will receive a one-off cash payout of between $100 and $300 to help with their household expenses amid the economic slowdown and the coronavirus outbreak. Parents with at least one Singaporean child aged 20 and younger this year will each receive an additional $100 in cash.


The cash payout scheme is part of a $1.6 billion Care and Support Package announced by Deputy Prime Minister Heng Swee Keat in Parliament yesterday.

He said: "This year, with the economic slowdown and the uncertainties of the Covid-19 outbreak, we are mindful that many families are facing greater pressures.

During my fellow MPs' and my own walkabouts, people often tell us that they are worried about job security and rising expenditures."

Those with an assessable in-come of up to $28,000 for the 2019 year of assessment will get $300. Those who earn between $28,001 and $100,000 will get $200, and those earning over $100,000 or who own more than one property will get $100.

Besides the one-time cash payout, the Government will also extend the service and conservancy charges (S&CC) rebate, of between 1.5 and 3.5 months, for another year.

For example, those living in three-and four-room Housing Board flats get 2.5 months in S&CC rebate, while those living in five-room HDB flats get two months.

The Government will also double the amount of rebate for utilities expenses that eligible HDB dwellers get, via a one-off goods and services tax voucher (GSTV) - U-Save Special Payment.

For example, a family living in a five-room flat gets $280 a year with the regular GSTV-U-Save rebate. With the new one-off voucher, the family will get another $280, making it a total of $560 a year.

Larger households, defined as those with five or more members, will get more help. They will get 2.5 times their regular GSTV-U-Save rebates this year.

"This will help to free up cash for other household expenses," said Mr Heng.

He also announced that the Government will make a $100 top-up to the PAssion cards of all Singaporeans aged 50 and older this year.

This money can be used to pay for groceries, activities and facilities at community clubs, among other things.

Those who do not have a PAssion card can get one for free to receive their top-up.

Besides the cash payouts and rebates to families, the Government will also give a $10 million grant to self-help groups over two years so they can help more families.

Community development councils, which run schemes to meet the needs of families in their areas, will get $20 million to do more and better meet the needs of their residents.

Mr Heng said helping families is part of the Government's drive to build a "caring and inclusive home". The other ways of doing so are: Supporting seniors and encouraging Singaporeans to give more to those in need.

He said that the Government has significantly increased social spending over the past decade.

For instance, between 2010 and last year, healthcare expenditure tripled to about $12 billion a year.

Last year, about $1.1 billion in cash was given to Singaporeans who needed more help, through schemes such as ComCare for the vulnerable, the Workfare Income Supplement for lower-wage workers and Silver Support for vulnerable seniors.

"This social spending reflects our commitment to invest in our people, to give every citizen a stake in society, to care for our seniors, and to provide more help to those with less," Mr Heng said.





Wage subsidies, CPF contribution offsets to help employers of older workers
By Joanna Seow, Assistant Business Editor, The Straits Times, 19 Feb 2020

Employers of older workers will receive government funding from next year to offset the cost of their wages and the rising Central Provident Fund (CPF) contribution rates.



Announcing this as part of a new Senior Worker Support Package to help Singaporeans work longer if they want to, Deputy Prime Minister Heng Swee Keat said: "Even as we support workers' aspirations to work longer, we hear employers' concerns. As part of our unique tripartite system, the Government has stepped up to support both our workers and our enterprises."

The first measure is a Senior Employment Credit, which will provide wage offsets of up to 8 per cent - depending on the age of the employee - for employers of Singaporean workers aged 55 and above and earning up to $4,000 a month.


The highest amount is for workers who are at least of the re-employment age, which is 67 and will go up to 68 on July 1, 2022.


Employers of workers aged 55 to 59 can receive up to 2 per cent in subsidies next year, and then 1 per cent in 2022.


The new scheme runs for two years, from Jan 1 next year until the end of 2022, and replaces two older schemes which expire at the end of this year. The older schemes together provided employers with wage offsets of up to 11 per cent of the monthly pay for Singaporean workers aged 55 and above and earning up to $4,000.


Bosses will also receive a CPF transition offset to cover half of the increase in their contribution rates for older workers next year, up to the CPF monthly salary ceiling of $6,000. They will be contributing 0.5 percentage point or 1 percentage point more for workers aged 55 to 70 next year, based on the worker's age.


CPF contribution rates for those aged 55 to 70 are to be raised gradually over this decade until those aged 60 and below enjoy the full CPF rates. The rates currently begin to taper down from 37 per cent after workers turn 55.


Details on the other two measures under the Senior Worker Support Package will be provided in the coming weeks.


They comprise an early adopter grant to support companies which formally raise their internal retirement age and re-employment age ahead of the national timeline, and a grant for companies which commit to offering part-time work for eligible older workers who request for it.


Mr Heng said that the Government will provide more support to help Singaporeans remain active and contribute to society and the economy as they live longer.










$100 grocery vouchers to help low-wage Singaporeans cope with daily expenses
By Theresa Tan, Senior Social Affairs Correspondent, The Straits Times, 19 Feb 2020

Low-income Singaporeans will get extra help to cope with their daily living expenses.

In addition to the annual goods and services tax vouchers, public transport vouchers and service and conservancy charges rebates, these Singaporeans will receive a grocery voucher worth $100 a year for this year and next year.

Deputy Prime Minister Heng Swee Keat said this yesterday as he announced a comprehensive Care and Support Package for households, amounting to about $1.6 billion. The voucher can be used at major supermarkets such as FairPrice, Giant and Sheng Siong.

The grocery voucher is for Singaporeans aged 21 and older who live in one-or two-room Housing Board flats and do not own more than one property.

To further help lower-wage workers, Singaporeans who received the Workfare Income Supplement (WIS) last year will also qualify for a new Workfare Special Payment this year. This special payment - an additional 20 per cent of the total annual WIS payout the worker received last year - will be given in cash.

Workers with disabilities who were aged below 35 last year, and who meet the WIS criteria, will receive a Workfare Special Payment of between $100 and $300.

The WIS encourages eligible workers to work and build up their Central Provident Fund (CPF) savings by supplementing their income and retirement savings through cash payments and CPF contributions. To qualify for the WIS, Singaporeans must be 35 and older and earn a gross monthly income of not more than $2,300, among other criteria.





More seniors qualify for Silver Support, with payouts raised by 20%
About 100,000 more seniors will benefit from enhanced scheme to boost retirement incomes
By Yuen Sin, The Straits Times, 19 Feb 2020

More seniors will have their retirement incomes enhanced with changes to the Silver Support scheme, Deputy Prime Minister Heng Swee Keat said yesterday.

The scheme, launched in 2016 to top up the retirement incomes of the bottom 20 per cent of Singaporeans aged 65 and above, will be extended to cover households with a monthly income per person of not more than $1,800. The previous threshold was $1,100.

Those with a monthly household per capita income of $1,300 or less will each receive a quarterly payout of $360 to $900.

Those with a monthly household income per person of above $1,300, but not exceeding $1,800, will each receive a payout of between $180 and $450 every quarter.



The scheme is for those living in one-to five-room Housing Board flats, among other criteria.

In total, about 100,000 more seniors will benefit from the enhanced Silver Support scheme next year.

Mr Heng said that the Silver Support scheme was created to complement the Central Provident Fund (CPF) scheme, as a small segment of the elderly population had low incomes during their working years, and currently have little or no family support.

"The scheme is now almost five years old and a review is timely," he said.

The threshold for lifetime wages will also be expanded to cover more seniors under the scheme, Mr Heng announced.

Those with total CPF contributions of not more than $140,000 by age 55, and self-employed people with an average annual net trade income of not more than $27,600 when they were aged 45 to 54, will be eligible for Silver Support.

These criteria are currently $70,000 and $22,800, respectively.

Payouts will also be raised by 20 per cent for those who are currently eligible for the scheme.

There is no need to apply for the scheme. Eligible seniors will be notified by the CPF Board and start receiving payouts under the enhanced scheme from December.

The cost of the scheme will nearly double from $330 million now, to around $620 million next year.



Madam Lee Lai Kum, 71, who lives in a two-room rental flat in Toa Payoh with her 71-year-old husband and 91-year-old mother, cheered the move.

They are now each receiving $750 of Silver Support every quarter, and this will rise to $900. Madam Lee used to earn about $400 a month as a part-time cleaner, but had to stop work a few years ago to take care of her mother, who is frail and unable to perform chores on her own.

Madam Lee's husband is a retired odd-job worker.

"This will be a great help. The cost of food items like fish and vegetables have gone up, and we try to scrimp and save to make sure that we have enough for household necessities. We also rely on regular donations from charities," she said.





More help to ensure every Singaporean student can reach potential, regardless of family income
By Calvin Yang, The Straits Times, 19 Feb 2020

Quality pre-school education will soon be more accessible, allowing children in Singapore to have a good start in life.

Annual spending by the Government on the early childhood sector is set to double to more than $2 billion per year within the next few years, Deputy Prime Minister Heng Swee Keat announced yesterday. This is up from the $1 billion spent in 2018.

"Good education provides a strong foundation for children to grow, realise their aspirations, and continue a journey of lifelong learning," he said. "We are determined to give every child, regardless of circumstances, a good start in life."

It is among a raft of measures announced to make quality education - across all levels - more accessible. Many of the measures are focused on helping students from lower-income families, putting them on a more equal footing with others.

Mr Heng said: "This substantial investment is how we maximise every child's potential, regardless of family circumstances. This is a promise that I, as a former education minister and now Finance Minister, am committed to keep."

For the young, among other things, government-supported pre-school places will be increased to 80 per cent by 2025, up from just over 50 per cent now.

In the primary to pre-university school years, education is already heavily subsidised for Singaporeans. Primary school is free for all citizens, while the secondary school fee is $5 a month. Students pay only a few dollars in miscellaneous fees.

Mr Heng said those from lower-income families will receive even more help. For instance, the Ministry of Education's Financial Assistance Scheme (FAS) will be enhanced, with the annual bursary quantum for pre-university students raised from $900 to $1,000.

Transport subsidies for all students, and school meal subsidies for secondary school students will also be increased.

The enhanced FAS will cost an additional $9 million per year - or a total of $52 million per year.

At the higher education level, the cost of bursaries will rise from $148 million to $198 million per year.

Starting from the 2020 academic year, students from lower-and middle-income families in polytechnics and autonomous universities can benefit from higher bursaries.

Bursaries for full-time Institute of Technical Education (ITE) students will also be improved.

On top of the bursary, those from the lowest-income tier will receive a full fee subsidy. ITE students from lower-and middle-income households will also benefit from an increase in the cash bursary quantum by up to $200 a year.

Mr Heng said that by the time a Singaporean turns 16, he would have received over $180,000 of education subsidies.

Experts welcomed the move to help the young to reach their potential. Education economist Kelvin Seah from the National University of Singapore commended the Government's focus on lower-income students, noting that studies have suggested that there is an achievement gap between students from higher-income families and those from lower-income backgrounds.

"So addressing this achievement gap through policies designed to help the lower-income students would serve to reduce inequality and increase socioeconomic mobility," he added.





New wage offset scheme for firms hiring people with disabilities
By Goh Yan Han, The Straits Times, 19 Feb 2020

To encourage a more inclusive workforce and society, a new wage offset scheme will be implemented from next year.

Deputy Prime Minister Heng Swee Keat announced yesterday a new Enabling Employment Credit scheme which will provide wage offsets to companies that employ those with disabilities.

Mr Heng said that everyone can play a part to build an inclusive society "from their hearts, in ways big and small".

The new scheme will replace the existing Special Employment Credit and Additional Special Employment Credit schemes, which will expire on Dec 31.

These schemes currently provide wage offsets for employers hiring Singaporeans with disabilities who earn below $4,000 a month.

In 2018, more than 5,700 employers, hiring over 8,600 Singaporeans with disabilities, benefited from the Special Employment Credit.

The new Enabling Employment Credit scheme will be available for five years, from 2021 to 2025, at a cost of about $31 million each year. It will be reviewed after two years to ensure that the scheme continues to remain helpful.

More details will be announced by the Ministry of Manpower in the coming weeks when MPs debate the budget of each ministry.





Govt to set aside $250 million to boost partnership efforts with citizens on community projects
By Toh Wen Li, The Straits Times, 19 Feb 2020

The Government will set aside $250 million to boost efforts to partner with the community in projects, Deputy Prime Minister Heng Swee Keat said yesterday.

This includes $20 million that will be used to top up the Our Singapore Fund, which supports projects in the social and community domains initiated by citizens. The fund will also be extended for five more years, from this year.

Since the fund was announced in Budget 2016, it has committed nearly $4.3 million to more than 240 ground-up projects in areas ranging from heritage to sports.



Such initiatives range from Progress Nest, which runs after-school team activities for secondary school students from low-income families; to Stories From The Heart, which runs experiential workshops that help people better empathise with the visually impaired.

A budget of $150 million - part of the $250 million - will also be set aside to expand successful ground-up projects, such as those already supported by the Our Singapore Fund.

Money will also go towards the SG Eco Fund, which is for sustainability efforts and will be launched by the Ministry of the Environment and Water Resources.

Mr Heng said: "Channelling the energies of our people to key causes requires us to identify the challenges of our time.

"These challenges are multi-faceted and multi-dimensional, but they are ultimately about how Singapore remains exceptional in an increasingly complex world.

"The solutions will come in all shapes and forms, from all levels of society - from government policies to individual efforts on the ground. We must overcome these challenges and find solutions together."



Additionally, the Ministry of Social and Family Development and National Council of Social Service will set up the Community Capability Trust to raise funds and help social-service sector partners better serve the community.

The Government, together with the Tote Board, will provide the trust with a combined $200 million in financial year 2020, and match up to $150 million in funds raised over the next decade.

More details will be announced next week during the debate on the Ministry of Culture, Community and Youth's spending plans.





Govt pushes for electric vehicles to phase out petrol, diesel vehicles
Boost for electric vehicles in move to reduce pollution
Measures include tax rebate extension, early adopter perks and more charging points
By Christopher Tan, Senior Transport Correspondent, The Straits Times, 19 Feb 2020

In declaring its ambition to phase out internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles within the next 20 years, Singapore will make electric vehicles (EVs) more attractive from next year.

"Our vision is to phase out ICE and have vehicles run on cleaner energy by 2040," Finance Minister Heng Swee Keat said, adding that this goal is for "both public health and climate change reasons".

Singapore has said that it sees climate change as an existential threat, and Mr Heng, who is also Deputy Prime Minister, yesterday announced several measures to make EVs a viable option.

First, the Vehicular Emissions Scheme (VES), which metes out tax rebates and surcharges based on a vehicle's emission levels, will be extended to light commercial vehicles.



Second, an early adoption incentive scheme will be rolled out for EV buyers from 2021 to 2023. It will offer a 45 per cent rebate on the car's Additional Registration Fee (ARF, the main car tax), capped at $20,000 per vehicle.

Third, the road tax for EVs and some hybrids will be revised to be less punitive.

Fourth, Singapore will expand the EV charging infrastructure significantly from 1,600 points now to 28,000 by 2030.

But as excise duty from fuel sales contributes around $1 billion a year to tax coffers, Mr Heng said the Government will introduce a six-monthly lump sum tax for EVs from 2021, starting at $100, then $200 in 2022, and $350 from 2023 onwards.

"Total road tax, after the revision in methodology and the new lump sum tax, will be higher for some EV models," Mr Heng said.

"However, EV buyers can expect to enjoy substantial savings because of the significant EV Early Adoption Incentive."

Mr Heng said the excise duty on fuel is a form of mileage tax to discourage indiscriminate usage, which will have an impact on pollution and congestion.



Industry players said this lump sum tax will negate much of the savings derived from the revised road tax.

For instance, the Hyundai Kona Electric, which is part of ride-hailing firm Grab's fleet, will see its annual road tax fall by around 36 per cent to $1,447. But the lump sum tax will pare this saving down to 4 per cent from 2023.

The buyer, however, will qualify for a $20,000 rebate on the car's ARF, which translates to a saving of around $10,000, assuming he keeps the vehicle for 10 years.

On the whole, the move was well received, even if the VES - which currently grants EV buyers a tax break of $20,000 - may change next year.

Mr Glenn Tan, deputy chairman and managing director of Tan Chong International, said: "This is good, as globally, manufacturers have been moving towards less pollutive vehicles, but the cost of adoption has been prohibitive. The increased rebate will encourage more people to adopt cleaner vehicles quicker, with the lower cost of ownership."

Nissan agent Tan Chong Motor's head of sales and marketing Ron Lim said the revised road tax means the Nissan Serena e-Power's road tax falls from $1,306 to $860 a year.

Mr Victor Kwan, managing director of multi-franchise Wearnes Prestige Division, said the tax changes are encouraging, but the move to build 28,000 charging points "will truly make a difference", even if it takes 10 years.

On the move to extend the VES to light commercial vehicles, Mr Neo Nam Heng, chairman of diversified motor group Prime, said: "I have been pushing for this for seven, eight years. This is a breakthrough.

"The market will evolve - just like the taxi market evolved from diesel to hybrid models. This will be positive for the environment."





Highest projected deficit of $10.9 billion in decade to cushion coronavirus fallout
Coming in at 2.1% of GDP, projected deficit exceeds that of 2009 during financial crisis
By Grace Ho and Tham Yuen-C, Senior Political Correspondent, The Straits Times, 19 Feb 2020

Armed with a $6.4 billion arsenal to fight the coronavirus and its fallout on the economy, this year's expansionary Budget could run a historic deficit of $10.9 billion - the highest in recent times.

Coming in at 2.1 per cent of gross domestic product (GDP), it exceeds the projected deficit of $8.7 billion in 2009 during the global financial crisis, when the Government rolled out a $20.5 billion Resilience Package to help Singaporeans and businesses.

The deficit in 2009 was eventually pared down to $0.82 billion, or just 0.3 per cent of GDP. Before that, the largest recorded deficit was in 2001, at 1.7 per cent of GDP.

But unlike 2009, when the Government dipped into the past reserves, some powder has been kept dry this time around - thanks to a surplus of $18.7 billion accumulated over the current term of government.

Unveiling the 2020 Budget statement yesterday, Deputy Prime Minister Heng Swee Keat said that Singapore is expected to have a $10.9 billion Budget deficit this year.

This is a sharp climb from the $1.7 billion deficit chalked up last year, revised from the initial $3.5 billion deficit forecast a year ago.



EXPECTED REVENUE AND EXPENDITURE

This year, revenue is expected to come in at $76 billion, a $1.3 billion increase over revised 2019 estimates.

This is mainly due to higher collections from statutory boards' contributions, corporate and personal income tax and other taxes. But the increase will be partly offset by decreases in vehicle quota premiums and motor vehicle taxes.

Statutory board contributions - led by the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) - are expected to go up by 44 per cent to $2.6 billion.

With the expected decrease in new certificate of entitlement quotas and weaker economic sentiment, revenues from vehicle quota premiums are estimated to dip by $0.3 billion to $2.6 billion - a 9.2 per cent fall.

Ministries' total expenditures are projected to be $83.6 billion, 7 per cent up on 2019.

Higher spending in healthcare, national development and transport will be offset by lower development spending needs under trade and industry expenditure.

Healthcare spending is expected to spike by $1.9 billion, or 16.2 per cent - thanks to higher subsidies to public hospitals and other healthcare institutions, as well as contingency funding to tackle the coronavirus outbreak.

Major development projects, such as the Woodlands Health Campus, Singapore General Hospital Emergency Medical Building and information technology infrastructure, will also add to the healthcare bill.

A $0.7 billion, or 7.1 per cent, increase in transport spending will go to MRT development.


BIGGEST CONTRIBUTOR

At $17 billion, the Net Investment Returns Contribution (NIRC) last year continued to be the top contributor to government coffers, overtaking corporate and personal income tax, and goods and services tax (GST), the three largest sources of tax revenue.

Since 2016, the returns from Singapore's invested reserves have been the single largest source of government revenue. The NIRC comprises 50 per cent of the Net Investment Returns on net assets invested by GIC, MAS and Temasek, and 50 per cent of the Net Investment Income derived from past reserves from the remaining assets.

The NIRC more than doubled from $7.01 billion in 2009 to $17.05 billion last year.

For this year's Budget, the trend is set to continue with NIRC estimated at $18.63 billion.

In the last two years, reliance on the NIRC has increased, with the component growing slightly as a percentage of GDP. The NIR framework was introduced in 2008.

THE BUDGET DEFICIT

The Government must maintain a balanced Budget over each term under Singapore's Constitution.

Any Budget surplus or deficit cannot be carried over to the next term of government.

However, it can accumulate surpluses over its term, which is typically five years.

Under each term of Government, any surplus at the end of a fiscal year is kept as current reserves. These can be tapped, if needed, in subsequent years during its term.

Since the current term of Government took office after the 2015 General Election, it has managed to accumulate surpluses, which last year were shared with Singaporeans through the Bicentennial Bonus. Low-income Singaporeans received up to $300 in GST vouchers, among other announcements.

At the end of each term of government, accumulated current reserves are transferred to the past reserves, which are protected by the Constitution. The Government may draw on past reserves to supplement its Budget in times of unusual expenditure needs, but only with the approval of Parliament and the President. This was done in 2009 during the global financial crisis.

A Budget deficit in any given year is not an issue, so long as it can be offset by surpluses accumulated since the start of the current term of Government.

This would be the case for this year's estimated Budget deficit.










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Singapore Budget 2020: Advancing as One Singapore
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